Imperfect-Cage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$106

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

92.4%

Resolved

593

Trades

1,193

lifetime

Volume

$26.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-27 16:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 174 days

Categories

Other

95% 76% -$160

Politics

5% 68% +$56

Crypto

0% 38% -$6

Tech

0% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes		-77	-$15	4¢	$-3	+$13	05-08 06:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 2?	9	$662	339	339	-0	Yes	+$11	06-02 08:20
ms quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 15 2026 3	2	$382	195	195	+0	Yes	+$8	04-15 12:24
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 17?	2	$320	161	161	+0	No	+$1	09-17 13:38
schw quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 16 2026 1pt36	3	$308	167	157	+10	Yes	+$6	04-16 12:03
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on May 20?	5	$281	315	0	+315	Yes	+$34	05-20 08:06
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 1?	2	$273	139	139	+0	Yes	+$3	07-01 08:20
Will Meta (META) close above $600 on May 19?	11	$262	286	0	+286	Yes	+$24	05-19 07:11
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $285 on May 7?	1	$258	275	0	+275	Yes	+$16	05-07 13:34
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 17?	5	$245	129	129	+0	No	+$12	09-17 12:49
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	7	$243	136	136	+0	Yes	+$22	03-09 07:05
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 6?	11	$242	255	0	+255	Yes	+$13	05-06 06:08
will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	4	$238	126	126	+0	Yes	+$7	03-19 07:58
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 10?	3	$237	121	121	+0	Yes	+$2	07-10 12:51
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 13?	10	$232	250	0	+250	Yes	+$18	05-13 06:10
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 27?	1	$232	250	0	+250	Yes	+$18	05-27 14:45
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 10?	2	$232	119	119	+0	Yes	+$6	07-10 09:34
meta close above 610 on march 25 2026	1	$223	232	0	+232	No	+$9	03-25 07:02
meta close above 590 on march 23 2026	2	$218	224	0	+224	Yes	+$6	03-23 15:38
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on May 18?	4	$211	222	0	+222	Yes	+$11	05-18 06:18
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 22?	12	$202	300	0	+300	No	-$202	05-22 05:47
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 6?	5	$202	104	104	+0	No	+$4	07-06 07:38
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 4?	11	$200	225	0	+225	Yes	+$25	05-04 06:49
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 17?	4	$199	102	102	+0	No	+$4	09-17 11:56
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 3?	2	$198	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	07-03 08:42
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $285 on May 8?	10	$196	209	0	+209	Yes	+$13	05-08 06:22
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 17?	4	$194	98	98	+0	Yes	+$2	06-17 12:08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 4?	2	$185	95	95	+0	Yes	+$5	06-04 06:52
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 22?	3	$184	100	100	+0	Yes	+$12	06-22 15:08
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on April 30?	1	$183	193	0	+193	Yes	+$10	04-30 05:59
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 12?	3	$183	100	100	+0	Yes	+$9	06-12 14:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 16:02:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x3a31bc…
10-27 16:02:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 27?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa1efa2…
10-27 14:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xab751a…
10-27 14:31:47	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x76f49a…
10-27 14:31:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x40e2e5…
10-27 14:29:53	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xd04b89…
10-27 13:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x5b2756…
10-27 13:15:38	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 27?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x027fce…
10-27 12:28:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xe3f610…
10-27 12:27:33	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x812a6b…
10-27 12:25:20	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 27?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x5dfa11…
10-27 07:06:17	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x16d9bb…
10-16 13:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 16?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x5c8d15…
10-16 13:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 16?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x518662…
10-16 07:18:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 16?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x0e64ef…
10-16 07:17:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 16?	No	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x820533…
10-14 15:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 14?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5e4984…
10-14 12:07:38	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 14?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x392f0a…
10-14 07:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 14?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x812136…
10-14 07:20:41	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 14?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x218beb…
10-13 12:29:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 13?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc8ddf3…
10-13 12:29:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 13?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xfcb1a3…
10-13 10:26:56	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 13?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$23	0x514851…
10-13 10:26:49	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 13?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x679f31…
10-13 08:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 13?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x5690d9…
10-13 08:37:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 13?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x7948c0…
10-13 08:36:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x860ddb…
10-13 08:35:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 13?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x09ed6e…
10-05 08:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 5?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x324148…
10-05 06:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 5?	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x2f9677…
09-30 13:43:50	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 30?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xfc232c…
09-30 12:43:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 30?	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xc27654…
09-30 12:41:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 30?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x11ed27…
09-30 12:41:44	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 30?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x1d0c7c…
09-30 09:57:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x58fbcd…
09-30 09:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 30?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x9d98f2…
09-30 09:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 30?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0xbafe01…
09-30 09:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 30?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x1ae668…
09-29 13:58:41	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on September 29?	Yes	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xf27e56…
09-29 11:59:56	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x509e5d…
09-29 11:51:59	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x22d4ef…
09-29 08:42:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 29?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xe804a8…
09-29 08:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 29?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x249a17…
09-29 07:20:47	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x0f1c07…
09-29 06:55:59	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 29?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xec5213…
09-29 06:55:29	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 29?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x73066c…
09-28 13:57:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 28?	No	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x39c3ac…
09-28 13:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 28?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x8ee00e…
09-28 13:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 28?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x2d4e58…
09-28 12:23:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 28?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x7101a1…
09-28 11:59:32	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 28?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xd63c3f…
09-28 11:45:17	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on September 28?	Yes	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xc63ba8…
09-28 06:40:44	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x83c34d…
09-23 13:27:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 23?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x32206c…
09-23 13:02:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 23?	No	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0xd840a3…
09-23 08:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 23?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xf7359a…
09-23 08:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on September 23?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0xca6464…
09-23 06:17:02	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on September 23?	No	BUY	78	97¢	$76	0x4061ee…
09-23 06:14:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 23?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x54c2bb…
09-22 12:52:49	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x62208b…
09-21 12:57:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x4aa212…
09-18 14:26:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 18?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x941c8c…
09-18 14:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on September 18?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xb6e117…
09-18 13:48:20	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 18?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbed2d5…
09-18 11:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on September 18?	No	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0x647cc3…
09-18 08:15:45	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x692296…
09-18 08:15:28	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xd26c93…
09-17 14:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x93e06f…
09-17 13:39:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 17?	No	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0xef2b37…
09-17 13:38:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 17?	No	SELL	161	100¢	$161	0xab491d…
09-17 12:58:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 17?	No	BUY	161	99¢	$160	0x5b0c74…
09-17 12:49:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 17?	No	SELL	129	100¢	$129	0x59530e…
09-17 11:57:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 17?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x914bf5…
09-17 11:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 17?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x813309…
09-17 11:56:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 17?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x569d28…
09-17 10:46:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 17?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x83afef…
09-17 10:46:15	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 17?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0xd5b8ed…
09-17 08:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 17?	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x0b6749…
09-17 07:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 17?	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x812eb2…
09-17 07:52:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 17?	No	BUY	57	92¢	$52	0x9318ed…
09-16 14:18:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x3e5a35…
09-16 14:17:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x897b75…
09-16 14:17:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x593b3d…
09-16 14:17:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0xed4d71…
09-16 14:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x699315…
09-16 14:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x09c744…
09-16 14:17:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x80c999…
09-16 14:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 16?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x2ce462…
09-16 14:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x9fb76d…
09-16 14:12:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x279a93…
09-16 13:45:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xac0c33…
09-16 13:15:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	26	90¢	$24	0x62983e…
09-16 13:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 16?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x16c238…
09-16 10:55:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 16?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xee5c6c…
09-16 10:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 16?	No	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x1eb986…
09-16 10:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xea4e7a…
09-16 06:55:16	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4ac1fa…
09-16 06:53:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x539a5d…
09-15 14:26:16	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x26150f…
09-15 14:25:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	26	94¢	$24	0x9ccf7b…