Imperfect-Cage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.0%

Resolved

Trades

473

lifetime

Volume

$11.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-04 14:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

89% 75% $-40

Politics

11% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ms quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 15 2026 3	2	$382	195	195	+0	open	—	04-15 12:24
schw quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 16 2026 1pt36	3	$308	167	157	+10	open	—	04-16 12:03
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on May 20?	5	$281	315	0	+315	open	—	05-20 08:06
Will Meta (META) close above $600 on May 19?	11	$262	286	0	+286	open	—	05-19 07:11
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $285 on May 7?	1	$258	275	0	+275	Yes	+$16	05-07 13:34
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	7	$243	136	136	+0	open	—	03-09 07:05
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 6?	11	$242	255	0	+255	Yes	+$13	05-06 06:08
will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	4	$238	126	126	+0	open	—	03-19 07:58
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 13?	10	$232	250	0	+250	Yes	+$18	05-13 06:10
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 27?	1	$232	250	0	+250	open	—	05-27 14:45
meta close above 610 on march 25 2026	1	$223	232	0	+232	open	—	03-25 07:02
meta close above 590 on march 23 2026	2	$218	224	0	+224	open	—	03-23 15:38
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on May 18?	4	$211	222	0	+222	open	—	05-18 06:18
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 4?	11	$200	225	0	+225	open	—	05-04 06:49
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $285 on May 8?	10	$196	209	0	+209	Yes	+$13	05-08 06:22
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on April 30?	1	$183	193	0	+193	open	—	04-30 05:59
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 12?	4	$180	184	0	+184	open	—	05-12 14:05
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	3	$176	265	265	+0	open	—	01-14 12:40
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on April 29?	10	$173	184	0	+184	open	—	04-29 07:24
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on May 21?	2	$173	185	0	+185	open	—	05-21 07:33
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 on April 28?	1	$169	174	0	+174	open	—	04-28 06:30
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on April 27?	1	$158	169	0	+169	open	—	04-27 06:01
meta close above 620 on march 19 2026	1	$158	168	0	+168	open	—	03-19 14:25
cme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 3pt23	2	$148	79	79	+0	open	—	04-22 05:43
meta close above 580 on march 24 2026	1	$143	144	0	+144	open	—	03-24 13:30
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	4	$142	82	82	+0	open	—	03-20 06:23
aapl close above 270 on april 23 2026	1	$139	153	0	+153	open	—	04-23 11:46
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 28?	3	$135	150	0	+150	open	—	05-28 11:16
aapl close above 265 on april 22 2026	2	$133	73	72	+0	open	—	04-22 14:42
ally quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 17 2026 0pt95	2	$131	73	72	+1	open	—	04-17 11:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 14:38:37	msft close above 440 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x328c29…
06-04 13:54:40	msft close above 430 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xbedf18…
06-04 10:52:34	msft close above 420 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x5bc217…
06-04 09:21:00	msft close above 420 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0xf5ed27…
06-01 06:19:25	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $440 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x6745e4…
06-01 06:12:07	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $440 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xea4754…
06-01 06:11:46	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $440 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x7a403c…
06-01 06:11:43	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $440 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x8e6c84…
06-01 06:11:27	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0x8d058a…
06-01 06:11:20	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x03a49e…
05-29 13:38:45	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x681e76…
05-29 13:38:42	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xbb3e48…
05-29 11:25:07	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xf0442b…
05-29 07:54:27	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0xf66862…
05-29 06:52:28	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	76	92¢	$70	0x7d5639…
05-29 06:31:44	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x76d76c…
05-28 11:16:14	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x3f8f43…
05-28 11:16:07	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x1106f5…
05-28 09:15:52	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xe7f9e5…
05-27 14:45:06	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	250	93¢	$232	0x373b4e…
05-26 14:27:52	Will Meta (META) finish week of May 25 above $600?	Yes	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0xa61a00…
05-26 05:44:00	Will Meta (META) finish week of May 25 above $600?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xa40bb8…
05-22 05:44:23	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0x2dff44…
05-22 05:44:09	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0x906a81…
05-22 05:43:56	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0x3dbcf4…
05-22 05:43:42	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0x86d033…
05-22 05:43:35	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0x19094c…
05-21 09:20:15	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	127	94¢	$119	0xea7b3a…
05-21 08:16:42	Will Meta (META) close above $590 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x0f4b27…
05-21 07:33:37	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	90	94¢	$85	0x00e910…
05-21 06:46:54	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	95	93¢	$88	0xe36278…
05-20 08:06:00	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	70	90¢	$63	0xf9696d…
05-20 08:05:10	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xc67dd9…
05-20 08:05:06	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x7bb349…
05-20 07:34:46	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0x9115c5…
05-20 07:03:23	Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-2.5)	Chongqing Tonglianglong FC	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x8233d4…
05-20 06:19:05	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	95	86¢	$82	0x98438c…
05-19 07:11:34	Will Meta (META) close above $600 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xe00888…
05-19 07:10:55	Will Meta (META) close above $600 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0xcccbf6…
05-19 07:10:47	Will Meta (META) close above $600 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x3ee99e…
05-19 07:10:40	Will Meta (META) close above $600 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0xe2154b…
05-19 07:10:03	Will Meta (META) close above $600 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x0b3941…
05-19 07:09:51	Will Meta (META) close above $600 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0xfc6870…
05-19 06:41:37	Will Meta (META) close above $600 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	35	92¢	$32	0x716029…
05-19 06:41:23	Will Meta (META) close above $600 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0xf367cb…
05-19 06:41:19	Will Meta (META) close above $600 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7cee37…
05-19 06:41:14	Will Meta (META) close above $600 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x4864f0…
05-19 06:40:58	Will Meta (META) close above $600 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	35	88¢	$31	0x110dfd…
05-18 06:18:10	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x30494e…
05-18 06:17:32	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x6ba9d1…
05-18 06:17:20	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x7f13c3…
05-18 06:16:36	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xf61869…
05-18 06:16:31	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x537067…
05-18 06:14:16	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xcadc6d…
05-18 06:14:05	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5c0ff1…
05-13 06:10:25	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x849c32…
05-13 06:10:20	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x4e13d4…
05-13 06:10:15	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x9dcad9…
05-13 06:10:09	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x877984…
05-13 06:10:06	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x6e1f2b…
05-13 06:10:01	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x107854…
05-13 06:09:55	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x291714…
05-13 06:09:48	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x99e80b…
05-13 06:09:45	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x7c0580…
05-13 06:09:40	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x130b4b…
05-12 14:58:12	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0xb1060b…
05-12 14:07:48	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x5ee698…
05-12 14:05:18	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	84	98¢	$82	0x0ff469…
05-12 09:05:21	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xb643f0…
05-12 09:05:14	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xd96a02…
05-12 09:05:01	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0xba654a…
05-11 14:16:08	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $275 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x37b0bf…
05-11 14:15:48	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $285 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0x18b800…
05-11 14:15:13	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x47493c…
05-11 14:15:01	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4e8747…
05-11 05:47:29	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $285 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xdcd8bc…
05-08 13:50:25	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x14ea4e…
05-08 13:49:43	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $280 on May 8?	No	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x25f1d0…
05-08 06:22:22	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $285 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0x8c35a1…
05-08 06:21:59	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $285 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0xde41b8…
05-08 06:17:02	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $285 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x98d152…
05-08 06:16:37	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $285 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	31	95¢	$30	0xbd0cb8…
05-08 06:15:34	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $285 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xed8a83…
05-08 06:15:11	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $285 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x6b5200…
05-08 06:14:15	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $285 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0xb03375…
05-08 06:14:08	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $285 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	31	95¢	$30	0xd7c186…
05-08 06:14:00	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $285 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0xd75a8d…
05-08 06:13:49	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $285 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x7f1ee1…
05-08 06:11:13	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $280 on May 8?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xef2fbe…
05-08 06:02:16	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x71462d…
05-08 06:02:13	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0xc476dc…
05-07 13:34:31	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $285 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	275	94¢	$258	0xd27fd0…
05-06 06:08:42	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xa75ef0…
05-06 06:08:36	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xf6ce27…
05-06 06:08:32	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x5de966…
05-06 06:08:28	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xb2fd7f…
05-06 06:08:20	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x8bf875…
05-06 06:08:10	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xc5085d…
05-06 06:08:04	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x43737e…
05-06 06:07:58	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x68409d…