Realized P&L
-$12.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$232
Hit rate
49.2%
Resolved
645
Trades
5,513
lifetime
Volume
$816.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$148
Open exposure
$9.40K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 10-05 17:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 75 days
Categories
Politics
53% 51% +$2,575
Other
43% 45% -$12,206
Pop-Culture
3% 47% -$446
Sports
1% 14% -$2,252
Crypto
1% 40% +$3
Tech
0% 100% +$69
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -4,510 -$4,339 97¢ $-4380 -$41 10-05 17:35
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -2,168 -$2,016 94¢ $-2027 -$11 10-05 17:35
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -2,528 -$1,752 76¢ $-1909 -$157 10-05 17:35
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? No -328 -$326 100¢ $-327 -$1 10-05 17:35
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -200 -$190 92¢ $-185 +$5 10-05 17:35
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? Yes -1,063 -$117 12¢ $-133 -$16 10-05 17:35
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? No -438 -$106 21¢ $-93 +$13 10-05 17:35
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes -101 -$90 82¢ $-82 +$8 10-05 17:35
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -64 -$53 88¢ $-57 -$4 10-05 17:35
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes -596 -$25 8¢ $-49 -$24 10-05 17:43
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No -94 -$42 52¢ $-49 -$7 10-05 17:35
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? Yes -71 -$51 66¢ $-47 +$4 10-05 17:35
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No -33 -$33 100¢ $-33 $0 10-05 17:35
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -27 -$26 95¢ $-26 $0 10-05 17:35
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? Yes -50 -$1 1¢ $-1 $0 10-05 17:38