Unwieldy-Billing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.85K

Unrealized P&L

-$78

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

31,319

lifetime

Volume

$38.2M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.22K

Open exposure

$169.7K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 18:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

62% 0% $-1

Other

33% 100% +$2,846

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 529 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No		+109,301	$105,685	96¢	$105.5K	$-210	06-09 21:09
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No		-65,368	$-64,356	98¢	$-64224	+$131	06-08 09:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	618	$5.04M	2,513,422	2,627,117	-113,694	open	—	04-08 00:14
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2,898	$3.51M	1,664,628	2,437,486	-772,858	open	—	02-03 20:17
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	486	$3.41M	1,765,462	1,673,330	+92,132	open	—	04-09 00:31
netanyahu out by march 31 854	620	$2.19M	1,126,107	1,129,581	-3,474	open	—	03-28 05:24
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	48	$1.73M	550,000	1,178,908	-628,908	open	—	04-30 19:49
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	622	$1.14M	5,648,757	4,617,492	+1,031,265	open	—	06-03 23:57
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	465	$824.7K	436,370	401,191	+35,179	open	—	02-03 20:42
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	291	$728.2K	656,514	91,991	+564,523	open	—	03-04 17:08
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	178	$693.4K	377,421	360,329	+17,092	open	—	04-01 06:23
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	257	$691.5K	386,633	309,536	+77,097	open	—	02-03 20:03
will iran strike israel on march 3	166	$672.7K	453,617	220,000	+233,617	open	—	03-07 01:48
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	120	$546.1K	548,888	0	+548,888	open	—	03-25 05:03
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	6,543	$522.0K	349,770	378,455	-28,685	open	—	02-12 03:50
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	109	$503.9K	475,293	190,000	+285,293	open	—	01-04 00:38
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	21	$488.9K	244,791	244,791	+0	open	—	03-04 17:00
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	52	$471.9K	172,508	300,000	-127,492	open	—	02-08 09:11
will the government shutdown last 3 days or more	533	$470.5K	289,052	182,263	+106,790	open	—	02-02 07:14
will iran strike israel on march 6	208	$458.7K	426,099	37,612	+388,487	open	—	03-11 12:39
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	121	$441.7K	426,817	428,901	-2,084	open	—	03-03 15:12
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	5	$430.4K	215,645	215,645	+0	open	—	04-05 05:35
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	856	$420.7K	415,055	625,044	-209,989	open	—	03-03 14:01
will bitcoin dip to 60k in february 2026 394 616	57	$411.0K	411,814	0	+411,814	open	—	02-06 03:49
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	24	$393.4K	393,753	0	+393,753	open	—	04-20 19:27
will iran strike israel on march 10	215	$372.4K	185,251	202,247	-16,996	open	—	03-14 02:44
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 6	171	$367.3K	305,399	62,698	+242,701	open	—	02-08 20:01
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	222	$359.9K	224,301	139,966	+84,335	open	—	04-01 06:45
will trump say unbelievable or fantastic or incredible 10 times during panthers visit	1,337	$352.9K	268,603	84,771	+183,832	open	—	01-18 22:32
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	196	$342.9K	343,932	0	+343,932	open	—	03-08 23:43
will trump post potus this week on truth social	94	$321.2K	324,096	677	+323,419	open	—	04-21 23:12
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	277	$307.4K	134,748	180,000	-45,252	open	—	06-08 09:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 21:09:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	5,717	96¢	$5,517	0xceb9ea…
06-09 20:36:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x0d5c4c…
06-09 20:34:46	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x4b9336…
06-09 20:34:33	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xde6a8e…
06-09 20:29:18	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	214	97¢	$207	0x728747…
06-09 20:16:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	2,186	97¢	$2,110	0x30033e…
06-09 19:31:34	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	1,864	96¢	$1,799	0xecf791…
06-09 19:12:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	8,244	97¢	$7,956	0x1483a4…
06-09 19:12:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	1,756	96¢	$1,694	0x10ade7…
06-09 18:42:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	1,272	97¢	$1,229	0x362005…
06-09 18:40:33	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	8,728	97¢	$8,431	0xf0b3bd…
06-09 16:57:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	10,000	98¢	$9,800	0xa83f9e…
06-08 09:43:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	10,000	98¢	$9,760	0xd3d139…
06-08 09:42:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0xb22b5c…
06-08 09:39:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa72ade…
06-08 09:38:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0xbe4f15…
06-08 09:38:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	4,074	98¢	$3,977	0xe60b4e…
06-08 09:37:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x5f0c9b…
06-08 09:36:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x69ba7f…
06-08 09:36:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x0b0d91…
06-08 09:32:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x729111…
06-08 09:31:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xeafa83…
06-08 09:30:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x23b576…
06-08 09:30:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x10c649…
06-08 09:28:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xc131f7…
06-08 09:23:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xfeb8a4…
06-08 09:23:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xff4cf5…
06-08 09:23:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2bd52a…
06-08 09:19:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x47b2dd…
06-08 09:18:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xdbe036…
06-08 09:16:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf2aff7…
06-08 09:16:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x6ada8d…
06-08 09:15:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x9e8051…
06-08 09:15:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x89984c…
06-08 09:15:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x44a7ad…
06-08 09:13:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd07488…
06-08 09:12:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x6bd79b…
06-08 09:12:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x6c19b1…
06-08 09:10:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xaea5cf…
06-08 09:09:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2fe540…
06-08 09:05:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x167790…
06-08 09:04:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc5ff43…
06-08 09:03:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x3fa0eb…
06-08 09:02:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	273	98¢	$266	0xedb51e…
06-08 08:38:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1,472	97¢	$1,436	0xd7aa68…
06-08 08:37:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	4,592	97¢	$4,477	0x445891…
06-08 08:37:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x8c6a0b…
06-08 08:35:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x4eecb4…
06-08 08:33:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xe62553…
06-08 08:31:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x34cbcd…
06-08 08:30:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x03112f…
06-08 08:29:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x3b0d0f…
06-08 08:29:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xcbe475…
06-08 08:28:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xd8f2af…
06-08 08:27:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x3baae5…
06-08 08:26:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xe5dd03…
06-08 08:26:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x939669…
06-08 08:22:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	433	97¢	$422	0xbd4512…
06-08 08:22:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xf8c351…
06-08 08:21:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xf924c9…
06-08 08:20:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xfeaa2b…
06-08 08:19:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xd8135c…
06-08 08:18:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x73c6de…
06-08 08:17:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0x666ed4…
06-08 08:15:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xe51300…
06-08 08:14:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x6cdcbf…
06-08 08:14:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xf8eb3b…
06-08 08:07:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x47d2f9…
06-08 08:06:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x21d1cd…
06-08 08:03:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x7f4f5c…
06-08 08:01:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x7a6a76…
06-08 07:58:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xb2c900…
06-08 07:56:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x00272b…
06-08 07:55:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x32e8f1…
06-08 07:52:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xdc4b68…
06-08 07:47:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xdc1b4d…
06-08 07:46:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0x483d0a…
06-08 07:40:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	513	97¢	$500	0x7b2b42…
06-08 07:40:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	2,735	98¢	$2,666	0x74e3ab…
06-08 07:34:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	277	97¢	$270	0x651b97…
06-08 07:28:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xd77bd7…
06-08 07:27:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5,000	98¢	$4,875	0xf250c8…
06-08 07:26:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xb7a6a3…
06-08 07:18:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xaf4590…
06-08 06:51:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x722583…
06-08 06:50:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	569	98¢	$555	0xd6964d…
06-08 06:50:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xd6008c…
06-08 06:48:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	45	97¢	$44	0xf0f6ef…
06-08 06:44:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xd573dd…
06-08 06:40:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x76911b…
06-08 06:37:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0x4d51ad…
06-08 06:18:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x3615b9…
06-08 06:18:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x85431f…
06-08 06:07:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	867	97¢	$845	0x592a2e…
06-08 06:06:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5,000	98¢	$4,875	0x3d6180…
06-08 06:02:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x2f26d7…
06-08 05:51:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xe55ae3…
06-08 05:40:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x730f34…
06-08 05:36:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x17b549…
06-08 05:29:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	777	98¢	$757	0x16bdb9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	207	$50.8M	65,342	06-09 23:16
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	172	$789.6K	60,824	06-01 04:51
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	165	$1.86M	30,487	06-09 23:10
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	165	$375.0K	2,124	06-08 20:34
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	158	$120.3K	11,030	06-08 08:06
Speedy-Bartender 0x4bf4…7021	150	$202.0K	3,898	06-09 00:35
Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35	144	$17.6M	37,501	06-09 17:59
Naive-Waterwheel 0x10b2…4ceb	144	$62.7K	3,380	06-09 06:50