Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$454

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

51.4%

Resolved

Trades

719

lifetime

Volume

$16.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-28

last 08-23 20:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

59% 22% -$248

Politics

37% 40% +$1

Crypto

2% 0% -$217

Sports

2% 33% -$9

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$16

Tech

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+0	$1	54¢	$0	-$1	07-26 16:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	174	$7.2K	9,627	9,627	+0	open	—	07-28 15:40
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	84	$1.9K	3,363	3,363	+0	open	—	07-23 19:56
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	109	$1.3K	1,740	1,740	+0	No	+$5	07-18 15:42
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	10	$611	638	638	+0	No	+$0	07-04 15:26
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	11	$542	350	350	+0	Yes	-$10	07-26 19:17
Will M80 Win North America ACE Stage 3	22	$446	466	466	+0	Yes	-$7	07-09 09:31
will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639	3	$377	410	410	+0	open	—	07-04 17:44
will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	5	$312	400	400	+0	Yes	+$4	07-11 18:15
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	32	$309	610	610	+0	No	+$12	07-19 03:11
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	14	$262	289	289	+0	No	-$1	07-17 06:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	8	$232	205	205	+0	open	—	07-24 15:38
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	18	$225	1,890	2,030	-140	No	-$213	03-17 03:20
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	17	$211	360	360	+0	No	-$1	07-13 21:43
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	10	$209	200	200	+0	open	—	07-26 16:54
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	5	$188	300	300	+0	Yes	+$38	01-30 08:55
Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?	16	$170	199	199	+0	No	-$1	07-21 06:22
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$159	680	0	+680	No	-$159	03-20 17:58
will the government shutdown last 3 days or more	19	$156	1,774	124	+1,650	Yes	-$32	02-02 06:58
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	8	$151	300	300	+0	No	-$55	03-09 16:15
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	2	$131	100	100	+0	No	+$35	01-29 09:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	5	$106	200	200	+0	open	—	07-21 16:04
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?	2	$104	100	100	+0	Yes	+$16	07-26 15:22
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$98	300	300	+0	No	+$0	06-15 14:12
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$95	300	300	+0	Yes	-$4	06-15 17:57
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$94	200	200	+0	Yes	-$2	01-28 18:26
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	2	$91	100	100	+0	No	+$1	07-01 06:36
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	3	$88	180	100	+80	No	+$10	02-03 07:50
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?	15	$77	298	298	+0	Yes	+$3	07-04 17:59
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	17	$75	389	389	+0	Yes	-$3	07-11 11:33
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	2	$72	100	100	+0	No	-$1	07-30 18:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-23 20:05:45	Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x7d42cc…
07-30 18:05:24	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	35¢	$35	0x6020a5…
07-30 13:01:51	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xe2463f…
07-28 15:40:40	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	34¢	$7	0xbcc5e3…
07-28 15:39:49	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	391	34¢	$133	0x2cbf9c…
07-28 15:23:56	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	207	34¢	$70	0xb5e0aa…
07-28 15:21:32	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x20a0c6…
07-28 14:20:53	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x2c9f14…
07-26 19:17:36	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	SELL	192	73¢	$140	0x3988f1…
07-26 18:33:40	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	47	73¢	$34	0xf95fc1…
07-26 18:29:37	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x55bdfa…
07-26 18:13:25	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x06815e…
07-26 18:08:46	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xf666f4…
07-26 18:02:03	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0x704a5c…
07-26 17:25:51	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x76c891…
07-26 17:05:55	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	SELL	150	80¢	$120	0x6f1b1f…
07-26 16:54:39	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	22	52¢	$11	0x70c8e2…
07-26 16:53:24	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0x0d84e0…
07-26 16:52:21	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0xe9a3ec…
07-26 16:47:36	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0xd696c3…
07-26 16:32:06	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xcd9c01…
07-26 16:31:16	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x339d96…
07-26 16:19:42	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x6f2d9e…
07-26 16:03:10	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0x5d1d29…
07-26 15:50:33	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	24	52¢	$13	0x033eab…
07-26 15:22:31	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?	Yes	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0x4bd165…
07-26 14:24:57	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?	Yes	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x21cd01…
07-26 13:32:49	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x9163bb…
07-26 13:05:45	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	98	52¢	$51	0x452aae…
07-26 12:30:25	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xd477e9…
07-26 12:08:39	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x6bcd2b…
07-25 23:26:13	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	420	35¢	$147	0xaa280c…
07-25 16:20:34	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	35¢	$74	0x9571be…
07-25 15:15:46	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	620	36¢	$223	0xea4d9d…
07-25 12:42:37	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	35¢	$74	0x542b36…
07-25 01:36:51	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	32¢	$67	0x3326f9…
07-24 19:27:49	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	34¢	$71	0xec9327…
07-24 19:10:57	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0x9c622f…
07-24 17:01:01	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	195	36¢	$70	0x454c45…
07-24 16:50:57	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,441	35¢	$504	0xc4d380…
07-24 16:38:25	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	195	34¢	$66	0x8708b1…
07-24 15:41:28	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	29¢	$17	0x63d4e2…
07-24 15:38:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	203	53¢	$108	0x9dbf12…
07-24 15:36:22	Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?	Yes	SELL	83	2¢	$2	0xef5e93…
07-24 15:35:33	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0xadce7c…
07-24 14:44:03	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0xcfe7d2…
07-24 14:37:31	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xd9008b…
07-24 12:36:13	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	38¢	$80	0xce29c6…
07-24 11:59:43	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x672231…
07-24 11:57:04	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	38¢	$16	0xd6a0cc…
07-24 11:45:16	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	38¢	$38	0xae5129…
07-24 11:41:30	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0xea2b29…
07-24 08:45:49	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	337	37¢	$125	0xb89ada…
07-24 06:55:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x9301a7…
07-24 06:16:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0x5f7fd6…
07-24 06:16:18	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	38¢	$5	0x9c4e16…
07-24 06:06:00	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	669	38¢	$254	0x20f645…
07-23 21:59:01	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0x077ef6…
07-23 19:56:12	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	31¢	$31	0xbbd4a1…
07-23 19:34:03	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	207	36¢	$75	0x699b3a…
07-23 18:44:39	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x15a890…
07-23 18:36:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x5f7044…
07-23 17:51:54	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	110	30¢	$33	0x0a64b9…
07-23 17:46:03	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	110	30¢	$34	0x8051b2…
07-23 17:34:22	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xf5cc0e…
07-23 17:27:39	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x226cc0…
07-23 15:56:52	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x85cee7…
07-23 15:43:39	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x34208c…
07-23 15:21:40	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	110	30¢	$33	0x8a704d…
07-23 15:01:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe6a03a…
07-23 13:48:24	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0xc9eca1…
07-23 12:59:16	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	41¢	$82	0xa304cb…
07-23 08:33:39	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	32¢	$27	0x4be683…
07-23 08:21:24	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x0c33f6…
07-23 08:18:37	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	32¢	$35	0xfb301c…
07-23 08:05:37	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x57455e…
07-23 07:53:46	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x2f8ca8…
07-23 07:33:58	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0x4d43e3…
07-23 00:11:55	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	38¢	$4	0xa76c7a…
07-22 23:27:28	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x86dbf7…
07-22 23:16:30	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x52031b…
07-22 23:10:27	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x7b6634…
07-22 22:46:00	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x3bd47c…
07-22 22:37:30	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x93261a…
07-22 22:29:18	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x8907d5…
07-22 22:10:33	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xaa8169…
07-22 22:10:33	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x5f6d65…
07-22 22:10:33	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x424b71…
07-22 22:10:33	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	38¢	$27	0x039b3e…
07-22 21:52:25	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0x819026…
07-22 21:52:22	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xf95220…
07-22 21:52:22	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xdb898e…
07-22 21:47:45	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	39¢	$78	0x1ee6e6…
07-22 21:07:15	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	96	31¢	$29	0x511c60…
07-22 20:45:22	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x38f67f…
07-22 20:34:51	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0xa04243…
07-22 19:55:31	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	39¢	$156	0x2b34fd…
07-22 16:14:52	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0xd66070…
07-22 15:08:16	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x6dc239…
07-22 14:42:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	38	61¢	$23	0xb51bb9…