Realized P&L
-$3.68K
Unrealized P&L
+$403
Hit rate
51.5%
Resolved
204
Trades
85,916
lifetime
Volume
$55.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$888
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 18:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 61 days
Categories
Politics
68% 35% -$2,886
Other
19% 27% -$1,491
Sports
13% 70% +$750
Crypto
0% 28% -$49
Tech
0% 50% -$7
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1077 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +130,787 $70 0¢ $196 +$126 10-27 19:24
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +108,756 $23 0¢ $163 +$140 10-27 19:18
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +99,769 -$60 0¢ $150 +$210 10-27 18:59
Ebola pandemic in 2026? Yes +5,456 $347 3¢ $145 -$202 07-07 04:12
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +80,716 $81 0¢ $121 +$40 10-27 18:01
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes — -49,535 -$205 0¢ $-74 +$131 07-22 01:14
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? Yes +180 $0 8¢ $14 +$14 08-12 19:02
2026 Balance of Power: Other Yes +10,979 $68 0¢ $11 -$57 06-15 03:08
Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +5,000 $10 0¢ $7 -$2 07-08 13:58
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -393 -$10 2¢ $-7 +$4 07-31 22:06