Realized P&L
+$3.04K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
96.7%
Resolved
82
Trades
848
lifetime
Volume
$2.07M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2.44K
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-09 08:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 62 days
Categories
Politics
55%
98%
+$1,917
Other
29%
97%
+$659
Crypto
14%
100%
+$428
Sports
2%
100%
+$33
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-09).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 72 | $292.5K | 179,887 | 114,573 | +65,314 | No | +$428 | 06-02 14:17 |
| will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31 | 14 | $82.3K | 54,746 | 27,837 | +26,909 | Yes | +$134 | 03-25 11:45 |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | 3 | $65.8K | 33,000 | 33,000 | +0 | No | -$99 | 05-15 17:58 |
| will a minecraft movie be the top grossing movie of 2025 | 4 | $51.4K | 25,708 | 25,708 | +0 | Yes | +$0 | 01-05 01:30 |
| us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026 | 1 | $33.6K | 33,621 | 0 | +33,621 | No | +$34 | 04-26 09:50 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982 | 2 | $33.5K | 33,585 | 0 | +33,585 | Yes | +$67 | 04-21 18:01 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026 | 2 | $33.4K | 33,518 | 0 | +33,518 | Yes | +$72 | 04-17 00:44 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? | 1 | $33.0K | 33,000 | 0 | +33,000 | No | +$33 | 07-01 22:00 |
| will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610 | 1 | $33.0K | 33,000 | 0 | +33,000 | Yes | +$33 | 07-09 08:23 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | 1 | $33.0K | 33,000 | 0 | +33,000 | Yes | +$33 | 05-09 19:25 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | 2 | $33.0K | 33,000 | 0 | +33,000 | Yes | +$33 | 05-09 19:44 |
| QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? | 3 | $32.9K | 33,000 | 0 | +33,000 | Yes | +$66 | 05-03 16:13 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29? | 1 | $31.0K | 31,000 | 0 | +31,000 | No | +$31 | 06-30 03:45 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? | 6 | $30.0K | 30,000 | 0 | +30,000 | No | +$30 | 07-04 00:19 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 9 | $29.8K | 29,626 | 176 | +29,450 | No | +$39 | 04-01 00:32 |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? | 7 | $28.1K | 28,115 | 0 | +28,115 | Yes | +$28 | 04-15 06:45 |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? | 2 | $28.0K | 28,082 | 0 | +28,082 | Yes | +$122 | 04-12 20:33 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 1 | $27.9K | 27,960 | 0 | +27,960 | Yes | +$56 | 04-09 09:46 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 1 | $27.8K | 27,904 | 0 | +27,904 | Yes | +$56 | 04-05 14:14 |
| will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting | 1 | $27.6K | 27,670 | 0 | +27,670 | No | +$28 | 03-18 18:53 |
| will iran strike israel on march 10 | 22 | $27.6K | 27,642 | 0 | +27,642 | Yes | +$82 | 03-16 06:05 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 1 | $27.5K | 27,559 | 0 | +27,559 | Yes | +$28 | 03-12 01:17 |
| us strikes iraq by march 7 | 1 | $27.5K | 27,531 | 0 | +27,531 | Yes | +$28 | 03-10 04:03 |
| will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163 | 124 | $27.5K | 27,478 | 0 | +27,478 | Yes | +$27 | 03-08 22:56 |
| will iran strike israel on march 3 | 6 | $27.4K | 27,450 | 0 | +27,450 | Yes | +$27 | 03-06 21:50 |
| will the us strike 3 countries in february 2026 | 1 | $27.4K | 27,422 | 0 | +27,422 | Yes | +$27 | 03-05 04:19 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 1 | $27.4K | 27,395 | 0 | +27,395 | No | +$27 | 03-04 19:07 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et | 1 | $27.3K | 27,368 | 0 | +27,368 | Yes | +$27 | 03-04 10:56 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 13 | $27.3K | 27,340 | 0 | +27,340 | Yes | +$55 | 03-02 15:31 |
| will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address | 1 | $26.5K | 26,523 | 0 | +26,523 | Yes | +$27 | 02-28 15:10 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||