Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14.3K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

51.2%

Resolved

101

Trades

164

lifetime

Volume

$38.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$237

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-23

last 10-27 02:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Politics

49% 44% -$6,147

Other

40% 35% -$4,742

Crypto

10% 25% -$3,243

Sports

1% 33% -$164

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes		-313	-$1	0¢	$-0	+$0	10-26 19:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	9	$7.6K	27,006	4,298	+22,708	Yes	+$509	03-01 11:16
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	2	$5.2K	15,476	0	+15,476	No	-$5,229	01-23 10:46
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	2	$4.1K	4,545	4,545	+0	Yes	+$91	02-24 17:41
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$2.7K	27,303	0	+27,303	Yes	-$2,745	01-31 13:12
atp augeral lehecka 2026 02 26	2	$2.5K	1,539	1,539	+0	Felix Auger-Aliassime	+$537	02-26 14:12
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	1	$1.7K	10,596	0	+10,596	No	-$1,750	02-11 18:53
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	2	$1.5K	4,997	0	+4,997	No	-$1,501	02-24 17:47
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	1	$1.5K	15,676	0	+15,676	No	-$1,500	01-25 01:23
atp alcaraz djokovi 2026 02 01	4	$1.5K	1,745	772	+972	Alcaraz	+$72	02-01 12:04
atp brooksb khachan 2026 02 25	1	$1000	1,550	0	+1,550	Brooksby	-$1,000	02-24 22:21
atp norrie minaur 2026 03 09	2	$741	441	441	+0	Cameron Norrie	+$141	03-09 20:06
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Kaitlin Quevedo	4	$655	461	457	+4	Hailey Baptiste	-$5	04-23 19:23
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	2	$548	658	658	+0	Yes	+$58	03-03 06:02
si above 80 jan 2026	1	$500	10,815	0	+10,815	No	-$500	01-30 19:09
will the government shutdown last 6 days or more 888	1	$500	1,637	0	+1,637	No	-$500	02-02 16:38
atp shapova shelton 2026 02 14	2	$362	262	262	+0	Shelton	+$162	02-15 03:08
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	2	$320	7,299	0	+7,299	Yes	-$320	02-01 18:40
atp augeral medvede 2026 02 27	4	$313	274	274	+0	Daniil Medvedev	+$33	02-27 14:09
ucl int2 bog1 2026 02 24 bog1	2	$285	185	185	+0	Yes	+$85	02-24 22:05
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	1	$284	1,600	0	+1,600	No	-$284	04-24 13:51
si hit 70 low jan 2026 929 537 842	1	$250	17,859	0	+17,859	No	-$250	01-30 19:07
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$250	6,266	0	+6,266	No	-$250	03-01 15:04
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	1	$250	543	0	+543	Yes	+$293	03-20 21:26
will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	1	$229	0	241	-241	No	-$12	01-23 08:45
atp tiafoe nakashi 2026 02 27	2	$219	343	0	+343	Frances Tiafoe	-$219	02-28 04:45
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Panna Udvardy	7	$194	774	754	+20	Mirra Andreeva	-$27	04-23 17:52
atp mensik grieksp 2026 02 26	2	$182	140	140	+0	Tallon Griekspoor	+$98	02-26 19:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$177	4,084	0	+4,084	No	-$177	04-10 08:37
will the government shutdown last 3 days or more	1	$175	13,608	0	+13,608	Yes	-$175	01-31 23:17
lal bar ray 2026 03 22 spread home 1pt5	1	$170	283	0	+283	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	-$170	03-22 02:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 02:40:59	Red Wings vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0xfae23d…
10-27 01:39:32	Red Wings vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	198	50¢	$100	0xa33907…
10-26 22:18:27	Kings vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x2563c4…
10-26 19:30:56	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	313	0¢	$1	0xc0e50d…
10-26 19:15:14	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xd625ae…
06-18 16:04:38	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xb357ab…
06-18 16:04:01	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x3d9af4…
04-26 10:53:40	Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller	Elmer Moeller	BUY	172	3¢	$5	0x3f290f…
04-26 10:52:44	Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Lorenzo Musetti	Tallon Griekspoor	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x38575c…
04-26 10:50:10	Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauff	Sorana Cirstea	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x7d763d…
04-26 10:15:56	Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Hailey Baptiste	Hailey Baptiste	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x336164…
04-24 13:51:26	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,600	18¢	$284	0x86767f…
04-23 19:23:22	Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Kaitlin Quevedo	Hailey Baptiste	SELL	294	100¢	$294	0xf0d06e…
04-23 17:53:48	Oeiras 4: Polina Kudermetova vs Lucia Bronzetti	Polina Kudermetova	BUY	33	74¢	$24	0x6956d6…
04-23 17:52:42	Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Panna Udvardy	Panna Udvardy	SELL	310	5¢	$15	0xe4045f…
04-23 17:52:12	Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Kaitlin Quevedo	Hailey Baptiste	BUY	295	95¢	$280	0x0f6fbf…
04-23 17:47:00	Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Panna Udvardy	Panna Udvardy	BUY	318	16¢	$50	0x8e205f…
04-23 17:43:24	Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Panna Udvardy	Panna Udvardy	SELL	51	18¢	$9	0xea6068…
04-23 17:40:04	Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Panna Udvardy	Panna Udvardy	BUY	53	14¢	$7	0x34c7a5…
04-23 17:36:10	Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Panna Udvardy	Panna Udvardy	SELL	393	15¢	$59	0xa7f707…
04-23 17:32:40	Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Panna Udvardy	Panna Udvardy	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0x7a2347…
04-23 17:28:52	Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Kaitlin Quevedo	Kaitlin Quevedo	SELL	163	19¢	$31	0x8c2bd6…
04-23 17:22:18	Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Kaitlin Quevedo	Kaitlin Quevedo	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0xe5fb69…
04-23 17:03:50	Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Panna Udvardy	Panna Udvardy	BUY	47	7¢	$3	0x83e795…
04-18 15:56:54	Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils	Rafael Jodar	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x440bcf…
04-17 22:41:24	BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Flavio Cobolli	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x892c64…
04-17 18:11:44	wta rybakin fernand 2026 04 17	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	112	10¢	$11	0x322032…
04-17 16:10:50	atp fonseca shelton 2026 04 17	Ben Shelton	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x8fb866…
04-17 11:59:52	atp zverev cerundo 2026 04 17	Francisco Cerundolo	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x24cdcd…
04-17 10:50:32	atp fonseca shelton 2026 04 17	Ben Shelton	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0xc99446…
04-10 08:48:53	atp augeral sinner 2026 04 10	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0xc09a62…
04-10 08:48:27	atp fonseca zverev 2026 04 10	Joao Fonseca	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0xe4b1b4…
04-10 08:37:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,084	4¢	$177	0x00629b…
04-09 12:28:37	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0x2091d8…
04-09 12:24:35	atp machac sinner 2026 04 09	Tomas Machac	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0xd98fd5…
03-22 15:40:57	atp alcaraz korda 2026 03 22 set handicap home 1pt5	Alcaraz	BUY	150	66¢	$99	0x59ee81…
03-22 02:59:15	lal bar ray 2026 03 22 spread home 1pt5	FC Barcelona	BUY	283	60¢	$170	0xe95073…
03-22 02:52:29	atp shelton shevche 2026 03 21	Alexander Shevchenko	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xb30430…
03-21 21:21:35	atp shelton shevche 2026 03 21	Alexander Shevchenko	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x8c1d09…
03-21 15:43:39	atp majchrz tien 2026 03 21	Learner Tien	SELL	69	51¢	$35	0x44ddbd…
03-21 14:26:19	atp fils tsitsip 2026 03 22	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x624245…
03-21 14:25:17	atp opelka fritz 2026 03 22	Reilly Opelka	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xe4918c…
03-21 02:45:31	atp rublev tabilo 2026 03 21	Andrey Rublev	BUY	40	66¢	$26	0x447251…
03-21 02:41:37	atp arnaldi shevche 2026 03 18	Alexander Shevchenko	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x3c6073…
03-20 21:26:03	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	543	46¢	$250	0xbfa2e1…
03-20 21:21:21	atp arnaldi shevche 2026 03 18	Alexander Shevchenko	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x549b25…
03-20 21:20:43	atp tsitsip minaur 2026 03 20	Alex de Minaur	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xeef2de…
03-20 21:20:09	atp majchrz tien 2026 03 21	Learner Tien	BUY	69	74¢	$51	0xdcd9e7…
03-19 22:10:57	uel rom1 bol1 2026 03 19 bol1	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xecffc5…
03-19 22:10:35	uel rom1 bol1 2026 03 19 rom1	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$2	0x691bef…
03-19 22:09:37	uel por1 stu3 2026 03 19 btts	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xa7ceef…
03-19 22:09:29	uel rom1 bol1 2026 03 19 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xc16e22…
03-19 22:09:17	uel por1 stu3 2026 03 19 spread home 1pt5	FC Porto	SELL	79	99¢	$78	0x3b7bb1…
03-19 21:46:13	uel rom1 bol1 2026 03 19 bol1	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x710922…
03-19 19:53:27	uel mid1 not 2026 03 19 mid1	Yes	BUY	9,404	0¢	$10	0xb4bc31…
03-19 17:10:13	uel por1 stu3 2026 03 19 spread home 1pt5	FC Porto	BUY	79	19¢	$15	0x71ca08…
03-19 17:05:29	uel lyo1 cel4 2026 03 19 btts	Yes	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xa9aa37…
03-19 17:04:55	uel por1 stu3 2026 03 19 btts	No	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xd84cb7…
03-19 17:00:15	uel rom1 bol1 2026 03 19 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x193d88…
03-19 16:58:57	col ray sam 2026 03 19 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x344143…
03-19 16:57:59	col aek cry 2026 03 19 aek	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xadda7f…
03-19 16:55:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	208	32¢	$66	0xe19e74…
03-15 20:39:47	atp medvede sinner 2026 03 15	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	62	22¢	$14	0x8585ef…
03-12 11:49:41	wta svitoli swiatek 2026 03 12	Elina Svitolina	BUY	21	27¢	$6	0x200b69…
03-12 11:45:55	uel lil ast4 2026 03 12 lil	Yes	BUY	59	29¢	$17	0xcb5aa0…
03-11 21:04:51	wta siniako svitoli 2026 03 11	Katerina Siniakova	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x11dcf0…
03-11 21:02:37	ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 draw	Yes	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x6f6214…
03-11 21:00:51	atp tien sinner 2026 03 12	Learner Tien	BUY	221	10¢	$22	0xe2acbe…
03-10 22:49:39	atp djokovi draper 2026 03 10	Jack Draper	BUY	33	47¢	$15	0x7e8028…
03-10 22:48:47	atp fils zverev 2026 03 12	Arthur Fils	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0x29f25d…
03-10 22:10:25	ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 draw	Yes	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0x2dee56…
03-10 22:07:53	ucl atm1 tot 2026 03 10 atm1	Yes	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x90a424…
03-10 22:06:07	uel stu3 por1 2026 03 12 por1	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x9742c6…
03-10 22:05:33	ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 draw	Yes	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0xabb76d…
03-10 22:04:35	ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 lev	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x53c628…
03-10 21:19:11	ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 draw	Yes	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0xc23b0e…
03-10 21:04:47	ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 lev	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xb7b5ab…
03-10 21:04:09	uel lil ast4 2026 03 12 lil	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x30cc3f…
03-10 20:01:29	atp fils augeral 2026 03 10	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x82bad3…
03-10 19:58:55	ucl ata1 bay1 2026 03 10 draw	Yes	BUY	41	22¢	$9	0x526a81…
03-10 19:57:39	ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 gal	Yes	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0xeba98b…
03-10 18:39:37	atp fils augeral 2026 03 10	Felix Auger-Aliassime	SELL	78	29¢	$23	0x7417ae…
03-10 18:27:01	atp fils augeral 2026 03 10	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0xfd22fb…
03-10 10:32:41	ucl atm1 tot 2026 03 10 atm1	Yes	BUY	103	58¢	$60	0x4d9682…
03-10 10:32:19	ucl ata1 bay1 2026 03 10 draw	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x4b6cb4…
03-10 10:31:55	ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 lev	Yes	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0x1e9088…
03-10 10:31:21	ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 gal	Yes	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0x506c58…
03-10 10:28:25	atp fonseca sinner 2026 03 10	Joao Fonseca	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0x18c9f2…
03-10 10:27:29	atp tiafoe zverev 2026 03 10	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x9969be…
03-09 20:06:49	atp tien fokina 2026 03 10	Learner Tien	BUY	77	54¢	$42	0x3d8291…
03-09 20:06:19	atp norrie minaur 2026 03 09	Cameron Norrie	SELL	441	100¢	$441	0x7a1882…
03-09 19:24:03	atp djokovi kovacev 2026 03 09	Aleksandar Kovacevic	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0xa173fa…
03-09 19:23:27	atp norrie minaur 2026 03 09	Cameron Norrie	BUY	441	68¢	$300	0xc6200d…
03-03 06:02:49	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	658	46¢	$303	0xcd6ddb…
03-02 04:30:27	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	658	37¢	$245	0xd24c21…
03-01 15:04:49	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	6,266	4¢	$250	0xc54b38…
03-01 11:16:41	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	2,280	7¢	$162	0xb14519…
02-28 18:15:21	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	6,505	8¢	$500	0x8e54cb…
02-28 10:30:17	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	5,348	7¢	$400	0x12bad3…
02-28 07:22:59	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	2,027	7¢	$150	0xb009f7…