Sparkling-Commonsense — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$729

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,587

lifetime

Volume

$3.67M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.31K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-05 11:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

55% 100% +$729

Politics

42% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	58	$209.6K	143,979	74,000	+69,979	open	—	01-28 13:27
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	5	$205.4K	107,780	107,780	+0	open	—	04-14 00:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	89	$199.7K	139,528	107,468	+32,060	open	—	07-29 20:16
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	5	$156.9K	99,000	60,000	+39,000	open	—	03-16 23:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	24	$151.8K	81,000	81,000	+0	open	—	05-30 14:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	50	$146.9K	92,728	72,982	+19,745	open	—	07-01 05:27
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$139.7K	70,000	70,000	+0	open	—	04-08 03:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$134.2K	68,000	68,000	+0	open	—	05-12 02:22
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	23	$130.1K	68,990	70,000	-1,009	open	—	06-05 22:47
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	65	$117.8K	59,293	59,973	-680	open	—	02-09 02:22
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	28	$114.7K	86,000	70,000	+16,000	open	—	08-12 04:05
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	36	$92.2K	48,000	51,000	-3,000	open	—	01-20 17:06
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	13	$86.1K	89,425	0	+89,425	open	—	06-16 06:51
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	8	$71.5K	71,739	0	+71,739	open	—	04-08 04:25
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	18	$70.6K	71,000	0	+71,000	open	—	04-01 15:13
Will Trump dance today?	6	$69.9K	35,000	35,000	+0	open	—	04-28 20:18
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	2	$69.8K	70,000	0	+70,000	open	—	06-06 05:17
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$69.4K	69,500	0	+69,500	open	—	07-09 00:04
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	1	$68.7K	70,465	0	+70,465	open	—	03-22 02:13
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	2	$68.7K	69,363	0	+69,363	open	—	03-31 17:48
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	20	$68.5K	40,000	30,000	+10,000	open	—	04-14 05:19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	2	$64.9K	65,341	0	+65,341	open	—	04-26 15:35
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	53	$64.1K	65,000	0	+65,000	open	—	02-02 22:56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	12	$59.8K	60,374	0	+60,374	open	—	03-31 04:58
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	33	$59.8K	30,000	30,000	+0	open	—	01-30 12:06
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	21	$55.0K	55,215	0	+55,215	open	—	01-03 17:14
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	21	$53.1K	25,699	27,871	-2,172	open	—	01-30 20:26
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	16	$53.0K	50,000	10,000	+40,000	open	—	08-12 02:01
will israel strike lebanon on january 16 2026	46	$47.3K	43,390	10,000	+33,390	open	—	01-21 01:00
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	8	$46.4K	47,082	0	+47,082	Yes	+$699	05-02 23:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 04:05:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1,480	100¢	$1,475	0xf71199…
08-12 03:35:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf7b5c8…
08-12 03:23:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	2,500	100¢	$2,492	0xb7292a…
08-12 03:02:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x815a64…
08-12 02:15:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1,171	100¢	$1,167	0x676758…
08-12 02:14:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1,772	100¢	$1,766	0x347635…
08-12 02:13:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1,094	100¢	$1,091	0xec00d8…
08-12 02:13:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	499	100¢	$498	0xb15127…
08-12 02:13:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xfca417…
08-12 02:13:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xfbc99b…
08-12 02:13:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	908	100¢	$905	0xcf0870…
08-12 02:13:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	19,881	100¢	$19,821	0x676a24…
08-12 02:02:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x9bab38…
08-12 02:02:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1544fd…
08-12 02:02:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x19f0c5…
08-12 02:01:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	10,000	96¢	$9,600	0x7d7b63…
08-12 01:55:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	20,582	100¢	$20,521	0x256dd7…
08-05 11:34:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	9,114	84¢	$7,656	0xbb1025…
08-05 11:23:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	70	84¢	$59	0x6b1682…
08-05 11:22:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	400	84¢	$336	0x37bc56…
08-05 11:20:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	80	84¢	$67	0x0d5611…
08-05 11:15:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	200	84¢	$168	0x077165…
08-05 10:57:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	76	84¢	$64	0xbe8b45…
08-05 10:56:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x5719fe…
08-05 10:53:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x127d0f…
08-02 02:15:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	10,000	97¢	$9,700	0x2b719b…
08-01 22:56:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	2,598	98¢	$2,559	0x9c8d71…
08-01 21:44:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	9,710	98¢	$9,565	0x54e908…
08-01 21:29:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	27,692	98¢	$27,277	0x40c848…
08-01 17:14:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	5,257	1¢	$37	0x6faa28…
08-01 17:01:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0xa25a62…
08-01 16:56:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0x877bfa…
08-01 16:49:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0xe1eb53…
08-01 16:49:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	14,257	1¢	$100	0xba2cfa…
08-01 07:37:24	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	1,473	67¢	$987	0x8506f1…
07-31 19:49:21	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x303160…
07-31 19:49:09	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x8bf62f…
07-31 19:49:08	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x1e643a…
07-31 19:49:03	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	8	67¢	$6	0x07e15c…
07-31 19:49:02	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	8	67¢	$6	0x994cf0…
07-31 19:49:02	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0x93dc01…
07-31 19:49:00	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x1a4ce8…
07-31 19:48:59	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x031ada…
07-31 19:48:57	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xe564b0…
07-31 19:48:57	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0xc44817…
07-31 19:48:57	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0xa3e9b9…
07-31 19:48:57	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x257985…
07-31 19:48:56	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x7a1aea…
07-31 19:48:56	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0x3745ad…
07-31 19:48:54	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0xc920b8…
07-31 19:48:54	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	19	67¢	$13	0x17f7dd…
07-31 19:48:53	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	4	67¢	$2	0xa4d89e…
07-31 19:48:53	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xa2cfa7…
07-31 19:48:53	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xa04c37…
07-31 19:48:53	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x4ea71f…
07-31 19:48:53	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	4	67¢	$2	0x45ee3c…
07-31 19:48:53	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	4	67¢	$2	0x36a23b…
07-31 19:48:33	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	61	67¢	$41	0x3ee221…
07-31 19:47:51	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	66	67¢	$44	0xb787e7…
07-31 19:47:47	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	46	67¢	$31	0xe8005c…
07-31 19:47:42	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	600	67¢	$402	0xb6d7ab…
07-31 19:47:42	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0x1fdadd…
07-31 19:47:41	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0xf58eb2…
07-31 19:47:41	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	16	67¢	$10	0xc6428f…
07-31 19:47:39	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	2,580	67¢	$1,729	0xeaad2d…
07-31 19:47:39	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0xce0e95…
07-31 19:47:39	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0xc2eccc…
07-31 19:47:39	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	17	67¢	$11	0x9c97c0…
07-31 19:47:39	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x794cf0…
07-31 17:38:26	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	5,000	91¢	$4,550	0xd0b245…
07-29 20:16:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	27,526	100¢	$27,443	0xd9bc71…
07-29 20:14:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,956	100¢	$1,950	0x398d51…
07-29 20:12:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	9,306	100¢	$9,278	0xd2b407…
07-29 20:02:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	800	100¢	$798	0x4dd9d4…
07-29 20:01:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x058274…
07-29 19:54:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0xdde2d5…
07-29 19:43:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0xfc7ab1…
07-29 19:33:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0x94e286…
07-29 19:26:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x58c8ba…
07-29 19:21:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x1e7929…
07-29 18:31:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x99b122…
07-29 18:24:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$997	0xc5260a…
07-29 18:15:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	321	100¢	$320	0x2730d0…
07-29 18:15:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x2c7661…
07-29 13:42:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	20,000	2¢	$400	0x903c7c…
07-28 15:57:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	8,000	95¢	$7,616	0x214063…
07-28 15:56:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	8,000	95¢	$7,624	0x66cf8d…
07-22 10:45:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	114	99¢	$112	0xdbb979…
07-22 10:39:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	303	99¢	$300	0x4e0e59…
07-22 09:45:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xe4cde8…
07-22 09:45:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x307074…
07-22 09:40:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe8e401…
07-22 09:16:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9c3998…
07-22 09:11:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	15,000	99¢	$14,850	0x170fc6…
07-22 08:36:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$3	0x32b0b1…
07-22 08:01:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x529f9a…
07-22 07:55:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0x935b43…
07-22 07:48:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x87a775…
07-22 07:46:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0xb280ae…
07-22 07:44:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x5e1c79…