Realized P&L
-$1.20K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.08K
Hit rate
34.8%
Resolved
10
Trades
5,224
lifetime
Volume
$710.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$136
Open exposure
$15.9K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-24 18:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
61% 62% $-2,194
Other
37% 100% +$993
Sports
2%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +9,467 $2,438 34¢ $3.3K +$828 06-25 19:59
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +2,037 $1,777 90¢ $1.8K +$46 07-23 20:36
Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +1,853 $1,724 98¢ $1.8K +$85 07-15 19:54
Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET? No +1,746 $1,653 98¢ $1.7K +$53 06-27 21:57
Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +1,663 $1,566 97¢ $1.6K +$49 06-28 19:41
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $860 92¢ $915 +$55 07-01 10:33
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +927 $579 91¢ $844 +$265 07-13 14:54
Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +736 $699 96¢ $702 +$4 06-28 19:51
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +2,500 $625 22¢ $537 $-87 06-10 18:48
Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +534 $504 98¢ $521 +$18 07-02 01:20
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +9,187 $725 $459 $-266 07-16 19:04
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes -609 $-517 70¢ $-426 +$91 06-27 21:48
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? Yes -1,481 $-820 28¢ $-415 +$405 05-29 10:59
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +1,000 $410 32¢ $325 $-85 06-24 15:47
Will Ohio use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +176 $167 97¢ $170 +$3 06-28 19:42
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024? Yes +109 $98 86¢ $94 $-3 06-26 16:32
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +100 $93 94¢ $94 +$0 07-19 15:20
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman? No +93 $60 69¢ $64 +$4 07-08 15:29
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -709 $-44 $-31 +$13 06-28 19:53
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? Yes +50 $26 55¢ $28 +$2 07-08 11:32
Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +20 $19 94¢ $19 $-0 05-28 14:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -10 $-606 99¢ $-10 +$597 06-28 11:36
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 05-29 13:38
Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? No +9 $8 95¢ $8 +$1 06-27 21:17
Will Kyle Langford advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 05-30 19:23
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? No +10 $8 80¢ $8 $-0 06-02 10:15
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes -193 $-2 $-2 $-1 06-26 13:55