Realized P&L
-$1.20K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.19K
Hit rate
34.8%
Resolved
10
Trades
4,875
lifetime
Volume
$668.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$137
Open exposure
$12.6K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-02 01:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
60% 62% $-2,194
Other
38% 100% +$993
Sports
1%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 227 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +9,467 $2,438 34¢ $3.2K +$734 06-25 19:59
Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET? No +1,746 $1,653 98¢ $1.7K +$50 06-27 21:57
Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +1,663 $1,566 96¢ $1.6K +$38 06-28 19:41
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +1,139 $997 92¢ $1.1K +$56 06-26 15:28
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $860 90¢ $895 +$35 07-01 10:33
Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +736 $699 96¢ $702 +$4 06-28 19:51
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +2,500 $625 23¢ $575 $-50 06-10 18:48
Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +534 $504 96¢ $514 +$10 07-02 01:20
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +5,187 $492 10¢ $498 +$6 06-08 21:33
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +1,000 $410 46¢ $460 +$50 06-24 15:47
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes -609 $-517 74¢ $-451 +$66 06-27 21:48
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? Yes -1,481 $-820 20¢ $-304 +$516 05-29 10:59
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +250 $125 77¢ $193 +$68 06-30 21:09
Will Ohio use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +176 $167 90¢ $158 $-9 06-28 19:42
Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +129 $121 93¢ $120 $-1 06-28 19:49
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024? Yes +109 $98 89¢ $97 $-1 06-26 16:32
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman? No +63 $41 66¢ $42 +$1 06-29 12:40
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -709 $-44 $-28 +$16 06-28 19:53
Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +20 $19 94¢ $19 $-0 05-28 14:19
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +10 $9 95¢ $10 +$0 05-29 13:38
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? Yes +9 $7 99¢ $9 +$3 05-30 21:53
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? No +10 $8 86¢ $9 +$1 06-02 10:15
Will Kyle Langford advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 05-30 19:23
Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? No +9 $8 91¢ $8 +$0 06-27 21:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -10 $-606 76¢ $-8 +$599 06-28 11:36
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes -193 $-2 $-3 $-1 06-26 13:55