Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$84

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

53.0%

Resolved

3,336

Trades

57,831

lifetime

Volume

$91.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$220

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 05-13 08:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 102 days

Categories

Other

50% 29% -$396

Politics

36% 36% +$537

Crypto

9% 36% -$207

Tech

4% 41% +$266

Sports

1% 47% -$17

Pop-Culture

1% 26% -$100

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-13).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+112	$110	100¢	$112	+$2	05-13 08:02
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		-110	-$108	99¢	$-109	-$1	05-13 08:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	734	$1.1K	24,757	24,977	-220	No	+$11	02-12 11:19
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	415	$954	13,948	13,948	+0	Yes	+$4	02-12 11:58
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	264	$934	9,599	9,799	-200	No	+$15	02-12 15:32
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	225	$750	8,337	8,103	+234	No	-$3	02-12 12:05
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	148	$695	5,158	4,956	+201	Yes	-$7	01-23 07:22
will the us next strike iran on january 31 2026 et 836	267	$676	8,169	8,107	+61	No	+$38	01-30 01:52
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	202	$638	7,303	7,109	+194	No	+$8	01-24 06:06
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	209	$621	7,250	7,248	+2	No	+$5	02-11 18:49
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	145	$609	5,643	5,472	+170	No	-$6	02-12 12:51
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	80	$586	3,180	3,180	+0	No	-$5	02-12 17:17
will phan van giang be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	159	$574	5,204	5,304	-100	No	+$28	01-23 07:04
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	215	$568	5,120	5,067	+53	No	-$3	02-12 10:35
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	183	$565	3,842	3,963	-121	Yes	+$20	02-12 11:32
will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	83	$518	2,918	2,818	+100	Yes	+$1	01-31 00:55
will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	215	$502	7,651	7,617	+34	No	-$11	02-07 03:21
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	95	$498	2,700	2,800	-100	No	-$72	02-09 23:47
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	84	$495	3,522	3,564	-42	No	+$11	02-12 09:43
trump out as president by march 31	236	$481	7,789	7,784	+5	No	-$3	02-12 16:11
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	159	$480	7,015	7,010	+5	No	+$2	01-30 00:31
will the us next strike iran on january 30 2026 et 866	294	$438	7,239	7,537	-297	No	+$28	01-30 00:44
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	117	$434	4,698	4,600	+98	No	+$10	01-27 07:00
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	183	$434	4,315	4,409	-93	No	+$2	02-12 13:43
will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	106	$433	4,100	4,200	-100	No	-$10	02-03 21:39
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	85	$431	2,864	3,064	-200	No	-$181	02-02 14:54
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	327	$428	7,606	7,477	+129	No	-$2	02-12 12:15
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	173	$418	5,465	5,465	+0	No	+$12	02-12 11:22
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	152	$418	5,288	5,320	-32	No	-$1	01-24 14:45
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	288	$406	8,031	8,331	-300	No	+$2	02-10 13:48
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?	117	$387	3,971	3,920	+51	No	-$9	02-03 10:30
will the us next strike iran on january 24 2026 et 848	168	$364	4,667	4,826	-159	No	+$56	01-26 02:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 08:02:36	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	112	98¢	$110	0x99e861…
05-13 08:02:02	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	110	98¢	$108	0x138364…
03-04 15:39:03	Will Aline Campos win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	SELL	97	0¢	$0	0x9e51a7…
02-28 00:24:29	will moonshot have the 2 ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x71baca…
02-28 00:24:29	will baidu have the 2 ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	64	0¢	$0	0x5036eb…
02-28 00:18:03	will baidu have the 3 ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	90	0¢	$0	0xfdf29e…
02-26 19:56:44	will jonathan gullis reform uk win the gorton and denton by election 852	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x607b5f…
02-23 19:18:08	Will Sarah Andrade win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0x4ec1f4…
02-23 04:59:44	no change in the selic rate after bank of brazils march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xe275e2…
02-23 04:59:22	will matthew macfayden win best actor in a television movie or limited series at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x4554da…
02-23 04:58:08	will february 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x8c4ac2…
02-23 04:58:00	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xf9cf49…
02-23 04:57:18	will the bank of korea decrease the base rate after the february meeting	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xd8b092…
02-23 04:54:24	will jan schakowsky be the democratic nominee for il 09	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xf02553…
02-23 04:54:14	will a contestant numbered 51 75 win beast games season 2	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x712a3e…
02-23 04:54:10	will michele bravi win sanremo 2026	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x0aadc3…
02-23 04:54:00	will raymond hamden be the republican nominee for tx 31	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xb98747…
02-23 04:53:44	will player 172 win beast games season 2 457	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xe2931e…
02-23 04:53:36	will abbott elementary win best ensemble in a comedy series at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x5d6f9c…
02-23 04:53:30	Will Brian Cillessen win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xf7acbb…
02-23 04:53:16	will ted dabrowski win the 2026 illinois governor republican primary election	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x3e9f85…
02-23 04:52:50	will the us test a nuclear weapon by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xdd594a…
02-23 04:52:44	will the us next strike iran on march 30 2026 et	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x2c1900…
02-23 04:52:06	bill clinton charged by march 31	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x9467df…
02-23 04:51:56	will a contestant numbered 151 175 win beast games season 2	No	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x339991…
02-23 04:51:38	will trump say venezuela during the state of the union address	No	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xdb7ad4…
02-23 04:51:20	will trump try to fire powell by march 31	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xa34b35…
02-23 04:51:16	will elon musks net worth be at least 700b on february 28	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xccc2da…
02-23 04:51:02	will tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in q1 2026	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0xc83df0…
02-23 04:50:58	will benicio del toro win best supporting actor in a motion picture at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x0fae2b…
02-23 04:16:20	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x5521ce…
02-23 04:16:08	will the nyc nurses strike end by february 28 2026	No	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x4cb847…
02-23 04:15:54	will hamnet win best adapted screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xb83e71…
02-23 04:15:52	jack smith charged by march 31	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x9d2739…
02-23 04:15:40	Will Shelley Moore Capito be the Republican nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	No	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0xe6695d…
02-23 04:15:26	will grgory doucet win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	Yes	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0x3f3916…
02-23 04:15:08	will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the united states in february 2026	No	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x5c28fd…
02-23 04:14:54	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xef95bb…
02-23 04:14:50	will trump meet with kevin hassett in february 2026	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xc6b1f9…
02-23 04:14:42	New Half-Life game by March 31?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0xb41bd2…
02-23 04:14:28	will trump say nine wars or ninth war in february	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xb70a51…
02-23 04:14:18	will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x88a86e…
02-23 04:01:04	will the bahujan samaj party bsp win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xcdc72e…
02-23 04:01:02	will the all india trinamool congress aitc win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xc434e1…
02-23 04:01:00	will joseph severino win the 2026 illinois governor republican primary election	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xbbc100…
02-23 04:00:58	will mark robinson be the republican nominee for senate in north carolina	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xfdc945…
02-23 04:00:58	will forsen be the nlc 2026 winter split mvp	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xc2b426…
02-23 04:00:58	will flix oros win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x460cc7…
02-23 04:00:56	will gwyneth paltrow win best actress in a motion picture at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x743eea…
02-23 04:00:54	will chip roy be the republican nominee for tx 21	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x7ef7eb…
02-23 04:00:50	will sentimental value win exactly 4 awards at the oscars	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0xe6a6ed…
02-23 04:00:50	will the median home value in the dc metro area be less than 497000 by march 1	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xa3b6e5…
02-23 04:00:46	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?	Yes	SELL	13	9¢	$1	0x75295f…
02-23 04:00:42	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt5 and 6pt0	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0xb4f9fe…
02-23 04:00:42	will trump talk to roger stone in february	Yes	SELL	16	5¢	$1	0x19f1bd…
02-23 04:00:42	Will Robert Wells Jr. be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x16c86b…
02-23 04:00:40	Will Genevieve Mushaluk win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x6b0542…
02-23 04:00:38	will paul rojas be the republican nominee for tx 21	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x9fbadb…
02-23 04:00:38	will moonshot have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x890053…
02-23 04:00:38	will vicente cullar win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x60e07a…
02-23 04:00:36	ansem mindshare all time high by march 31	Yes	SELL	24	10¢	$2	0xc7889c…
02-23 04:00:36	will the daily show desi lydic foxsplains win best short form program at the 37th pga awards	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x8fa496…
02-23 04:00:32	will hamnet win best costume design at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0xf297bf…
02-23 04:00:32	will ted danson win best actor in a comedy series at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0xecaeff…
02-23 04:00:32	Will Mike White win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xdaf21e…
02-23 04:00:32	Will Charlie Davis win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0x9bf786…
02-23 04:00:32	will hamnet win exactly 5 awards at the oscars	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0x30a55f…
02-23 04:00:32	Will Quintavius "Q" Burdette win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0x241745…
02-23 04:00:32	Will Christian Hubicki win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0x155455…
02-23 04:00:32	Will Dee Valladares win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0x013b31…
02-23 04:00:30	will overtime with bill maher win best short form program at the 37th pga awards	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0xfe597e…
02-23 04:00:30	will quinta brunton win best actress in a comedy series at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0xf9c98a…
02-23 04:00:30	Will Chrissy Hofbeck win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0x7d3737…
02-23 04:00:30	Will Kamilla Karthigesu win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0x48d3a0…
02-23 04:00:30	will kathryn hahn win best actress in a comedy series at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	32	1¢	$0	0x25b6bd…
02-23 04:00:30	will chachi win umk 2026	Yes	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0x1c4c22…
02-23 04:00:30	will alibaba have the 2 ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	48	0¢	$0	0x00bea5…
02-23 04:00:28	Will Kyle Fraser win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0x481380…
02-23 04:00:28	Will Robin Toldens be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?	Yes	SELL	34	9¢	$3	0x0b06dd…
02-23 04:00:26	will trump meet with yoon suk yeol in february 2026	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xf355e5…
02-23 04:00:26	will meituan have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0x5a78a6…
02-23 04:00:26	Will Will Boyd win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x3840d5…
02-23 04:00:24	Octra FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	54	6¢	$3	0x8ed398…
02-23 04:00:24	Will Jenna Lewis-Dougherty win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	SELL	55	0¢	$0	0x15bd5d…
02-23 04:00:22	will green alliance win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	SELL	59	0¢	$0	0xecad26…
02-23 04:00:20	Will the All India United Democratic Front (AIUDF) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	72	0¢	$0	0xcc0dba…
02-23 04:00:20	Will Luke Combs release an album in 2026?	No	SELL	75	1¢	$1	0xcaba99…
02-23 04:00:16	will etta win umk 2026	Yes	SELL	79	0¢	$0	0xa45a1e…
02-23 04:00:16	Will the Communist Party of India (CPI) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	79	0¢	$0	0x354a26…
02-23 04:00:14	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt0 by march 31	Yes	SELL	81	1¢	$1	0x66d453…
02-23 04:00:14	will alexander skarsgard win best actor in a comedy series at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	85	0¢	$0	0x1283c1…
02-23 04:00:12	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	SELL	87	6¢	$5	0xf68158…
02-23 04:00:12	will mistral have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	85	0¢	$0	0xc24b44…
02-23 04:00:06	will sentimental value win best film editing at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	98	0¢	$0	0xa7754d…
02-23 04:00:02	will zai have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x3c4633…
02-23 04:00:00	will moonshot have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x4588d3…
02-23 03:59:58	Mezo FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xbaf374…
02-23 03:59:56	will wicked for good win best cast in a motion picture at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xbac78e…
02-23 03:59:56	will jason cahill be the republican nominee for tx 21	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x48ac8b…
02-23 03:59:54	Will Philip Funderburg win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xd18886…