Secret-Corruption — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$906

Unrealized P&L

+$33

Hit rate

52.5%

Resolved

6,314

Trades

140,654

lifetime

Volume

$234.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$253

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 05-15 07:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 146 days

Categories

Other

53% 26% -$2,705

Politics

26% 31% +$1,122

Crypto

12% 20% +$2,274

Sports

7% 37% -$20

Tech

2% 33% +$261

Pop-Culture

0% 31% -$26

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-15).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No		+244	$200	94¢	$230	+$30	05-11 01:20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		+23	$20	96¢	$22	+$2	05-15 07:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	791	$2.6K	28,753	28,806	-53	No	+$14	01-24 14:45
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	663	$2.1K	27,746	27,570	+176	No	-$4	01-27 01:48
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	551	$1.9K	24,179	24,419	-240	Yes	+$6	01-26 21:39
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	436	$1.8K	17,429	17,667	-237	No	+$5	02-25 17:40
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1,120	$1.7K	40,976	41,041	-65	No	+$2	02-26 05:36
will the houston texans win super bowl 2026	432	$1.6K	10,034	9,938	+96	No	+$4	01-18 22:42
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	251	$1.5K	10,914	10,814	+100	Yes	+$14	01-23 07:14
will the denver broncos win super bowl 2026	312	$1.4K	9,004	9,163	-160	No	+$25	01-23 17:49
will the chicago bears win super bowl 2026	596	$1.4K	14,549	14,474	+76	No	+$6	01-19 02:55
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	870	$1.3K	18,855	18,923	-68	Yes	+$14	01-30 01:04
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	329	$1.3K	10,730	10,756	-25	No	+$5	02-11 18:49
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	508	$1.3K	16,617	16,582	+35	Yes	+$11	02-26 07:16
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	426	$1.2K	18,398	17,128	+1,269	No	-$50	01-29 23:06
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	559	$1.2K	24,829	25,113	-284	No	+$8	01-30 00:23
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	260	$1.2K	12,411	12,316	+95	No	+$33	01-24 07:31
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	569	$1.0K	13,664	13,415	+249	Yes	-$11	01-30 00:11
will the us next strike iran on january 31 2026 et 836	526	$978	14,157	13,633	+524	No	+$42	01-30 01:52
will phan van giang be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	222	$945	8,599	8,882	-283	No	+$49	01-23 07:51
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	286	$934	9,700	9,570	+130	No	-$14	02-12 16:25
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	328	$925	11,919	11,983	-64	No	+$12	02-03 03:25
will the san francisco 49ers win super bowl 2026	332	$914	10,591	10,373	+219	No	+$0	01-18 03:29
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	327	$906	13,464	14,306	-842	No	-$2	01-30 00:19
trump out as president by march 31	405	$904	14,513	14,396	+116	No	-$14	02-25 21:05
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	672	$894	20,694	20,338	+356	No	-$14	02-10 08:19
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	123	$881	4,719	4,697	+22	No	-$1	03-08 12:16
bitcoin up or down march 1 11pm et	3	$808	800	800	+0	Up	+$776	03-02 05:00
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	189	$798	8,982	9,093	-110	No	+$13	01-30 00:31
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	339	$773	7,009	6,982	+28	No	+$6	02-25 20:03
will xai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	449	$755	13,302	13,245	+57	No	-$14	01-29 22:22
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	118	$735	4,684	4,576	+108	No	-$11	02-25 13:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 07:01:33	Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x43f1eb…
05-15 07:01:00	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xd2aa4f…
05-15 07:00:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x27140b…
05-11 01:20:00	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0xded017…
05-11 01:19:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x5ea01d…
03-24 05:02:21	nhl 2025 26 presidents trophy winner new york rangers	Yes	SELL	70	0¢	$0	0x5702f3…
03-24 05:02:19	nhl 2025 26 presidents trophy winner san jose sharks	Yes	SELL	69	0¢	$0	0xdbe012…
03-14 09:13:39	will awisi bustos be the democratic nominee for senate in illinois	Yes	SELL	53	0¢	$0	0x1858be…
03-13 16:37:55	Will Chrissy Hofbeck win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	SELL	62	1¢	$0	0xfcd4d0…
03-12 12:56:17	will hamnet win exactly 5 awards at the oscars	Yes	SELL	94	0¢	$0	0x7644a6…
03-12 04:53:03	nhl 2025 26 presidents trophy winner chicago blackhawks	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x835aab…
03-12 00:17:07	Will Brinker Harding be the Republican nominee for NE-02?	No	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xaa9a51…
03-11 23:15:45	Will Brinker Harding be the Republican nominee for NE-02?	No	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xcd3631…
03-11 15:28:39	nhl 2025 26 presidents trophy winner chicago blackhawks	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x4c0ee8…
03-11 15:15:35	nhl 2025 26 presidents trophy winner new york rangers	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x78473d…
03-11 15:15:35	nhl 2025 26 presidents trophy winner san jose sharks	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x4a4d92…
03-11 10:12:05	will bij1 win the most seats in amsterdams 2026 municipal election	Yes	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0x3d9f60…
03-10 22:57:21	nikita bier out as head of product at x by march 31	Yes	SELL	70	5¢	$3	0xcf46ad…
03-10 18:56:01	will jump shepherd be the democratic nominee for senate in illinois	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x5ffa9d…
03-10 13:08:07	Will Dylan Harper win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xe3e187…
03-10 09:45:29	Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	52	0¢	$0	0x2751d5…
03-09 17:42:45	will the bharatiya janata party bjp win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x40f163…
03-08 12:18:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	158	38¢	$60	0x214fd1…
03-08 12:16:57	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x88fa9d…
03-08 12:16:19	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb2ddec…
03-08 12:16:17	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x308eb0…
03-08 12:15:49	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6b9077…
03-08 11:15:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x9e0d6f…
03-08 10:59:59	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xab3db5…
03-08 10:59:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	47	5¢	$2	0xd3892c…
03-08 10:59:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	29	5¢	$1	0x923094…
03-08 10:59:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x6e5498…
03-08 10:59:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x39bc2d…
03-08 10:59:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	53	5¢	$3	0x2b2c8e…
03-08 10:59:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2b0d78…
03-08 09:45:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x980faa…
03-08 09:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x3cdb46…
03-08 08:05:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xf5de4d…
03-08 08:05:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x8988a7…
03-08 07:55:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xa0ca94…
03-08 07:39:25	ethereum up or down march 8 2am et	Up	SELL	1,000	2¢	$20	0xffe983…
03-08 07:35:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xcd6faf…
03-08 07:01:25	xrp up or down march 8 2am et	Up	SELL	39	19¢	$7	0xdf4dbc…
03-08 07:01:19	xrp up or down march 8 2am et	Up	SELL	14	19¢	$3	0x6704a6…
03-08 07:01:15	xrp up or down march 8 2am et	Up	SELL	928	19¢	$176	0x7efb79…
03-08 07:00:57	xrp up or down march 8 2am et	Up	SELL	219	19¢	$42	0x38315e…
03-08 07:00:05	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Up	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xed8106…
03-08 07:00:05	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Up	BUY	991	1¢	$10	0xd77724…
03-08 07:00:05	xrp up or down march 8 2am et	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x520eb0…
03-08 07:00:05	xrp up or down march 8 2am et	Up	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x29682f…
03-08 07:00:05	ethereum up or down march 8 2am et	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x290da2…
03-08 06:02:41	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	35	9¢	$3	0xf6f59e…
03-08 06:02:41	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	29	9¢	$3	0xba6188…
03-08 06:02:41	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0x2acae1…
03-08 06:02:41	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	71	9¢	$6	0x23aca5…
03-08 06:02:25	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0xca4433…
03-08 06:02:23	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0xe3b357…
03-08 06:02:23	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	28	12¢	$3	0xd43c37…
03-08 06:02:23	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	42	12¢	$5	0x2d5a48…
03-08 06:02:23	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	34	12¢	$4	0x073832…
03-08 06:02:07	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	89	20¢	$18	0xd5c786…
03-08 06:02:07	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xc9163c…
03-08 06:02:07	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	65	20¢	$13	0x21f047…
03-08 06:02:05	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0xe10be2…
03-08 06:01:49	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0xe19018…
03-08 06:01:49	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	27	16¢	$4	0xb1f99f…
03-08 06:01:47	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	70	16¢	$11	0x95c7a6…
03-08 06:01:47	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x556b63…
03-08 06:01:45	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0xfffde6…
03-08 06:01:45	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0xe99d38…
03-08 06:01:45	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x2d9e35…
03-08 06:01:31	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xf693cc…
03-08 06:01:31	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xe2dfca…
03-08 06:01:31	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x6b2180…
03-08 06:01:11	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	11	23¢	$2	0xfec577…
03-08 06:01:11	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	39	23¢	$9	0xa9d872…
03-08 06:01:11	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	90	23¢	$21	0x4b652b…
03-08 06:01:11	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	27	23¢	$6	0x3ebc9d…
03-08 06:01:09	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	17	23¢	$4	0x417357…
03-08 06:01:07	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0xf8ccf8…
03-08 06:01:07	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	57	23¢	$13	0x382e90…
03-08 06:01:01	bitcoin up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	44	7¢	$3	0xf9550b…
03-08 06:01:01	bitcoin up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	143	7¢	$10	0xe1ec1f…
03-08 06:01:01	bitcoin up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	42	9¢	$4	0xc2f70a…
03-08 06:01:01	bitcoin up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	142	7¢	$10	0xbe68f9…
03-08 06:01:01	bitcoin up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0xa4e66b…
03-08 06:01:01	bitcoin up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	226	7¢	$16	0x9ee5e6…
03-08 06:01:01	bitcoin up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	63	7¢	$4	0x21e3fd…
03-08 06:01:01	bitcoin up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	42	7¢	$3	0x19620c…
03-08 06:00:55	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	16	40¢	$7	0xf3d970…
03-08 06:00:53	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0xc1b47b…
03-08 06:00:53	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0xae7b09…
03-08 06:00:53	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	17	40¢	$7	0x50c1b0…
03-08 06:00:53	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x263981…
03-08 06:00:51	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0xe4829c…
03-08 06:00:51	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	17	40¢	$7	0xdc6c7e…
03-08 06:00:51	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x9434c6…
03-08 06:00:51	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x64bbb2…
03-08 06:00:51	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x53f6f6…
03-08 06:00:51	solana up or down march 8 1am et	Down	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x4e5cfa…