Realized P&L
-$16
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
17.9%
Resolved
9
Trades
4,422
lifetime
Volume
$17.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$33
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 06-10 00:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
43% 0% $-10
Other
34% 50% $-3
Sports
10% 0% $-3
Tech
7%
Crypto
5%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes +8 $6 60¢ $5 $-1 05-29 06:56
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +5 $3 88¢ $4 +$1 05-28 12:27
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +9 $4 47¢ $4 $-0 06-03 11:56
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No -5 $-4 80¢ $-4 $-0 06-05 14:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +5 $4 72¢ $4 +$0 06-05 03:59
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -3 $-3 96¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 09:48
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +3 $3 90¢ $3 +$0 05-28 16:26
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No +30 $3 $2 $-1 06-02 20:20
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor? Yes +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-05 16:08
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 05-28 07:24
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 05-29 11:04
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -1 $-1 46¢ $-1 +$0 05-28 06:38
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes +53 $1 $0 $-1 06-06 21:22
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -10 $0 $-0 $-1 06-09 21:50