Big-Whey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

17.9%

Resolved

Trades

4,613

lifetime

Volume

$18.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 07-02 04:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

44% 0% $-10

Other

34% 50% $-3

Sports

10% 0% $-3

Tech

7% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	176	$862	458	458	+0	open	—	03-27 19:19
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	135	$625	347	347	+0	open	—	03-10 13:39
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	106	$431	261	261	+0	open	—	03-13 05:44
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	64	$391	283	290	-7	open	—	02-12 21:34
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	56	$334	204	204	+0	open	—	03-31 12:46
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	79	$327	198	198	+0	open	—	03-13 03:42
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	88	$313	347	341	+6	open	—	02-19 18:44
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	46	$292	217	207	+10	open	—	02-17 17:47
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	61	$276	160	160	+0	open	—	04-14 11:12
will tit me pregunt be played first at the super bowl halftime show	54	$259	214	205	+9	open	—	02-09 03:06
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	31	$250	142	142	+0	open	—	02-19 19:11
will the government shutdown last 10 days or more 772 652	24	$225	118	118	+0	open	—	02-03 19:03
will the us invade iran by march 31	43	$224	126	126	+0	open	—	03-27 19:14
will claude 5 be released by february 14 2026 449	31	$217	123	123	+0	open	—	02-08 14:01
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	36	$213	138	138	+0	open	—	02-01 00:21
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	40	$201	157	157	+0	open	—	04-12 22:36
will the government shutdown last 6 days or more 888	25	$195	360	110	+250	open	—	02-03 21:08
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	193	$187	2,183	2,183	+0	open	—	02-11 07:16
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	37	$182	154	144	+10	open	—	02-19 19:22
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	29	$177	122	121	+0	open	—	04-12 16:47
will there be between 6 and 9 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	37	$173	239	221	+18	open	—	02-18 16:44
iran confirmed not to participate in 2026 fifa world cup by march 31	47	$171	115	115	+0	open	—	03-19 12:12
us strikes iran by february 4 2026	20	$169	91	91	+0	open	—	02-04 06:40
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	24	$162	107	107	+0	open	—	01-31 15:25
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to minnesota timberwolves	20	$156	85	85	+0	open	—	02-05 07:52
will giannis antetokounmpo not be traded	25	$156	117	107	+10	open	—	02-05 06:24
will uae strike iran by march 31	43	$151	102	102	+0	open	—	03-06 17:41
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	44	$151	200	200	+0	open	—	04-04 02:33
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	19	$146	90	95	-5	open	—	02-22 04:49
Will the US strike Somalia next?	28	$142	1,384	1,339	+44	open	—	02-04 22:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 04:25:32	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x48d088…
07-02 04:22:38	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x36ffb3…
07-02 04:20:22	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	16	25¢	$4	0xdf6817…
07-01 10:18:25	will benjamin netanyahu sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950076	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa1edc8…
07-01 10:18:23	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xc8baf6…
07-01 10:18:19	Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0x88f63b…
07-01 10:18:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x6fe736…
07-01 10:18:07	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x83cffe…
07-01 10:18:04	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x6ed1ed…
07-01 10:17:58	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xb889c6…
07-01 10:17:53	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	12	56¢	$7	0x3c843f…
07-01 10:17:49	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	No	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0x2c92df…
06-28 02:15:20	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	11	61¢	$7	0x7c462b…
06-26 17:05:25	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x75da3c…
06-26 13:58:16	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x75aed9…
06-19 20:44:26	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf62416…
06-19 19:49:55	will russia capture orikhiv by september 30 2026	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x8b85e2…
06-19 12:59:28	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x887467…
06-19 11:54:34	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xeda71d…
06-19 09:07:55	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xfa45c6…
06-18 17:42:02	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x31fb21…
06-18 16:23:01	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb36ef5…
06-18 14:51:59	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x43fe96…
06-18 14:39:37	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xa066a1…
06-18 13:15:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	Yes	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0x821377…
06-18 13:04:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	Yes	SELL	15	24¢	$4	0xa106cb…
06-18 12:52:53	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe7a736…
06-17 20:11:38	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x902d95…
06-17 18:49:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x3f8d23…
06-17 18:37:26	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x910a30…
06-17 18:37:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x6a9b36…
06-17 08:46:43	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0xaaad13…
06-17 08:46:43	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x94de38…
06-17 08:36:11	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x776a1e…
06-17 08:02:20	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x36b5ab…
06-17 05:53:07	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x690b98…
06-17 05:29:11	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xf2028e…
06-17 01:08:44	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3e9f1d…
06-17 01:08:37	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x0a2b7f…
06-17 00:59:26	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0xbf1f37…
06-16 22:49:08	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xc9fb1d…
06-16 22:27:07	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbb03a1…
06-16 22:16:04	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x935546…
06-16 22:06:07	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x8d3d63…
06-16 22:05:07	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	14	21¢	$3	0x7c4db3…
06-16 21:53:32	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x2a8ea6…
06-16 21:33:29	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x10effd…
06-16 21:19:08	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2c1470…
06-16 21:08:02	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x1dc510…
06-16 21:07:52	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x423a2a…
06-16 20:52:59	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x3df8c6…
06-16 20:52:53	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf59146…
06-16 20:40:58	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x718c5d…
06-16 18:48:16	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x90c8bb…
06-16 18:37:56	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x004f7d…
06-16 18:37:20	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0x116426…
06-16 18:02:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xaf9dc0…
06-16 17:28:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x87745f…
06-16 17:18:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xc9de5b…
06-16 10:21:30	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5e4519…
06-16 08:48:01	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x34e914…
06-16 08:24:40	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xe27292…
06-16 08:14:13	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x252472…
06-16 08:03:19	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x2ee02f…
06-15 23:56:39	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x58d579…
06-15 19:21:01	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 btts	No	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x1d8eab…
06-15 19:21:00	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 btts	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x297cbb…
06-15 19:20:58	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 btts	No	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x8feb1e…
06-15 17:04:16	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x609447…
06-15 16:53:19	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xc29f82…
06-15 16:42:09	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xea6487…
06-15 16:19:52	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xe08ac5…
06-15 16:19:51	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x9a080a…
06-15 16:19:49	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xe0d955…
06-15 15:24:12	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x644f31…
06-15 14:16:28	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x2d8389…
06-15 14:05:16	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x91c8f1…
06-15 12:48:52	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xafd853…
06-15 11:28:52	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x7e430f…
06-15 06:50:46	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0x776f1e…
06-15 02:12:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xebda71…
06-15 02:01:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x586924…
06-15 01:38:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x398468…
06-14 23:37:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xf2a466…
06-14 23:33:45	cs2 9z mglz 2026 06 15	TheMongolz	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb20ea2…
06-14 23:22:09	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xee9e51…
06-14 23:10:57	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb9c7a7…
06-14 22:25:39	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x544702…
06-14 21:49:21	will jd vance sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950068	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xb4f744…
06-14 21:38:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x0a32e0…
06-14 21:37:34	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x768eb7…
06-14 21:26:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xe984d2…
06-14 21:14:09	will donald trump sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950067	No	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0xc4b7e1…
06-14 20:17:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6168f1…
06-14 19:43:00	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 btts	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc2c775…
06-14 13:16:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe0ba71…
06-14 13:16:30	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe41ea8…
06-14 12:53:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xfbddd9…
06-14 11:46:36	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x6667d2…
06-14 11:35:22	will benjamin netanyahu sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950076	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3f5916…