Innocent-Mini — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12.1K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.1%

Resolved

1,938

Trades

5,607

lifetime

Volume

$224.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 10-18 14:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 134 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 58% -$1,386

Other

41% 37% -$10,194

Sports

7% 18% -$503

Politics

0% 14% -$13

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	25	$3.9K	11,994	11,994	+0	No	$0	06-16 09:35
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	10	$2.8K	13,322	246	+13,077	No	-$2,669	04-28 20:31
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	65	$2.7K	42,773	42,773	+0	Yes	+$36	03-17 16:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 12:20 UTC	4	$2.5K	2,127	2,127	+0	Up	+$300	06-08 12:22
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	2	$2.4K	8,134	0	+8,134	No	-$2,440	04-29 13:01
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	22	$2.4K	24,526	24,526	+0	No	-$5	06-24 14:02
epl ars sun 2026 02 07 ars	7	$2.2K	1,343	1,343	+0	Yes	+$48	02-07 15:43
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	19	$2.0K	6,128	6,128	+0	Yes	-$55	06-25 10:40
epl mun cry 2026 03 01 mun	8	$2.0K	1,387	1,387	+0	Yes	+$185	03-01 15:41
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score	2	$2.0K	1,389	1,378	+12	Yes	-$38	04-28 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 12:25 UTC	2	$1.8K	1,160	1,160	+0	Up	+$392	06-08 12:28
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Score	2	$1.6K	2,057	954	+1,104	No	-$587	04-27 18:50
epl lee ars 2026 01 31 ars	11	$1.6K	1,207	1,207	+0	Yes	+$69	01-31 16:01
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	15	$1.4K	7,113	7,113	+0	No	-$147	06-25 10:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 13:45 UTC	11	$1.4K	2,733	2,733	+0	Down	+$900	06-13 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 11:25 UTC	5	$1.4K	1,169	812	+357	Up	+$218	06-08 11:29
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	4	$1.3K	863	850	+13	Yes	+$425	04-27 21:01
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	3	$1.2K	862	851	+11	Yes	+$252	04-25 15:20
Real Oviedo vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Score	7	$1.2K	1,019	1,004	+14	Yes	+$163	04-26 15:59
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	12	$1.2K	28,825	28,825	+0	No	-$34	06-25 10:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 12:35 UTC	4	$1.2K	1,772	672	+1,100	Up	+$103	06-08 12:40
cdr bet atm 2026 02 05 atm	4	$1.2K	819	819	+0	Yes	+$422	02-05 20:39
spl riy nsr 2026 02 02 nsr	3	$1.2K	671	671	+0	Yes	+$84	02-02 17:08
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?	5	$1.2K	6,485	29	+6,456	No	-$1,162	05-05 16:17
epl tot mac 2026 02 01 mac	5	$1.2K	891	848	+43	No	+$149	02-01 18:17
cdr fcb atm 2026 03 03 fcb	6	$1.1K	840	840	+0	Yes	+$2	03-03 20:08
lal rea ray 2026 02 01 rea	6	$1.1K	780	780	+0	Yes	+$5	02-01 14:50
AC Milan vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score	4	$1.1K	2,429	0	+2,429	No	-$1,104	04-26 19:39
lal rea get 2026 03 02 rea	8	$1.1K	805	729	+76	No	-$36	03-02 21:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 11:20 UTC	4	$1.1K	796	796	+0	Up	+$82	06-08 11:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 14:56:42	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	SELL	39	64¢	$25	0xe187df…
10-18 14:54:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	215	13¢	$28	0xa1c4eb…
10-18 14:54:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5,490	0¢	$16	0xd89b93…
10-18 14:54:44	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	140	27¢	$38	0x7970d5…
10-18 07:23:06	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	39	63¢	$25	0x09a971…
10-18 07:22:51	AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	47	57¢	$27	0x6cd246…
10-18 07:19:44	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0xbc6ac2…
10-18 03:06:48	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	134	28¢	$38	0x538867…
10-18 03:05:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	206	13¢	$27	0xc6bb52…
10-17 17:23:54	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	274	27¢	$75	0x68891e…
10-17 17:19:39	FC Bayern München vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x98cac7…
10-17 17:17:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	421	14¢	$59	0x18541d…
10-17 17:11:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,490	0¢	$22	0xf0e3d7…
10-17 17:11:24	Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	34	70¢	$24	0xd80a70…
10-17 16:59:00	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	80	89¢	$71	0xeab2ce…
10-17 16:54:42	Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	34	55¢	$19	0xab9ffe…
10-17 16:53:09	Newcastle United FC to score first vs. Aston Villa FC?	Yes	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0x435417…
10-17 16:51:47	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	80	43¢	$34	0xda77ec…
10-17 15:48:59	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	160	41¢	$66	0x5ba4e3…
10-17 15:47:26	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	78	88¢	$68	0xe993e8…
10-17 15:11:35	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	78	36¢	$28	0x891cca…
10-17 15:10:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10,074	0¢	$30	0x2d2a8e…
10-11 15:58:49	Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	106	45¢	$48	0x4aef86…
10-04 15:17:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,074	0¢	$50	0xb38256…
09-15 17:30:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x9213d8…
09-15 17:29:19	Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-09-15?	Yes	SELL	209	6¢	$13	0x5d4703…
09-15 16:09:37	Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-09-15?	Yes	BUY	209	44¢	$92	0xfcd6b5…
09-15 16:07:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7,500	0¢	$15	0xcb9efe…
07-05 21:42:35	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	SELL	94	99¢	$93	0x1be4eb…
07-05 14:14:25	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	94	44¢	$41	0x796eac…
07-04 16:53:20	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 goals ismael saibari gte1	Yes	BUY	64	33¢	$21	0xcbc78d…
07-01 18:30:25	Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 3 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	192	3¢	$5	0x590555…
07-01 18:28:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 18:25 UTC	Up	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0xae6920…
07-01 18:25:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x2aa2d1…
06-25 10:45:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1,160	21¢	$244	0x8fcfdd…
06-25 10:45:01	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3,519	8¢	$264	0x459aa7…
06-25 10:43:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	952	6¢	$57	0x4db827…
06-25 10:42:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	206	17¢	$34	0x8401b8…
06-25 10:42:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 10:40 UTC	Up	SELL	32	31¢	$10	0x196ae7…
06-25 10:42:07	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5,712	2¢	$91	0x80959d…
06-25 10:41:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	685	29¢	$199	0xaecc79…
06-25 10:40:44	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,552	14¢	$214	0x3b7d42…
06-25 10:35:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	80	48¢	$38	0x3317e8…
06-25 10:32:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0xedf3f6…
06-25 10:32:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 10:30 UTC	Up	SELL	222	43¢	$95	0x9b83be…
06-25 10:31:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	222	43¢	$96	0xdde051…
06-25 10:25:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5352d8…
06-25 10:24:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x151d46…
06-25 10:22:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	64	11¢	$7	0x0aa754…
06-25 10:22:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 10:20 UTC	Up	SELL	300	13¢	$39	0x0bbb6a…
06-25 10:20:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	300	9¢	$27	0xf8b993…
06-25 10:19:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 10:15 UTC	Down	SELL	64	56¢	$36	0x3bdaac…
06-25 10:18:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	64	11¢	$7	0xbeb66b…
06-25 10:14:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x09fad4…
06-25 10:14:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 10:10 UTC	Up	SELL	104	83¢	$86	0x5f66e0…
06-25 10:10:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb50281…
06-25 10:10:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	51	53¢	$27	0xb59e48…
06-25 10:10:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	51	53¢	$27	0x06993e…
06-25 10:07:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	54	13¢	$7	0x7dd216…
06-25 10:06:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	60	45¢	$27	0x3d1fed…
06-25 10:02:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 10:00 UTC	Up	SELL	53	64¢	$34	0x2164de…
06-25 10:00:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	53	51¢	$27	0x170627…
06-25 09:59:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x4e759a…
06-25 09:59:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 09:55 UTC	Up	SELL	150	73¢	$109	0xe53a8e…
06-25 09:55:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	150	53¢	$79	0xaa3d8b…
06-25 09:52:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0xa389e7…
06-25 09:51:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x27bef2…
06-25 09:49:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	58	12¢	$7	0x22feb6…
06-25 09:49:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 09:45 UTC	Up	SELL	38	72¢	$28	0x9ad56e…
06-25 09:48:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x7ba1af…
06-25 09:44:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 09:40 UTC	Up	SELL	52	94¢	$49	0xe70f57…
06-25 09:42:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xc3d6eb…
06-25 09:42:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x2e83a8…
06-25 07:34:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 07:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xfeec60…
06-25 07:31:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6b7198…
06-24 14:02:46	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4,349	5¢	$230	0x12a80b…
06-24 10:00:13	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	633	5¢	$34	0x61fbb2…
06-24 09:59:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 09:55 UTC	Up	SELL	37	96¢	$35	0x8f4d06…
06-24 09:57:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x753559…
06-24 09:57:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xaaa323…
06-24 09:56:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x5101ec…
06-24 09:53:01	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,852	5¢	$100	0xe5f345…
06-24 09:52:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 09:50 UTC	Up	SELL	89	55¢	$49	0xeda67a…
06-24 09:51:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	89	37¢	$33	0x10ad94…
06-24 09:49:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 09:45 UTC	Up	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x73d06e…
06-24 09:48:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x2c5ae5…
06-24 09:47:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 09:45 UTC	Up	SELL	39	51¢	$20	0x03588b…
06-24 09:45:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x8a9fe4…
06-24 09:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0x7a68ef…
06-24 09:41:46	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3,785	5¢	$201	0x230711…
06-23 21:22:43	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	412	7¢	$29	0x097797…
06-23 08:29:49	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5,746	2¢	$103	0xc8246d…
06-23 07:49:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	84	97¢	$81	0x03c3fe…
06-23 07:47:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x4883ad…
06-23 07:46:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	43	76¢	$33	0x5d8965…
06-23 07:41:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0xd511a4…
06-23 07:39:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 07:35 UTC	Up	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x35c54e…
06-23 07:38:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	38	87¢	$33	0xaf3c9f…
06-23 07:37:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 07:35 UTC	Up	SELL	58	70¢	$41	0x0722b7…
06-23 07:37:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	58	57¢	$33	0x7d4e7a…