Perfumed-Appointment 0x3f3bfc…9f1d77
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$12.2K
Unrealized P&L
-$27.7K
Hit rate
78.1%
Resolved
258
Trades
7,802
lifetime
Volume
$1.40M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$179
Open exposure
$204.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 02:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 64 days
Categories
Other
67% 70% +$47,395
Politics
11% 42% -$7,522
Crypto
10% 29% -$5,176
Sports
9% 38% -$23,824
Tech
2% 44% +$857
Pop-Culture
0% 75% +$454
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 168 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +28,075 $12,815 88¢ $24.8K +$12,031 08-31 17:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -21,533 -$9,131 90¢ $-19272 -$10,141 07-22 23:06
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +23,327 $17,188 58¢ $13.6K -$3,542 09-15 04:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No -13,755 -$7,839 92¢ $-12723 -$4,884 07-18 21:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -13,000 -$9,147 96¢ $-12487 -$3,340 07-24 02:09
Trump out as President before 2027? No -11,000 -$10,495 96¢ $-10549 -$54 10-01 02:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +10,000 $8,060 96¢ $9.6K +$1,545 10-25 18:48
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No -10,417 -$5,668 88¢ $-9141 -$3,473 07-23 22:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -9,421 -$6,524 97¢ $-9124 -$2,600 06-29 09:03
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No -9,228 -$7,642 98¢ $-9076 -$1,434 06-04 22:44
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -9,000 -$8,650 97¢ $-8708 -$58 09-23 11:27
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +18,414 $7,135 44¢ $8.2K +$1,041 10-26 20:52
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +10,501 $6,805 65¢ $6.8K +$20 10-26 15:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +6,953 $6,307 94¢ $6.5K +$229 10-10 13:15
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +13,944 $4,426 38¢ $5.4K +$942 10-25 04:51
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +12,659 $3,119 38¢ $4.9K +$1,755 10-25 22:58
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +5,119 $3,909 76¢ $3.9K +$8 10-25 06:01
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +29,702 $5,859 12¢ $3.6K -$2,221 08-31 20:17
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No -4,000 -$3,413 85¢ $-3400 +$13 10-13 10:00
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +10,264 $3,035 32¢ $3.2K +$198 10-26 16:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +21,135 $7,973 11¢ $2.2K -$5,754 10-20 09:29
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,000 $2,039 72¢ $2.1K +$106 10-23 15:15
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No +2,302 $1,465 92¢ $2.1K +$659 09-15 04:57
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? No +2,125 $1,935 96¢ $2.0K +$94 09-20 12:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +26,898 $10,271 8¢ $2.0K -$8,254 10-21 23:16
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -2,000 -$1,154 96¢ $-1919 -$765 09-08 18:22
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +2,071 $1,825 90¢ $1.9K +$28 10-27 02:55
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes -4,088 -$1,035 44¢ $-1819 -$784 10-02 18:47
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -3,935 -$2,242 34¢ $-1358 +$884 10-25 17:57
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,647 $1,252 82¢ $1.3K +$91 10-11 17:12