Same-Kidney 0xdaef2b…4554e9
whale hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$790.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$38.5K
Hit rate
59.7%
Resolved
1,727
Trades
43,118
lifetime
Volume
$13.7M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$319
Open exposure
$232.1K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-28 00:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 223 days
Categories
Other
66% 54% +$660,056
Sports
21% 50% +$51,607
Politics
13% 66% +$72,248
Crypto
1% 86% +$6,031
Tech
0% 100% +$68
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 3082 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +181,574 $123,087 54¢ $97.1K -$25,945 10-28 00:57
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +70,000 $22,100 29¢ $19.9K -$2,150 09-24 19:35
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +20,000 $13,600 62¢ $12.5K -$1,100 09-25 19:47
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +20,000 $13,600 62¢ $12.5K -$1,100 09-25 17:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -14,777 -$12,344 82¢ $-12043 +$301 09-28 16:22
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +65,323 $14,118 18¢ $11.4K -$2,686 10-25 03:56
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +12,606 $7,153 78¢ $9.9K +$2,743 09-16 20:51
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +15,544 $9,637 62¢ $9.6K -$78 10-25 11:14
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -13,286 -$8,769 66¢ $-8835 -$66 10-26 21:24
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +8,145 $6,516 80¢ $6.5K -$41 09-01 14:44
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -9,133 -$6,028 66¢ $-6073 -$46 10-27 03:13
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,606 $2,856 60¢ $2.8K -$69 10-25 13:30
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? No +2,825 $2,578 96¢ $2.7K +$129 09-05 22:15
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No +2,488 $1,780 92¢ $2.3K +$503 09-26 02:44
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No -2,328 -$1,979 96¢ $-2243 -$264 05-13 17:33
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +50,000 $7,500 4¢ $2.2K -$5,300 09-08 17:58
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -2,481 -$2,233 86¢ $-2146 +$87 10-13 13:32
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2,394 $1,201 90¢ $2.1K +$941 06-21 19:02
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +3,793 $1,312 56¢ $2.1K +$797 08-22 18:24
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -2,249 -$1,678 94¢ $-2103 -$425 05-06 08:59
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +50,000 $7,000 4¢ $2.0K -$5,000 10-21 17:22
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +1,779 $1,369 80¢ $1.4K +$53 08-14 10:16
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +20,000 $600 4¢ $870 +$270 09-23 21:07
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +463 $301 70¢ $322 +$21 08-04 12:59
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +269 $175 70¢ $187 +$12 08-04 12:59
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +673 $195 22¢ $145 -$50 09-29 20:04
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +48 $37 80¢ $39 +$2 10-23 20:05