Realized P&L (7d)
-$249.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$545
Hit rate
40.2%
Resolved (7d)
55
Trades (7d)
1,220
46,740 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.17M
$17.9M lifetime
Avg / trade
$383
Open exposure
$217.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 11-15 11:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 241 days
Categories
Other
66% 53% +$353,958
Sports
20% 49% -$15,308
Politics
13% 65% +$84,273
Crypto
0% 86% +$6,031
Tech
0% 100% +$68
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 3082 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +102,103 $70,614 80¢ $81.4K +$10,762 11-03 17:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -14,777 -$12,344 92¢ $-13669 -$1,325 09-28 16:22
Vikings vs. Packers Packers +24,000 $13,680 56¢ $13.6K -$120 11-15 11:43
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -13,264 -$11,614 94¢ $-12402 -$788 11-04 02:20
Panthers vs. Saints Panthers +24,000 $12,000 50¢ $11.9K -$120 11-15 14:44
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) Chiefs +24,000 $11,520 48¢ $11.4K -$120 11-15 14:43
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +65,323 $14,118 15¢ $9.5K -$4,646 10-25 03:56
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -7,207 -$6,388 97¢ $-7023 -$636 11-04 02:20
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma Oklahoma +12,000 $6,840 56¢ $6.7K -$180 11-15 08:55
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5) Raiders +12,000 $6,240 52¢ $6.2K -$60 11-15 15:06
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) Titans +12,000 $6,000 50¢ $5.9K -$60 11-15 14:48
Spread: Bills (-7.5) Jets +12,000 $5,880 50¢ $5.9K +$60 11-15 06:10
Spread: 49ers (-3.5) Cowboys +12,000 $5,760 50¢ $5.9K +$180 11-15 06:14
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +14,249 $4,224 37¢ $5.3K +$1,055 11-14 08:29
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,691 $2,192 100¢ $3.7K +$1,493 11-09 00:36
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? No +2,825 $2,578 100¢ $2.8K +$244 09-05 22:15
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No +2,488 $1,780 95¢ $2.4K +$589 09-26 02:44
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No -2,328 -$1,979 100¢ $-2317 -$338 05-13 17:33
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2,394 $1,201 92¢ $2.2K +$1,001 06-21 19:02
Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028? Yes +17,921 -$331 9¢ $1.6K +$1,971 11-14 14:55
Patriots vs. Lions Patriots +12,000 $5,400 10¢ $1.1K -$4,260 11-15 14:47
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +50,000 $7,500 2¢ $925 -$6,575 09-08 17:58
Will Abdul El-Sayed run 0 to 3 points behind Jocelyn Benson? Yes +886 $174 97¢ $860 +$685 11-02 03:51
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No -841 -$820 96¢ $-804 +$17 11-07 05:25
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +15,000 $440 5¢ $743 +$303 11-10 19:39
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%? Yes +700 $151 99¢ $695 +$543 11-03 19:29
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +4,946 $544 8¢ $371 -$173 11-12 01:24
Will Abdul El-Sayed run 3 to 6 points behind Jocelyn Benson? No +211 $49 98¢ $207 +$158 11-02 03:51
Will Caedrel Reach Challenger Before the End of the Year? No +198 $140 92¢ $181 +$41 09-16 04:21
Will Colette Kress be the next CEO of NVIDIA? Yes +1,398 $410 12¢ $163 -$247 11-12 04:06