Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd00…b0ab35
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$90.5K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.15K
Hit rate
37.4%
Resolved
23
Trades
110,767
lifetime
Volume
$36.3M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$327
Open exposure
$49.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 23:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
71% 20% $-90,766
Other
28% 100% +$727
Crypto
1% — —
Sports
0% 0% $-510
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 1194 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +25,608 $21,259 74¢ $18.8K $-2,437 07-18 17:57
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +8,953 $7,692 89¢ $8.0K +$267 06-07 18:23
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +7,070 $6,308 86¢ $6.0K $-263 07-20 00:14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +4,100 $3,568 90¢ $3.7K +$102 07-17 17:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +11,952 $1,741 26¢ $3.2K +$1,427 07-20 09:25
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +18,488 $1,798 11¢ $1.9K +$143 07-20 00:32
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +1,835 $1,389 86¢ $1.6K +$198 07-01 20:45
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -826 $-743 95¢ $-785 $-41 05-31 16:46
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No +703 $679 99¢ $693 +$13 06-05 04:12
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +747 $596 76¢ $571 $-25 06-26 04:40
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +2,586 $1,527 20¢ $530 $-997 06-18 19:25
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No -482 $-439 94¢ $-456 $-17 05-30 19:11
Clavicular sentenced to prison? No -501 $-426 86¢ $-434 $-8 05-29 10:09
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +1,788 $332 24¢ $420 +$88 06-29 08:38
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +939 $425 34¢ $314 $-111 06-06 15:52
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Yes +2,781 $382 11¢ $309 $-73 06-22 16:19
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +400 $303 68¢ $270 $-33 06-18 05:47
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +3,855 $308 7¢ $270 $-38 07-20 14:54
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +333 $213 78¢ $261 +$48 06-09 01:16
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +3,255 $435 6¢ $200 $-234 06-18 13:49
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +222 $171 88¢ $194 +$23 05-29 16:15
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $180 92¢ $183 +$3 05-30 14:58
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,244 $504 14¢ $168 $-336 06-15 01:28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +200 $54 80¢ $159 +$105 06-17 11:19
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +200 $128 78¢ $157 +$29 06-04 22:27
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +100 $89 93¢ $93 +$4 07-19 21:48
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +75 $38 100¢ $75 +$37 06-12 03:48
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +100 $35 32¢ $32 $-2 06-12 00:32
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +200 $38 12¢ $25 $-13 06-04 19:12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +200 $34 12¢ $25 $-9 06-09 19:18