Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd00…b0ab35
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$90.5K
Unrealized P&L
-$62.1K
Hit rate
37.4%
Resolved
23
Trades
109,741
lifetime
Volume
$36.1M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$329
Open exposure
$568.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 00:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
71% 20% $-90,766
Other
28% 100% +$727
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Sports
0% 0% $-510
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1820 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +244,540 $222,173 100¢ $244.1K +$21,879 06-21 12:33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +164,995 $136,325 100¢ $164.7K +$28,422 06-28 19:37
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +26,530 $23,609 100¢ $26.5K +$2,841 06-16 16:12
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +18,849 $18,252 100¢ $18.8K +$578 06-16 21:29
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +18,054 $7,516 96¢ $17.3K +$9,824 06-30 17:56
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +14,712 $13,521 100¢ $14.7K +$1,162 06-16 20:52
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +14,558 $9,459 100¢ $14.5K +$5,070 06-17 09:17
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +14,232 $13,828 100¢ $14.2K +$390 06-17 07:30
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +10,667 $10,225 100¢ $10.7K +$432 06-17 17:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +10,475 $8,377 86¢ $9.0K +$579 06-19 20:08
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +8,953 $7,692 89¢ $8.0K +$280 06-07 18:23
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? No +4,860 $4,706 99¢ $4.8K +$124 06-27 23:05
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +4,561 $4,456 100¢ $4.6K +$101 06-17 21:41
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +3,700 $3,210 90¢ $3.3K +$139 06-21 21:19
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +17,866 $1,738 10¢ $1.7K $-40 06-19 16:48
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes -1,596 $-1,563 100¢ $-1595 $-32 05-30 16:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +10,041 $1,310 15¢ $1.5K +$146 06-16 16:41
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +1,457 $1,243 100¢ $1.5K +$210 06-10 23:29
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +23,181 $5,835 4¢ $916 $-4,919 06-30 16:37
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -826 $-743 94¢ $-776 $-33 05-31 16:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +2,586 $1,527 30¢ $763 $-764 06-18 19:25
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No +703 $679 99¢ $693 +$14 06-05 04:12
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +747 $596 84¢ $623 +$27 06-26 04:40
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +724 $467 80¢ $582 +$115 06-27 22:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +356,838 $113,441 0¢ $535 $-112,906 07-01 02:32
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No -482 $-439 93¢ $-449 $-10 05-30 19:11
Clavicular sentenced to prison? No -501 $-426 84¢ $-424 +$3 05-29 10:09
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +939 $425 42¢ $394 $-31 06-06 15:52
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +180,529 $15,910 0¢ $361 $-15,549 06-24 02:04
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +3,255 $435 10¢ $309 $-125 06-18 13:49