Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd00…b0ab35 Create alert
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$478.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$40.8K
Hit rate
66.5%
Resolved
1,785
Trades
135,378
lifetime
Volume
$42.8M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$316
Open exposure
$1.22M
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 22:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 269 days
Categories
Politics
71% 51% +$280,416
Other
27% 58% +$306,489
Crypto
1% 80% +$11,819
Sports
0% 47% -$89,107
Tech
0% 50% -$49,663
Pop-Culture
0% 62% +$18,004
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 476 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +724,402 $525,220 82¢ $597.6K +$72,411 10-28 19:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +718,649 $174,866 18¢ $125.8K -$49,102 10-16 01:42
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +84,419 $49,451 64¢ $54.3K +$4,873 10-15 12:32
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +116,544 $76,748 43¢ $50.4K -$26,343 11-02 22:14
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +44,576 $24,957 72¢ $31.9K +$6,915 11-01 20:17
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +31,954 $29,363 95¢ $30.2K +$849 10-14 15:40
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +25,349 $24,129 98¢ $24.8K +$676 10-12 22:08
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +27,138 $18,450 89¢ $24.2K +$5,703 10-09 10:59
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -25,188 -$25,921 96¢ $-24055 +$1,866 10-25 23:42
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +32,011 $18,944 74¢ $23.8K +$4,904 11-02 19:10
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -24,569 -$25,604 94¢ $-23218 +$2,386 10-25 23:30
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +23,420 $16,978 94¢ $22.1K +$5,154 10-25 23:30
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +16,809 $15,364 95¢ $16.0K +$604 10-05 17:02
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No +15,145 $14,888 98¢ $14.9K -$8 11-02 19:53
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +15,568 $10,673 85¢ $13.2K +$2,552 10-15 14:53
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +13,435 $7,791 94¢ $12.7K +$4,905 10-15 16:43
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +12,908 $10,794 97¢ $12.6K +$1,785 09-29 18:35
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +11,311 $11,243 99¢ $11.2K -$11 10-15 04:24
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +14,897 $9,217 72¢ $10.8K +$1,583 11-02 14:32
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +15,401 $11,702 66¢ $10.1K -$1,614 10-11 20:44
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +14,484 $14,841 64¢ $9.3K -$5,571 11-02 23:04
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +12,611 $7,978 74¢ $9.3K +$1,291 11-02 05:39
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +9,372 $9,086 98¢ $9.2K +$131 09-26 01:33
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +9,571 $9,166 95¢ $9.1K -$63 10-15 09:16
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +8,932 $8,813 100¢ $8.9K +$74 10-14 02:09
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +8,938 $7,652 98¢ $8.8K +$1,126 10-28 19:27
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +8,717 $8,257 96¢ $8.4K +$125 09-14 22:08
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +11,545 $6,358 72¢ $8.3K +$1,897 11-01 04:01
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -8,479 -$8,244 97¢ $-8220 +$24 10-28 19:41
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +10,499 $6,235 76¢ $7.9K +$1,692 11-02 19:16