Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$9.11K
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
9
lifetime
Volume
$476.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$52.9K
Open exposure
$485.3K
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 23:05
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
100%
Other
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +651,431 $469,030 74¢ $478.8K +$9,771 05-05 23:05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? No +2,562 $2,555 100¢ $2.6K +$5 05-05 00:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? No +2,586 $2,440 94¢ $2.4K $-7 05-04 21:29
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? Yes +12,045 $2,048 12¢ $1.4K $-662 05-05 12:01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? No +81 $80 97¢ $79 $-1 05-05 15:54
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? Yes +60 $35 57¢ $34 $-1 05-05 23:00
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026? No +32 $4 12¢ $4 +$0 05-05 05:20