Realized P&L (30d)
Unrealized P&L
+$8.68K
Hit rate
Resolved (30d)
0
Trades (30d)
12
12 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$486.2K
$486.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$40.5K
Open exposure
$494.8K
9 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 01:28
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
100%
Other
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +651,431 $469,030 74¢ $478.8K +$9,771 05-05 23:05
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes +21,440 $7,933 38¢ $8.0K +$107 05-06 01:04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? No +2,562 $2,555 100¢ $2.6K +$5 05-05 00:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? No +2,586 $2,440 95¢ $2.4K +$5 05-04 21:29
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? Yes +3,535 $2,049 60¢ $2.1K +$54 05-06 01:28
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? Yes +12,045 $2,048 $783 $-1,265 05-05 12:01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? No +81 $80 97¢ $78 $-1 05-05 15:54
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? Yes +60 $35 57¢ $34 $-1 05-05 23:00
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026? No +32 $4 10¢ $3 $-0 05-05 05:20