Whopping-Chiffonier 0xfcf237…cea469 Create alert
whale hot
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Realized P&L
+$115.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.30K
Hit rate
59.6%
Resolved
532
Trades
35,057
lifetime
Volume
$8.08M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$230
Open exposure
$117.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-09 15:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 97 days
Categories
Politics
70% 56% +$87,643
Other
29% 56% +$32,725
Crypto
1% 44% -$5,256
Sports
0% 0% -$38
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 348 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +39,496 $30,875 80¢ $31.4K +$525 10-29 02:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +17,799 $14,599 90¢ $16.1K +$1,509 10-20 19:07
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +14,805 $11,403 92¢ $13.7K +$2,292 10-21 12:50
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +13,944 $9,384 93¢ $13.0K +$3,598 10-29 17:34
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +7,567 $6,052 94¢ $7.2K +$1,099 06-09 08:24
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +6,862 $5,901 99¢ $6.8K +$861 06-28 06:28
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +26,646 $4,977 22¢ $6.0K +$1,019 10-29 02:50
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +17,416 $3,850 20¢ $3.6K -$279 10-29 02:50
us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260922 Yes +6,060 $2,461 42¢ $2.6K +$115 10-29 17:41
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2,400 $2,208 99¢ $2.4K +$157 06-08 14:02
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,235 $2,484 54¢ $2.3K -$197 10-29 17:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +2,500 $2,200 90¢ $2.3K +$62 10-21 11:53
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +2,882 $2,378 78¢ $2.2K -$144 10-29 15:05
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +20,000 $1,877 8¢ $1.5K -$347 10-21 17:42
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +2,136 $1,262 57¢ $1.2K -$34 10-29 09:07
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +14,733 $4,536 8¢ $1.1K -$3,431 10-29 17:34
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +15,288 $3,333 7¢ $1.1K -$2,278 10-21 12:50
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +1,110 $894 95¢ $1.1K +$160 05-17 02:44
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +875 $752 96¢ $844 +$91 07-13 18:23
another fed rate hike in 2026 No +2,856 $459 20¢ $585 +$127 10-29 15:05
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +2,957 $915 11¢ $325 -$589 07-17 16:02
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on November 9? No +76 $55 70¢ $53 -$2 11-09 11:36
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on November 10? No +60 $45 70¢ $42 -$3 11-09 09:10
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? No +86 $34 46¢ $39 +$5 10-28 20:18
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 10? No +40 $29 80¢ $32 +$3 11-09 12:47
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on November 10? Yes +60 $29 52¢ $31 +$2 11-09 13:42
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on November 9? Yes +40 $33 74¢ $29 -$4 11-09 14:21
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on November 10? No +40 $29 69¢ $28 -$2 11-09 14:28
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on November 9? No +67 $38 40¢ $27 -$11 11-09 15:00
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C on November 11? No +40 $29 68¢ $27 -$2 11-09 12:10