Whopping-Chiffonier 0xfcf237…cea469 Create alert
whale hot
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Realized P&L
+$115.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.06K
Hit rate
59.6%
Resolved
518
Trades
34,925
lifetime
Volume
$8.08M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$231
Open exposure
$116.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-08 10:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Politics
70% 56% +$87,643
Other
29% 56% +$32,727
Crypto
1% 44% -$5,256
Sports
0% 0% -$38
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 348 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +39,496 $30,875 76¢ $29.8K -$1,055 10-29 02:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +17,799 $14,599 90¢ $15.9K +$1,331 10-20 19:07
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +14,805 $11,403 94¢ $13.8K +$2,440 10-21 12:50
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +13,944 $9,384 94¢ $13.1K +$3,695 10-29 17:34
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +7,567 $6,052 95¢ $7.2K +$1,136 06-09 08:24
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +6,862 $5,901 98¢ $6.7K +$841 06-28 06:28
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +26,646 $4,977 24¢ $6.3K +$1,285 10-29 02:50
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +17,416 $3,850 22¢ $3.7K -$105 10-29 02:50
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,235 $2,484 58¢ $2.5K -$28 10-29 17:41
us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260922 Yes +6,060 $2,461 40¢ $2.5K -$7 10-29 17:41
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2,400 $2,208 98¢ $2.4K +$156 06-08 14:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +2,500 $2,200 90¢ $2.2K +$38 10-21 11:53
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +2,882 $2,378 76¢ $2.2K -$173 10-29 15:05
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +20,000 $1,877 7¢ $1.4K -$447 10-21 17:42
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +2,136 $1,262 60¢ $1.3K +$8 10-29 09:07
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +1,110 $894 92¢ $1.0K +$133 05-17 02:44
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +14,733 $4,536 6¢ $958 -$3,579 10-29 17:34
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +15,288 $3,333 6¢ $948 -$2,385 10-21 12:50
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +875 $752 96¢ $842 +$89 07-13 18:23
another fed rate hike in 2026 No +2,856 $459 24¢ $700 +$241 10-29 15:05
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +2,957 $915 12¢ $340 -$575 07-17 16:02
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 8? No +40 $26 100¢ $40 +$14 11-06 12:45
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? No +86 $34 42¢ $36 +$2 10-28 20:18
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on November 8? No +40 $31 76¢ $30 -$1 11-08 09:36
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? Yes +29 $23 76¢ $22 -$1 11-05 17:30
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on November 8? No +20 $15 100¢ $20 +$5 11-06 12:27
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 8? Yes +20 $10 99¢ $20 +$10 11-07 22:10
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on November 8? No +20 $17 65¢ $13 -$4 11-08 10:45
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 8? No +20 $6 30¢ $6 $0 11-07 22:03
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on November 9? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 +$0 11-08 11:32