Whopping-Chiffonier 0xfcf237…cea469 Create alert
whale hot
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Realized P&L
+$116.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$13.5K
Hit rate
60.0%
Resolved
416
Trades
34,843
lifetime
Volume
$8.08M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$232
Open exposure
$161.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 18:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 94 days
Categories
Politics
70% 56% +$88,725
Other
29% 59% +$32,867
Crypto
1% 44% -$5,256
Sports
0% 0% -$38
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 348 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +44,855 $34,300 100¢ $44.8K +$10,510 10-29 17:52
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +39,496 $30,875 65¢ $25.7K -$5,202 10-29 02:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +17,799 $14,599 88¢ $15.6K +$975 10-20 19:07
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +14,805 $11,403 92¢ $13.5K +$2,143 10-21 12:50
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +13,944 $9,384 91¢ $12.7K +$3,319 10-29 17:34
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +26,646 $4,977 34¢ $9.1K +$4,083 10-29 02:50
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +7,567 $6,052 92¢ $7.0K +$947 06-09 08:24
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +6,862 $5,901 98¢ $6.7K +$823 06-28 06:28
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +17,416 $3,850 31¢ $5.4K +$1,549 10-29 02:50
us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260922 Yes +6,060 $2,461 44¢ $2.6K +$175 10-29 17:41
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,235 $2,484 56¢ $2.4K -$113 10-29 17:41
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2,400 $2,208 98¢ $2.4K +$152 06-08 14:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +2,500 $2,200 88¢ $2.2K +$12 10-21 11:53
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +2,882 $2,378 66¢ $1.9K -$476 10-29 15:05
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +20,000 $1,877 7¢ $1.4K -$427 10-21 17:42
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +15,288 $3,333 9¢ $1.4K -$1,972 10-21 12:50
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +14,733 $4,536 8¢ $1.3K -$3,284 10-29 17:34
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +2,136 $1,262 56¢ $1.2K -$56 10-29 09:07
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +1,110 $894 92¢ $1.0K +$133 05-17 02:44
another fed rate hike in 2026 No +2,856 $459 35¢ $1000 +$541 10-29 15:05
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +875 $752 94¢ $827 +$74 07-13 18:23
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +2,957 $915 12¢ $355 -$560 07-17 16:02
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on November 6? No +209 $175 78¢ $162 -$13 11-05 18:13
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on November 6? No +80 $65 100¢ $80 +$15 11-05 18:10
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on November 5? Yes +80 $34 100¢ $80 +$46 11-05 17:54
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on November 6? No +80 $65 100¢ $80 +$15 11-05 18:04
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on November 6? No +98 $61 78¢ $76 +$16 11-05 18:17
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on November 6? No +85 $65 89¢ $76 +$10 11-05 18:00
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on November 5? No +74 $52 100¢ $74 +$23 11-05 18:06
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on November 6? No +110 $57 67¢ $74 +$17 11-05 18:18