Broken-Dogwood 0x24c8cf…e823e1
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$10.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.26K
Hit rate
67.3%
Resolved
19
Trades
59,752
lifetime
Volume
$56.5M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$945
Open exposure
$82.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-28 14:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
60% 57% +$10,153
Other
36% 83% +$628
Crypto
3% — —
Sports
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 1042 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes +16,928 $16,820 100¢ $16.9K +$91 06-26 05:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +10,665 $9,941 100¢ $10.6K +$671 06-26 02:50
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +10,553 $8,188 100¢ $10.5K +$2,355 06-17 18:49
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +8,853 $7,359 100¢ $8.8K +$1,458 06-15 12:01
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +8,406 $7,822 95¢ $8.0K +$143 06-17 23:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,961 $3,165 86¢ $3.4K +$261 06-11 03:19
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +3,333 $3,293 100¢ $3.3K +$37 06-15 11:55
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No -2,696 $-2,661 100¢ $-2691 $-30 06-03 21:45
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +2,584 $2,540 100¢ $2.6K +$42 06-18 04:48
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? No +2,301 $2,173 100¢ $2.3K +$116 06-17 17:40
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +2,304 $2,240 98¢ $2.3K +$29 06-18 07:16
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +8,919 $3,359 20¢ $1.7K $-1,620 06-15 01:28
New pandemic in 2026? No +1,789 $1,526 90¢ $1.6K +$94 06-15 14:26
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +1,856 $1,247 74¢ $1.4K +$118 06-16 19:18
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +2,029 $1,236 48¢ $964 $-272 06-17 21:12
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +969 $912 96¢ $930 +$18 06-04 03:35
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -1,111 $-800 74¢ $-828 $-28 06-07 10:44
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -871 $-594 84¢ $-727 $-133 06-08 02:59
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +1,333 $786 52¢ $700 $-87 06-17 20:35
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +2,222 $600 26¢ $589 $-11 06-08 14:56
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +542 $499 94¢ $507 +$8 06-16 16:07
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +437 $275 80¢ $352 +$77 06-14 03:44
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -2,769 $-360 10¢ $-263 +$97 06-10 17:54
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +4,417 $280 5¢ $232 $-49 06-11 11:08
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +169 $165 100¢ $169 +$3 06-15 11:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +24,459 $-246 0¢ $122 +$369 06-27 14:18
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +1,326 $159 6¢ $86 $-73 05-27 22:42
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +66,665 $516 0¢ $67 $-449 06-12 21:35
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes -591 $-112 11¢ $-62 +$50 06-16 18:57
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +955 $59 4¢ $39 $-20 06-02 23:06