Broken-Dogwood 0x24c8cf…e823e1
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$10.8K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.35K
Hit rate
67.3%
Resolved
19
Trades
59,991
lifetime
Volume
$56.5M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$942
Open exposure
$36.9K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 14:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
60% 57% +$10,153
Other
36% 83% +$628
Crypto
3% — —
Sports
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 920 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +10,542 $8,293 94¢ $9.9K +$1,575 07-14 15:53
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +8,406 $7,822 96¢ $8.0K +$218 06-17 23:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6,183 $4,898 74¢ $4.5K $-354 07-16 00:46
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +2,304 $2,240 100¢ $2.3K +$54 06-18 07:16
New pandemic in 2026? No +1,789 $1,526 94¢ $1.7K +$147 06-15 14:26
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +1,856 $1,247 80¢ $1.5K +$247 06-16 19:18
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +21,345 $1,360 6¢ $1.4K +$27 07-13 19:17
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +8,919 $3,359 14¢ $1.2K $-2,155 06-15 01:28
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -1,111 $-800 87¢ $-967 $-167 06-07 10:44
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +969 $912 96¢ $935 +$23 06-04 03:35
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +2,029 $1,236 44¢ $903 $-333 06-17 21:12
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes +12,080 $1,446 6¢ $773 $-673 07-17 15:52
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +1,333 $786 56¢ $740 $-47 06-17 20:35
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +549 $505 94¢ $516 +$11 06-30 18:44
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +2,222 $600 20¢ $433 $-167 06-08 14:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +437 $275 86¢ $378 +$103 06-14 03:44
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -2,769 $-521 11¢ $-291 +$230 07-13 19:45
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +4,417 $280 4¢ $192 $-88 06-11 11:08
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -194 $-86 76¢ $-148 $-62 07-13 19:46
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +955 $59 4¢ $34 $-25 06-02 23:06
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes -591 $-112 6¢ $-32 +$80 06-16 18:57
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? Yes +333 $20 6¢ $20 $-0 06-28 14:00