Broken-Dogwood 0x24c8cf…e823e1
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$10.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$20.6K
Hit rate
67.3%
Resolved
19
Trades
57,983
lifetime
Volume
$54.7M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$943
Open exposure
$247.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
60% 57% +$10,153
Other
37% 83% +$628
Crypto
3% — —
Sports
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1042 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +129,067 $86,150 68¢ $87.1K +$970 06-09 16:44
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +51,036 $49,469 99¢ $50.4K +$929 06-09 20:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +103,117 $18,887 32¢ $33.5K +$14,626 06-09 00:20
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +26,675 $19,249 100¢ $26.6K +$7,400 06-07 23:00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +8,025 $6,540 90¢ $7.2K +$643 06-07 04:38
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +6,666 $6,206 93¢ $6.2K $-13 06-08 15:06
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes -5,638 $-5,522 99¢ $-5568 $-46 06-09 00:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +6,401 $3,572 84¢ $5.3K +$1,773 05-29 15:27
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes +5,536 $3,998 66¢ $3.7K $-345 06-10 06:40
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +3,333 $3,286 99¢ $3.3K +$22 06-06 01:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +19,838 $4,235 16¢ $3.3K $-961 06-10 02:05
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No -2,696 $-2,661 99¢ $-2672 $-11 06-03 21:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,850 $2,298 82¢ $2.4K +$52 06-03 22:50
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,511 $1,862 38¢ $1.7K $-170 06-07 09:32
New pandemic in 2026? No -1,509 $-1,357 88¢ $-1336 +$22 06-10 02:58
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? No +1,190 $1,112 98¢ $1.2K +$58 06-03 14:47
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +1,111 $978 94¢ $1.0K +$61 06-06 10:01
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +969 $912 95¢ $917 +$5 06-04 03:35
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -1,111 $-800 74¢ $-817 $-17 06-07 10:44
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -871 $-594 72¢ $-623 $-28 06-08 02:59
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +2,222 $600 26¢ $589 $-11 06-08 14:56
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +745 $469 74¢ $548 +$79 06-04 22:37
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,111 $356 36¢ $406 +$50 06-07 06:14
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +1,470 $-734 20¢ $301 +$1,035 06-09 20:19
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +333 $256 80¢ $265 +$8 06-09 12:20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +333 $216 64¢ $211 $-5 06-07 20:48
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +1,326 $159 11¢ $139 $-20 05-27 22:42
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +11,110 $238 1¢ $139 $-99 06-05 08:21
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +955 $59 5¢ $52 $-7 06-02 23:06
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No +8,410 $5,376 0¢ $8 $-5,367 06-07 20:19