Broken-Dogwood 0x24c8cf…e823e1
whale hot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$152.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$26.8K
Hit rate
75.2%
Resolved
632
Trades
90,850
lifetime
Volume
$71.6M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$788
Open exposure
$711.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 20:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 166 days
Categories
Politics
52% 68% +$183,974
Other
37% 72% +$73,216
Sports
9% 75% -$116,405
Crypto
3% 83% +$11,296
Tech
0% 100% +$242
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 886 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +141,479 $119,574 92¢ $129.5K +$9,880 10-22 13:29
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +70,757 $65,659 98¢ $69.2K +$3,506 08-28 21:02
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +60,117 $47,562 94¢ $56.2K +$8,647 10-22 14:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +59,027 $44,185 93¢ $54.9K +$10,711 10-22 17:19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +33,447 $33,279 100¢ $33.4K +$135 09-30 23:21
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? No +33,976 $27,789 93¢ $31.6K +$3,808 10-26 17:33
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +32,221 $28,399 92¢ $29.5K +$1,083 10-22 14:47
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +28,425 $23,927 94¢ $26.8K +$2,920 10-26 20:54
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +33,495 $27,236 79¢ $26.4K -$825 10-26 20:46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +31,864 $24,632 80¢ $25.7K +$1,018 10-26 20:51
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +22,659 $21,918 100¢ $22.6K +$684 10-25 16:28
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +31,095 $21,575 72¢ $22.2K +$657 10-26 13:15
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +30,342 $21,346 72¢ $21.9K +$576 10-26 20:58
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +192,188 $26,345 8¢ $16.3K -$10,009 10-23 19:29
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +23,588 $14,749 62¢ $14.7K -$7 10-26 00:35
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +14,669 $7,339 94¢ $13.9K +$6,523 06-14 05:22
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +43,748 $13,776 28¢ $12.1K -$1,636 10-26 20:40
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +12,180 $10,211 94¢ $11.4K +$1,177 10-23 09:20
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +9,642 $8,879 97¢ $9.3K +$468 10-22 13:04
Plague pandemic in 2026? No +8,888 $8,452 98¢ $8.7K +$253 10-07 15:52
New pandemic in 2026? No +8,888 $7,788 97¢ $8.6K +$802 06-15 14:26
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +8,564 $7,969 98¢ $8.4K +$427 06-17 23:51
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +8,050 $7,537 100¢ $8.0K +$505 10-20 22:31
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +7,781 $7,633 99¢ $7.7K +$89 10-23 17:51
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +109,893 $26,246 7¢ $7.7K -$18,553 10-26 15:19
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +25,553 $7,010 29¢ $7.3K +$272 10-25 20:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +35,563 $7,577 20¢ $6.9K -$642 05-26 23:35
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +12,277 $4,362 56¢ $6.8K +$2,451 09-21 17:22
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +7,467 $4,492 90¢ $6.7K +$2,228 06-16 19:18
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -6,692 -$6,176 97¢ $-6521 -$345 04-30 22:08