Broken-Dogwood 0x24c8cf…e823e1
whale hot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$152.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$19.3K
Hit rate
75.2%
Resolved
644
Trades
91,022
lifetime
Volume
$71.6M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$786
Open exposure
$628.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 03:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 167 days
Categories
Politics
52% 68% +$184,028
Other
37% 70% +$72,954
Sports
9% 75% -$116,405
Crypto
3% 83% +$11,296
Tech
0% 100% +$242
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 886 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +141,479 $119,574 92¢ $129.5K +$9,880 10-22 13:29
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +70,757 $65,659 98¢ $69.3K +$3,648 08-28 21:02
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +60,117 $47,562 94¢ $56.2K +$8,647 10-22 14:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +59,027 $44,185 94¢ $55.5K +$11,301 10-22 17:19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +33,447 $33,279 100¢ $33.4K +$135 09-30 23:21
will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026 No +33,976 $27,789 93¢ $31.6K +$3,808 10-26 17:33
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +32,221 $28,399 92¢ $29.5K +$1,083 10-22 14:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +33,461 $25,910 82¢ $27.3K +$1,361 10-26 21:06
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +31,095 $21,575 74¢ $22.9K +$1,279 10-26 13:15
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +192,188 $26,345 8¢ $16.3K -$10,009 10-23 19:29
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +23,588 $14,749 66¢ $15.7K +$937 10-26 00:35
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +14,669 $7,339 94¢ $13.9K +$6,523 06-14 05:22
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +12,180 $10,211 94¢ $11.4K +$1,177 10-23 09:20
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +9,642 $8,879 97¢ $9.3K +$459 10-22 13:04
Plague pandemic in 2026? No +8,888 $8,452 98¢ $8.7K +$262 10-07 15:52
New pandemic in 2026? No +8,888 $7,788 96¢ $8.6K +$784 06-15 14:26
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +8,564 $7,969 98¢ $8.4K +$419 06-17 23:51
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +7,781 $7,633 99¢ $7.7K +$82 10-23 17:51
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +25,553 $7,010 26¢ $6.8K -$239 10-25 20:28
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +7,467 $4,492 90¢ $6.7K +$2,228 06-16 19:18
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +12,277 $4,362 55¢ $6.7K +$2,328 09-21 17:22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +110,606 $26,293 6¢ $6.6K -$19,657 10-26 21:57
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +14,506 $10,203 46¢ $6.6K -$3,588 09-21 15:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +35,563 $7,577 18¢ $6.6K -$998 05-26 23:35
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -6,692 -$6,176 98¢ $-6528 -$352 04-30 22:08
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +73,522 $8,833 8¢ $6.2K -$2,584 10-26 03:23
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +6,180 $5,034 92¢ $5.7K +$682 10-25 01:45
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +7,116 $5,830 76¢ $5.4K -$387 10-08 09:31
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +5,240 $4,716 90¢ $4.7K +$26 10-04 16:10
2026 Balance of Power: Other No +4,444 $4,404 100¢ $4.4K +$33 06-06 16:29