Pitiful-Patience 0xe899b5…860899
whale hot 2W streak
6Unusual bets: 1 position →
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$12.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$31.7K
Hit rate
75.0%
Resolved
57
Trades
2,459
lifetime
Volume
$5.45M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2.22K
Open exposure
$668.4K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-29 19:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 31 days
Categories
Politics
58% 76% +$111,399
Other
42% 47% -$99,379
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 184 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +335,466 $305,210 94¢ $313.7K +$8,451 10-05 08:28
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +150,000 $98,500 68¢ $101.2K +$2,750 10-27 22:40
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +78,510 $56,443 64¢ $50.6K -$5,804 09-24 10:01
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +51,630 $32,692 80¢ $41.0K +$8,353 10-21 14:24
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -42,824 -$36,418 94¢ $-40040 -$3,622 05-31 06:02
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +60,474 $43,541 64¢ $39.0K -$4,536 09-24 10:03
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +29,926 $16,562 86¢ $25.6K +$9,025 09-22 22:32
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +20,000 $15,400 82¢ $16.4K +$1,000 10-21 23:28
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? Yes +47,387 $11,934 32¢ $14.9K +$2,993 10-27 02:06
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +10,000 $9,000 86¢ $8.7K -$350 10-01 18:56
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +10,000 $6,200 70¢ $6.9K +$750 10-19 17:04
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +27,729 -$6,783 15¢ $4.3K +$11,067 10-01 22:48
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +9,117 $3,464 46¢ $4.2K +$775 09-11 19:24
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +2,338 $889 46¢ $1.1K +$199 09-11 19:24
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +354 $212 80¢ $281 +$69 10-21 14:21
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,660 $233 5¢ $242 +$9 10-29 19:04
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +84 $20 36¢ $30 +$10 10-19 13:05
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +26 $11 89¢ $23 +$12 08-29 02:24
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -7,141 -$13 0¢ $-11 +$2 06-19 02:30
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 -$564 76¢ $0 +$564 10-27 20:52