Compassionate-Debt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.03K

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

38.3%

Resolved

115

Trades

193

lifetime

Volume

$4.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-02-01

last 10-15 17:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

54% 3% -$787

Crypto

44% 9% -$225

Sports

2% 0% -$6

Politics

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+36	$10	42¢	$15	+$5	10-15 17:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 19:30 UTC	4	$861	797	485	+312	Up	+$1	02-04 19:41
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 300 319	2	$576	775	775	+0	No	+$376	02-10 10:49
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	3	$218	493	391	+102	No	-$22	02-05 22:06
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 380 399	2	$160	1,511	0	+1,511	No	-$160	02-03 01:07
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 380 399	4	$146	553	334	+219	No	-$30	02-12 13:37
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 380 399	3	$137	766	556	+210	No	-$24	02-12 13:31
cs2 zerote lk 2026 02 16	2	$133	229	0	+229	los kogutos	-$133	02-16 16:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 05:00 UTC	2	$124	384	0	+384	Up	+$76	02-04 05:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 04:45 UTC	3	$119	1,078	0	+1,078	Down	-$119	02-04 04:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 19:15 UTC	2	$110	347	0	+347	Down	-$110	02-04 19:23
cs2 js1 ntr 2026 02 10 game1	1	$100	357	0	+357	Johnny Speeds	-$100	02-10 17:40
val var geng 2026 02 05	1	$100	294	0	+294	Gen.G Esports	-$100	02-05 09:36
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	1	$80	9,808	0	+9,808	Yes	-$80	02-10 16:39
will the government shutdown last 3 days or more	3	$80	30,000	20,000	+10,000	Yes	-$40	02-01 23:05
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$60	20,000	20,000	+0	Yes	-$20	02-01 17:51
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$60	1,443	0	+1,443	No	-$60	02-05 05:34
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	1	$57	4,071	0	+4,071	No	-$57	02-03 20:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 19:45 UTC	3	$45	680	0	+680	Up	-$45	02-04 19:58
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 380 399	2	$42	784	784	+0	No	-$38	02-10 16:38
ethereum above 2400 on february 2	3	$41	1,437	0	+1,437	No	-$41	02-02 16:51
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 360 379	1	$40	232	0	+232	No	-$40	02-03 14:26
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$40	354	354	+0	No	$0	02-12 13:34
will a contestant numbered 151 175 win beast games season 2	2	$35	111	111	+0	Yes	-$5	02-16 02:11
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$35	400	400	+0	No	-$5	02-12 13:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 06:00 UTC	6	$33	1,007	0	+1,007	Up	-$33	02-04 06:11
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 140 159	2	$30	10,000	10,000	+0	No	-$10	02-03 05:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 05:30 UTC	2	$25	722	0	+722	Down	-$25	02-04 05:42
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 0 19	1	$20	10,764	0	+10,764	No	-$20	02-01 17:17
ethereum above 1900 on february 8	1	$20	714	0	+714	Yes	-$20	02-01 20:18
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	1	$20	4,505	0	+4,505	No	-$20	02-05 05:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 17:48:22	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x42c60f…
06-03 05:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xc6967e…
06-03 05:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x0771aa…
04-06 13:59:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xaf7555…
04-06 13:54:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8c4be9…
02-16 16:30:51	cs2 zerote lk 2026 02 16	ex-Zero Tenacity	BUY	188	60¢	$113	0x7ec334…
02-16 16:30:09	cs2 zerote lk 2026 02 16	ex-Zero Tenacity	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xe41f21…
02-16 16:09:57	cs2 ruby1 nxs1 2026 02 16	Nexus	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x4a9e25…
02-16 02:11:59	will a contestant numbered 151 175 win beast games season 2	No	SELL	111	14¢	$15	0xea3b28…
02-16 02:08:27	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 360 379	Yes	BUY	256	1¢	$2	0x60321a…
02-12 13:37:07	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 380 399	Yes	BUY	110	18¢	$20	0xf400e6…
02-12 13:34:27	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	400	4¢	$15	0xd2b5e6…
02-12 13:34:07	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	354	6¢	$20	0xc9d9ce…
02-12 13:33:19	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 380 399	Yes	BUY	144	10¢	$14	0xfcd8ff…
02-12 13:32:25	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 380 399	Yes	BUY	108	18¢	$20	0xf171f7…
02-12 13:31:27	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 380 399	Yes	BUY	210	10¢	$22	0x05fa60…
02-12 13:31:07	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 380 399	Yes	SELL	556	10¢	$56	0x52dcaf…
02-12 13:26:55	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 380 399	Yes	BUY	556	10¢	$58	0xc4fa09…
02-12 13:24:09	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 380 399	Yes	SELL	334	17¢	$58	0x650e6f…
02-11 09:58:11	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 380 399	Yes	BUY	335	14¢	$48	0x9c8473…
02-10 17:40:35	cs2 js1 ntr 2026 02 10 game1	Nuclear TigeRES	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0xec381d…
02-10 16:39:13	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	No	BUY	9,808	1¢	$80	0xbcfb49…
02-10 16:38:11	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 380 399	Yes	SELL	784	0¢	$2	0x7fe4fe…
02-10 10:49:47	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 300 319	Yes	SELL	775	61¢	$476	0x2f4930…
02-06 05:41:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	126	1¢	$1	0x147dbc…
02-06 05:39:53	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xdd300b…
02-06 05:39:23	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa3e1e1…
02-06 05:38:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xb6305b…
02-06 05:28:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xbc9556…
02-06 05:23:19	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 300 319	Yes	BUY	775	13¢	$100	0x002ebc…
02-05 22:06:49	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	Yes	BUY	102	20¢	$20	0xf18d40…
02-05 22:04:53	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 380 399	Yes	BUY	784	5¢	$40	0x256970…
02-05 18:48:09	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	Yes	SELL	391	25¢	$98	0x0cbc53…
02-05 09:43:21	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	354	6¢	$20	0x440f7b…
02-05 09:41:05	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0xe6d1ec…
02-05 09:36:03	val var geng 2026 02 05	VARREL	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x902a53…
02-05 09:02:35	will a contestant numbered 1 25 win beast games season 2	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$1	0x35fec6…
02-05 06:15:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcb560c…
02-05 06:12:17	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	139	1¢	$1	0x33ce16…
02-05 06:11:29	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbeb70b…
02-05 06:10:53	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0xaa0c0a…
02-05 05:36:11	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4,505	0¢	$20	0x94ef0c…
02-05 05:34:43	Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	872	2¢	$20	0x646810…
02-05 05:16:59	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	Yes	BUY	391	26¢	$100	0x59de65…
02-05 05:14:47	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 400 419	Yes	BUY	1,457	1¢	$10	0x4c233c…
02-05 05:13:59	will a contestant numbered 151 175 win beast games season 2	No	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x4df860…
02-04 20:06:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x5d5858…
02-04 20:04:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x10d5df…
02-04 19:58:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x8a4642…
02-04 19:54:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xf7c0f0…
02-04 19:53:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	75	27¢	$20	0xbb5dc1…
02-04 19:41:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 19:30 UTC	Up	SELL	485	88¢	$429	0x1da060…
02-04 19:40:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	490	72¢	$353	0xcef9ae…
02-04 19:40:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	133	30¢	$40	0x776aa0…
02-04 19:34:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	174	23¢	$40	0xaccd3f…
02-04 19:26:43	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	120	3¢	$4	0x518022…
02-04 19:23:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xe845a6…
02-04 19:16:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x4dd2f4…
02-04 19:13:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xaa33dc…
02-04 19:12:29	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	112	1¢	$1	0x53a04d…
02-04 19:09:53	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd7a1fc…
02-04 19:04:15	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xc595b7…
02-04 18:58:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdf6091…
02-04 18:58:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5bd946…
02-04 18:57:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4083b9…
02-04 09:28:54	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	113	1¢	$1	0x1cc0fd…
02-04 09:27:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0xb0fe9a…
02-04 09:19:30	us strikes iran by february 5 2026	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$10	0x1430ae…
02-04 09:12:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	219	1¢	$2	0x4c4eff…
02-04 09:09:50	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xd351d4…
02-04 09:09:26	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	110	5¢	$5	0x4487ca…
02-04 09:03:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	38	20¢	$8	0x0692ab…
02-04 08:59:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x4ae2a1…
02-04 08:58:52	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	111	3¢	$3	0x51647b…
02-04 08:58:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x20ad37…
02-04 08:43:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0f283d…
02-04 08:43:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4e3d35…
02-04 08:42:50	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb92741…
02-04 08:28:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x89158c…
02-04 08:28:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7b51b6…
02-04 08:27:24	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb094f0…
02-04 08:27:12	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf18721…
02-04 08:27:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd177e7…
02-04 08:14:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	104	1¢	$1	0xa0ea53…
02-04 08:05:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	106	5¢	$5	0x619e7f…
02-04 07:59:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	68	1¢	$1	0x72fd48…
02-04 07:57:58	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x700cd3…
02-04 07:43:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4daa62…
02-04 07:42:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x10fdac…
02-04 07:42:18	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x42653e…
02-04 07:41:48	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8c5278…
02-04 07:41:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa8e840…
02-04 07:40:56	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb65458…
02-04 07:39:46	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x17f420…
02-04 07:28:56	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0ac50f…
02-04 07:28:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x92729b…
02-04 07:28:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x738f9a…
02-04 07:28:18	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb172c6…
02-04 07:28:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xba95c1…
02-04 07:27:56	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x35ab79…