Conventional-Guide 0x631273…49f94e
whale hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$2.32K
Unrealized P&L
-$379
Hit rate
93.6%
Resolved
11
Trades
5,101
lifetime
Volume
$127.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$1.00K
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 19:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
46% 0% $-45
Politics
39% 57% +$2,429
Sports
7% 33% $-65
Crypto
6% — —
Tech
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -200 $-135 100¢ $-200 $-65 06-15 05:43
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +249 $151 62¢ $156 +$5 06-27 10:31
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +200 $96 37¢ $74 $-22 06-16 11:27
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -454 $-67 16¢ $-73 $-6 06-29 23:13
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +186 $80 38¢ $70 $-10 06-15 05:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-51 57¢ $-57 $-6 06-06 19:56
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -500 $-35 8¢ $-42 $-7 06-06 21:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +160 $64 26¢ $42 $-22 06-29 01:29
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +400 $40 10¢ $38 $-2 06-23 08:38
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes -291 $-53 13¢ $-38 +$15 06-19 03:10
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +100 $40 34¢ $34 $-6 05-29 18:06
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -50 $-26 56¢ $-28 $-2 06-01 21:32
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No -30 $-25 80¢ $-23 +$1 06-20 06:19
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? Yes +21 $21 99¢ $21 $-0 06-02 15:38
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +50 $25 40¢ $20 $-5 06-16 22:05
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes -161 $-16 8¢ $-14 +$2 06-01 21:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -100 $-28 14¢ $-14 +$14 06-28 23:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -200 $-20 6¢ $-13 +$7 06-23 11:43
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -76 $-7 16¢ $-13 $-5 06-15 05:34
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes +100 $10 9¢ $9 $-1 06-12 17:02
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +35 $20 24¢ $8 $-11 06-29 23:14
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -8 $-7 86¢ $-7 +$0 06-01 20:52
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? No -5 $-3 84¢ $-4 $-1 06-01 21:32
Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026? Yes -5 $-1 62¢ $-3 $-2 06-01 21:02
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +8 $3 26¢ $2 $-0 06-05 20:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +250 $107 0¢ $1 $-106 06-23 10:08
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +1 $-2 81¢ $0 +$2 06-27 10:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +230 $25 0¢ $0 $-25 06-11 17:32
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +200 $120 0¢ $0 $-120 06-19 08:52