Conventional-Guide 0x631273…49f94e
whale hot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$2.32K
Unrealized P&L
-$140
Hit rate
93.6%
Resolved
11
Trades
4,532
lifetime
Volume
$107.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$1.62K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-11 18:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
50% 0% $-45
Politics
35% 57% +$2,429
Sports
7% 33% $-65
Crypto
7% — —
Tech
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +700 $269 42¢ $297 +$29 06-11 20:58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +600 $291 39¢ $234 $-57 06-07 20:48
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes -150 $-111 84¢ $-125 $-14 06-01 21:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +600 $75 18¢ $111 +$36 06-05 08:45
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? No +300 $90 32¢ $94 +$4 06-11 21:39
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Yes +100 $78 84¢ $84 +$6 06-08 10:26
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? No +150 $82 52¢ $77 $-5 06-11 17:45
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -500 $-35 15¢ $-75 $-40 06-06 21:23
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No +100 $70 74¢ $74 +$4 06-11 16:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +300 $84 20¢ $62 $-22 06-03 01:15
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +99 $62 62¢ $61 $-1 06-07 23:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-51 56¢ $-55 $-4 06-06 19:56
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +100 $40 36¢ $36 $-4 05-29 18:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -100 $-29 32¢ $-33 $-4 06-11 17:30
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $38 32¢ $31 $-6 05-27 20:50
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -50 $-26 60¢ $-30 $-4 06-01 21:32
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +145 $70 16¢ $23 $-47 06-11 17:32
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? Yes +21 $21 89¢ $19 $-2 06-02 15:38
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +35 $17 50¢ $18 +$1 06-10 07:01
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes -161 $-16 10¢ $-16 +$0 06-01 21:00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +230 $25 7¢ $15 $-10 06-11 17:32
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes -31 $-10 42¢ $-13 $-3 06-02 15:35
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +500 $12 2¢ $12 $-1 06-11 17:31
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -8 $-7 84¢ $-7 +$0 06-01 20:52
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No -4 $-4 98¢ $-4 $-0 06-01 21:01
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? No -5 $-3 73¢ $-3 $-0 06-01 21:32
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? No -200 $-4 1¢ $-3 +$1 06-01 21:01
Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026? Yes -5 $-1 54¢ $-3 $-1 06-01 21:02
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +8 $3 34¢ $3 +$0 06-05 20:46
Will Peter Attia be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes -326 $-8 1¢ $-2 +$6 06-01 21:00