Conventional-Guide 0x631273…49f94e
whale hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$2.32K
Unrealized P&L
-$67
Hit rate
93.6%
Resolved
11
Trades
5,255
lifetime
Volume
$132.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$860
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 02:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
46% 0% $-45
Politics
39% 57% +$2,429
Sports
8% 33% $-65
Crypto
6% — —
Tech
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +249 $151 66¢ $166 +$15 06-27 10:31
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +760 $47 10¢ $79 +$32 07-15 07:42
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +160 $81 48¢ $76 $-5 07-17 15:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-51 64¢ $-64 $-13 06-06 19:56
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +186 $80 34¢ $62 $-18 06-15 05:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +80 $59 72¢ $57 $-2 07-18 21:44
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -454 $-67 12¢ $-57 +$10 06-29 23:13
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +400 $40 10¢ $40 +$0 06-23 08:38
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes -291 $-53 11¢ $-32 +$21 06-19 03:10
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -50 $-26 63¢ $-32 $-5 06-01 21:32
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +50 $22 58¢ $29 +$7 07-14 12:46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -100 $-40 29¢ $-29 +$11 07-18 21:17
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -500 $-35 6¢ $-28 +$8 06-06 21:23
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No -30 $-29 76¢ $-23 +$6 07-14 21:14
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +50 $25 34¢ $17 $-8 06-16 22:05
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes -161 $-16 10¢ $-15 +$1 06-01 21:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -200 $-20 6¢ $-11 +$9 06-23 11:43
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -76 $-7 12¢ $-10 $-2 06-15 05:34
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes +100 $10 9¢ $9 $-0 06-12 17:02
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +35 $20 22¢ $8 $-12 06-29 23:14
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -8 $-7 86¢ $-7 +$0 06-01 20:52
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? No -5 $-3 80¢ $-4 $-0 06-01 21:32
Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026? Yes -5 $-1 62¢ $-3 $-2 06-01 21:02
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +8 $3 22¢ $2 $-1 06-05 20:46
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +1 $-2 83¢ $0 +$2 06-27 10:17
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +200 $120 0¢ $0 $-120 06-19 08:52