Colorful-Lyre — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.31K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

69.3%

Resolved

6,049

Trades

24,545

lifetime

Volume

$10.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 10-28 12:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 192 days

Categories

Other

76% 28% +$1,579

Sports

13% 30% +$482

Crypto

6% 28% +$69

Politics

5% 49% +$170

Tech

0% 62% +$9

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 125 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Song Yadong be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes		-43	$0	2¢	$-1	$0	06-02 20:06
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	No		-0	$0	10¢	$-0	$0	05-25 09:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
crictopend ade act 2026 08 28 toss winner	9	$211	362	216	+145	ACT Comets	+$206	08-29 03:07
Dimitar Kuzmanov vs. Buvaysar Gadamauri: Total Sets O/U 2.5	4	$149	372	147	+225	Under 2.5	+$127	04-30 08:18
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies	6	$96	157	100	+57	Yes	+$92	05-03 19:27
crict20blast war wor 2026 06 26 toss winner	5	$86	96	96	+0	Worcestershire	+$85	06-26 19:21
atp berrett arnaldi 2026 06 03 completed match	5	$78	54	80	-25	No	+$51	06-03 20:32
Will Jon Rahm leave LIV Golf by June 30th?	17	$70	106	95	+11	No	+$66	07-02 05:41
T20 Blast: Derbyshire vs Nottinghamshire - Toss Match Double Derbyshire Winner	12	$67	67	67	+0	Yes	+$65	05-29 21:12
ITF Maringa: Victor Alvares De Castro Rocha vs Pavlos Tsitsipas	3	$63	35	105	-70	Pavlos Tsitsipas	-$39	05-14 01:58
wnba min nyl 2026 09 29 2h total 86pt5	4	$62	63	63	+0	Under	+$61	09-30 02:46
will trump say swamp the vote during tele rally	6	$52	58	58	+0	Yes	+$50	06-26 00:03
LoL: All for One Gaming vs VfB eSports - Game 4 Winner	5	$50	53	53	+0	All for One Gaming	+$49	09-15 19:28
cs2 ra1 cw 2026 09 03	5	$47	63	53	+10	Chinggis Warriors	+$44	09-03 11:25
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landers	22	$43	83	99	-16	SSG Landers	+$42	06-09 18:01
will passenger opening weekend box office be between 12pt5m and 14m	6	$42	96	93	+3	resolved	+$38	06-09 21:01
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 shots gavi paez gte1	7	$40	86	40	+46	Yes	+$39	06-16 03:41
atp shevche sachko 2026 06 13 match total 22pt5	9	$40	44	44	+0	Under	+$39	06-13 13:01
cs2 gl1 rustec 2026 10 16 total games 2pt5	5	$39	61	52	+9	Under	+$35	10-16 19:03
Pharos FDV above $50M one day after launch?	39	$37	140	115	+24	Yes	+$34	04-28 13:25
bnb up or down june 20 2026 2am et	14	$36	38	38	+0	Up	+$33	06-20 06:44
Set Handicap: Bencic (-1.5) vs Stearns (+1.5)	5	$33	85	33	+52	Bencic	+$1	05-29 20:03
Will Sam Horsfield leave LIV Golf by June 30th?	5	$33	111	32	+78	No	+$30	07-01 11:11
val flc fsf 2026 09 16 map handicap away 1pt5	5	$33	40	39	+1	Team Falcons VEGA	+$32	09-16 04:16
will vinicius jrpt score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145257762	17	$33	102	61	+41	No	+$28	07-05 21:55
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on May 17?	186	$33	1,875	1,875	+0	Yes	+$13	05-17 15:00
Will Marco Silva be the next manager of Benfica?	54	$29	164	158	+7	Yes	+$15	06-09 21:36
Pakistan Super League: Quetta Gladiators vs Karachi Kings - Team Top Batter Quetta Gladiators Winner	7	$29	139	29	+110	Yes	+$40	04-25 12:56
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	21	$28	124	54	+70	No	+$3	05-03 19:43
will florence pugh appear on hall h stage at sdcc 2026 20260714142553831	8	$28	79	42	+37	No	+$25	07-26 01:50
mlb cin tor 2026 09 26 spread away 2pt5	8	$27	125	125	+0	Cincinnati Reds	+$25	09-26 20:34
Bengaluru 2 (Doubles): Dev/Sinha vs Poonacha/Myneni	5	$27	957	50	+907	Poonacha/Myneni	+$25	05-15 09:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 13:28:40	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0xfa2904…
10-28 13:28:40	Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x1b0d84…
10-28 13:17:02	Will TownSquare launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x72846a…
10-28 13:16:59	Will TownSquare launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x4af702…
10-28 13:16:58	Will TownSquare launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xc8db49…
10-28 13:09:04	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xd7506e…
10-28 12:40:53	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0xe43de8…
10-28 12:32:07	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x163ac6…
10-28 12:28:13	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xfa0698…
10-28 12:16:35	Will Shas win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0xc75824…
10-28 11:44:08	Will OpenRouter process less than 175T tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x85d747…
10-28 10:24:05	Will Shas win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe19d42…
10-28 09:14:43	W35 Norman, OK: Zoie Epps vs Jimena Gomez	Jimena Gomez	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0x9e809a…
10-28 07:39:07	Will Podemos win the most seats in La Rioja in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0xa7fed2…
10-28 06:48:26	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	SELL	23	3¢	$1	0xf0f361…
10-28 06:22:17	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.725T by October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xf37fce…
10-28 06:22:13	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.725T by October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xa38be9…
10-28 06:22:07	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.725T by October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x199c79…
10-28 06:06:05	Will Shas win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x74fb31…
10-28 05:51:23	Will Shas win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x07f3a8…
10-28 05:51:22	Will Shas win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0x2cfa06…
10-28 05:35:16	Will Shas win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xdbdc87…
10-28 05:31:43	Will Shas win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x71c43b…
10-28 05:09:44	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election?	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$0	0x65dcb2…
10-28 03:32:18	Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31?	Yes	SELL	36	1¢	$0	0x959c8f…
10-28 02:51:09	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 0%-10%?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0xb3e309…
10-28 02:49:53	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xd239ed…
10-28 02:49:53	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1b3576…
10-28 02:49:53	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x123ef8…
10-28 02:15:57	Will Podemos win the most seats in La Rioja in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x64cbab…
10-28 02:05:50	Will Podemos win the most seats in La Rioja in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xb27ad1…
10-28 02:05:50	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in La Rioja in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x4df265…
10-28 02:04:44	Will Podemos win the most seats in La Rioja in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xa2e43b…
10-28 01:39:06	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x1b8daa…
10-28 01:39:05	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 0%-10%?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x9f4849…
10-28 01:16:54	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Las Palmas in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xe2d9df…
10-27 23:23:20	Will TownSquare launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x0e9fa6…
10-27 23:17:11	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NE-02 House election by 25% or more?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xe380f3…
10-27 23:16:15	Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc8de62…
10-27 23:16:08	Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x709a23…
10-27 21:45:30	Will Shas win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x0c2935…
10-27 21:30:00	Will Shas win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	23	7¢	$2	0x3bbcc9…
10-27 21:07:21	Will Longford Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xf9976e…
10-27 21:07:20	Will Longford Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x1b774e…
10-27 21:06:21	Will University College Dublin win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xc7eecb…
10-27 21:01:39	Will Longford Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xc479ab…
10-27 20:53:17	Will Shas win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xe376de…
10-27 20:44:29	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 0%-5%?	Yes	SELL	31	1¢	$0	0xfd510f…
10-27 20:12:26	Will Shas win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xe9a344…
10-27 20:08:14	Will Shas win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdbb4e0…
10-27 20:07:54	Will Shas win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x0c2f27…
10-27 20:06:09	Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) <12.5%?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0x5f0548…
10-27 20:06:02	Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) <12.5%?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x3be8c1…
10-27 20:06:00	Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) <12.5%?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xe9a810…
10-27 20:06:00	Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 14.5% to 15.5%?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xb4ad5f…
10-27 20:06:00	Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 12.5% to 13.5%?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xb393a9…
10-27 20:06:00	Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 15.5%+?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xa2d15f…
10-27 20:06:00	Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 13.5% to 14.5%?	No	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x949476…
10-27 20:06:00	Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) <12.5%?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2aff42…
10-27 20:02:20	Will Shas win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x451cb7…
10-27 20:02:20	Will Shas win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x258599…
10-27 19:44:42	Will Shas win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xcee04f…
10-27 19:26:11	Will Shas win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x7b3bc5…
10-27 19:25:50	Will Shas win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xdfff67…
10-27 19:25:50	Will Shas win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xd093af…
10-27 19:25:50	Will Shas win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xb17692…
10-27 19:25:50	Will Shas win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x8b0579…
10-27 19:25:50	Will Shas win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x5fca4a…
10-27 19:02:03	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut be between 1,000,000 and 1,100,000?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x2f8ac4…
10-27 18:43:35	Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	3¢	$2	0xd1f78c…
10-27 18:43:35	Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?	No	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x294b8b…
10-27 18:34:29	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 3,900,000 and 4,050,000?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x87117a…
10-27 18:26:48	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 8,800,000 and 9,200,000?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x026714…
10-27 18:15:30	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in La Rioja in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x7174a9…
10-27 18:06:24	Will AbbVie Q3 Global Skyrizi net revenues be above $6.5B?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x875d17…
10-27 17:52:53	Will Vox win the most seats in Las Palmas in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	19	7¢	$1	0x037553…
10-27 17:30:29	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #1 US song this week?	No	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x04122d…
10-27 16:45:26	Will Vox win the most seats in Las Palmas in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xd8a1e9…
10-27 16:24:26	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,050,000 and 4,200,000?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xa79f96…
10-27 16:10:57	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 3,900,000 and 4,050,000?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x3e735f…
10-27 14:43:09	Will Vox win the most seats in Las Palmas in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xa12c66…
10-27 14:38:42	W35 Norman, OK: Zoie Epps vs Jimena Gomez	Jimena Gomez	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0xc8ea00…
10-27 14:38:32	W35 Norman, OK: Zoie Epps vs Jimena Gomez	Jimena Gomez	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0x4adb56…
10-27 14:38:18	W35 Norman, OK: Zoie Epps vs Jimena Gomez	Jimena Gomez	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x224356…
10-27 14:17:59	Will Shas win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0xf46ed6…
10-27 13:07:51	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x499da3…
10-27 12:49:47	Will OpenRouter process less than 175T tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xe48329…
10-27 12:48:50	Will Shas win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x1a6036…
10-27 12:35:26	Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0xd33ee1…
10-27 12:33:14	Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xa2fa88…
10-27 12:30:36	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 30?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x45b442…
10-27 12:30:35	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xe25fd9…
10-27 12:06:05	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Beijing Ducks	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x6cf1a9…
10-27 10:58:21	Will Podemos win the most seats in La Rioja in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x345dd9…
10-27 10:58:20	Will Podemos win the most seats in La Rioja in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xf89059…
10-27 10:55:08	Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 global unit case volume growth <3.5%?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xb869a0…
10-27 10:55:06	Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 global unit case volume growth <3.5%?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xf2e6ef…
10-27 10:55:06	Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 global unit case volume growth 5.5% to 6.5%?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xdf54e5…
10-27 10:55:05	Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 global unit case volume growth 6.5%+?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xfaf384…
10-27 10:55:05	Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 global unit case volume growth <3.5%?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x0451fe…