Colorful-Lyre — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$19

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

72.1%

Resolved (7d)

110

Trades (7d)

781

24,755 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$195

$10.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 10-30 09:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 194 days

Categories

Other

76% 28% +$1,580

Sports

13% 30% +$482

Crypto

6% 28% +$68

Politics

5% 49% +$170

Tech

0% 62% +$9

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Song Yadong be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes		-43	$0	1¢	$-0	$0	06-02 20:06
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	No		-0	$0	8¢	$-0	$0	05-25 09:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
crictopend ade act 2026 08 28 toss winner	9	$211	362	216	+145	ACT Comets	+$206	08-29 03:07
Dimitar Kuzmanov vs. Buvaysar Gadamauri: Total Sets O/U 2.5	4	$149	372	147	+225	Under 2.5	+$127	04-30 08:18
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies	6	$96	157	100	+57	Yes	+$92	05-03 19:27
crict20blast war wor 2026 06 26 toss winner	5	$86	96	96	+0	Worcestershire	+$85	06-26 19:21
atp berrett arnaldi 2026 06 03 completed match	5	$78	54	80	-25	No	+$51	06-03 20:32
Will Jon Rahm leave LIV Golf by June 30th?	17	$70	106	95	+11	No	+$66	07-02 05:41
T20 Blast: Derbyshire vs Nottinghamshire - Toss Match Double Derbyshire Winner	12	$67	67	67	+0	Yes	+$65	05-29 21:12
ITF Maringa: Victor Alvares De Castro Rocha vs Pavlos Tsitsipas	3	$63	35	105	-70	Pavlos Tsitsipas	-$39	05-14 01:58
wnba min nyl 2026 09 29 2h total 86pt5	4	$62	63	63	+0	Under	+$61	09-30 02:46
will trump say swamp the vote during tele rally	6	$52	58	58	+0	Yes	+$50	06-26 00:03
LoL: All for One Gaming vs VfB eSports - Game 4 Winner	5	$50	53	53	+0	All for One Gaming	+$49	09-15 19:28
cs2 ra1 cw 2026 09 03	5	$47	63	53	+10	Chinggis Warriors	+$44	09-03 11:25
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landers	22	$43	83	99	-16	SSG Landers	+$42	06-09 18:01
will passenger opening weekend box office be between 12pt5m and 14m	6	$42	96	93	+3	resolved	+$38	06-09 21:01
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 shots gavi paez gte1	7	$40	86	40	+46	Yes	+$39	06-16 03:41
atp shevche sachko 2026 06 13 match total 22pt5	9	$40	44	44	+0	Under	+$39	06-13 13:01
cs2 gl1 rustec 2026 10 16 total games 2pt5	5	$39	61	52	+9	Under	+$35	10-16 19:03
Pharos FDV above $50M one day after launch?	39	$37	140	115	+24	Yes	+$34	04-28 13:25
bnb up or down june 20 2026 2am et	14	$36	38	38	+0	Up	+$33	06-20 06:44
Set Handicap: Bencic (-1.5) vs Stearns (+1.5)	5	$33	85	33	+52	Bencic	+$1	05-29 20:03
Will Sam Horsfield leave LIV Golf by June 30th?	5	$33	111	32	+78	No	+$30	07-01 11:11
val flc fsf 2026 09 16 map handicap away 1pt5	5	$33	40	39	+1	Team Falcons VEGA	+$32	09-16 04:16
will vinicius jrpt score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145257762	17	$33	102	61	+41	No	+$28	07-05 21:55
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on May 17?	186	$33	1,875	1,875	+0	Yes	+$13	05-17 15:00
Will Marco Silva be the next manager of Benfica?	54	$29	164	158	+7	Yes	+$15	06-09 21:36
Pakistan Super League: Quetta Gladiators vs Karachi Kings - Team Top Batter Quetta Gladiators Winner	7	$29	139	29	+110	Yes	+$40	04-25 12:56
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	21	$28	124	54	+70	No	+$3	05-03 19:43
will florence pugh appear on hall h stage at sdcc 2026 20260714142553831	8	$28	79	42	+37	No	+$25	07-26 01:50
mlb cin tor 2026 09 26 spread away 2pt5	8	$27	125	125	+0	Cincinnati Reds	+$25	09-26 20:34
Bengaluru 2 (Doubles): Dev/Sinha vs Poonacha/Myneni	5	$27	957	50	+907	Poonacha/Myneni	+$25	05-15 09:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 10:45:48	Google announces a full training pause in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb2cace…
10-30 09:51:18	Will Shas win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xbcd457…
10-30 09:51:18	Will Shas win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xbc68b5…
10-30 09:50:48	Will Shas win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xab2bfd…
10-30 09:46:58	Will Shas win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x89f270…
10-30 09:46:58	Will Shas win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x3f7acd…
10-30 09:41:16	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x9e49db…
10-30 09:41:16	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x9c815f…
10-30 09:38:07	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,050,000 and 4,200,000?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xe1d81a…
10-30 09:34:04	Will Shas win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x4f00f6…
10-30 09:21:07	Will Google be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0xc36cf8…
10-30 09:18:18	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by October 31?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xd7363b…
10-30 06:40:06	Will OpenRouter process between 175T and 185T tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xe910d8…
10-30 06:40:06	Will OpenRouter process less than 175T tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0xda1181…
10-30 06:40:04	Will OpenRouter process between 175T and 185T tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x291403…
10-30 06:17:27	Will there be exactly 8 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x9fe775…
10-30 06:17:24	Will there be exactly 8 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x7e7073…
10-30 06:17:21	Will there be exactly 8 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xe30236…
10-30 06:17:03	Will there be exactly 8 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x68ed75…
10-30 04:24:43	StandX FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	24	2¢	$0	0x49abf0…
10-30 04:23:46	Will OpenRouter process between 175T and 185T tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xb93b83…
10-30 04:23:46	Will OpenRouter process between 175T and 185T tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7307ce…
10-30 04:23:40	Will OpenRouter process between 175T and 185T tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x851ab9…
10-30 02:13:33	Will Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x01a5f6…
10-30 02:12:09	Will Ethena reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xd12801…
10-30 01:53:51	Bitcoin above 76,600 on October 29, 10PM ET?	No	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x4e5c3e…
10-30 01:53:33	Bitcoin above 76,600 on October 29, 10PM ET?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xf0ced9…
10-30 01:45:31	bitcoin above 77600 on october 29 2026 10pm et	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xebbe84…
10-30 01:32:18	Brazil declares emergency rule in Brasília by January 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x06d185…
10-30 00:02:00	Will OpenRouter process 205T or more tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xdc9a9f…
10-30 00:01:45	Will OpenRouter process 205T or more tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x0e5049…
10-29 22:30:22	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 40% or more?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x5bf8fc…
10-29 22:30:22	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 40% or more?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x3b92d6…
10-29 21:43:33	Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0xda2ef6…
10-29 21:33:51	Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $174 in October?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x061335…
10-29 21:31:04	Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $168 in October?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0xc77669…
10-29 21:30:28	Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $168 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xad578a…
10-29 21:29:28	Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $168 in October?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0xfeddf8…
10-29 21:28:28	Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $168 in October?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x95f17e…
10-29 21:27:04	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut be 1,600,000 or more?	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0x5a0752…
10-29 21:22:19	Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x4b5d04…
10-29 21:10:22	Will AbbVie Q3 Global Skyrizi net revenues be above $6.5B?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x4a88f6…
10-29 21:03:00	Will Kyrgyzstan win Group C at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xe53726…
10-29 19:45:36	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd75cc4…
10-29 19:45:34	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut be less than 1,000,000?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x805216…
10-29 19:45:34	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut be 1,600,000 or more?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x18239a…
10-29 19:33:55	Will Kyrgyzstan win Group C at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x5fe371…
10-29 19:28:57	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.1T by October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xe25fa7…
10-29 19:27:28	Will David Seymour be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xc5437d…
10-29 19:27:03	Will David Seymour be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xa5e3f9…
10-29 19:27:03	Will David Seymour be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x29194b…
10-29 19:21:48	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 8,800,000 and 9,200,000?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x6b4271…
10-29 19:21:13	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x27b55a…
10-29 19:15:57	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in La Rioja in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x8bc874…
10-29 17:48:41	Will Unión La Calera be relegated from the 2026 Chile Primera?	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x4d8776…
10-29 17:47:56	Will AVAX dip to $6 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x1d3e1b…
10-29 17:29:34	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x8c5f71…
10-29 17:29:28	Will "expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	49	1¢	$0	0xa8e031…
10-29 17:29:28	Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0xa2bbbb…
10-29 17:27:26	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x5367ec…
10-29 17:20:29	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut be 1,600,000 or more?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x2674e2…
10-29 16:53:02	Will OpenRouter process 205T or more tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd6dc57…
10-29 16:53:02	Will OpenRouter process 205T or more tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xce0081…
10-29 16:53:02	Will OpenRouter process 205T or more tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x973209…
10-29 16:39:38	Will Cobresal be relegated from the 2026 Chile Primera?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x9713a7…
10-29 16:19:19	Will Tyler Warren have 324.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0x99d0c9…
10-29 14:42:46	Will OpenRouter process 205T or more tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xf8cbf9…
10-29 14:42:37	Will OpenRouter process 205T or more tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xd81306…
10-29 14:05:04	Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0xfa7400…
10-29 14:03:23	Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x0fd6da…
10-29 13:26:56	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x06536f…
10-29 13:23:49	Counter-Strike: NRG vs Tactical Chaos (BO3) - FiReSPORTS Last Chance Group B	Tactical Chaos	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x1c1c74…
10-29 12:51:35	Will OpenRouter process less than 175T tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x01b098…
10-29 12:04:29	Will OpenRouter process less than 175T tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2394f6…
10-29 12:04:26	Will OpenRouter process less than 175T tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x72fb94…
10-29 12:04:25	Will OpenRouter process 205T or more tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xa8a226…
10-29 12:03:31	Will OpenRouter process less than 175T tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x028e13…
10-29 10:29:41	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.975T by October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x366458…
10-29 10:29:29	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.975T by October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x1e9419…
10-29 10:15:44	Will Steph Curry's next team be Charlotte Hornets?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x784f3e…
10-29 10:15:25	Will Steph Curry's next team be Philadelphia 76ers?	Yes	SELL	32	0¢	$0	0xee0fbd…
10-29 09:30:08	Will Podemos win the most seats in La Rioja in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x825cce…
10-29 09:25:31	Will Podemos win the most seats in La Rioja in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xce435b…
10-29 09:16:25	Will Podemos win the most seats in La Rioja in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x49d3a7…
10-29 08:49:10	Will Kyrgyzstan win Group C at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x2bd448…
10-29 07:50:17	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 0%-10%?	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0x7201af…
10-29 07:50:05	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.975T by October 31?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x23d3ba…
10-29 07:39:59	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 40% or more?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xb79bc4…
10-29 07:39:59	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 40% or more?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x45549f…
10-29 07:32:20	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x54d8ce…
10-29 07:32:17	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0xbfd964…
10-29 07:26:01	Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors?	No	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x5f895c…
10-29 05:40:01	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x3e741c…
10-29 05:34:53	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xc4b5fb…
10-29 05:16:20	Counter-Strike: NRG vs Tactical Chaos (BO3) - FiReSPORTS Last Chance Group B	Tactical Chaos	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x1a2a20…
10-29 04:30:13	Will Podemos win the most seats in La Rioja in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x7ee7ab…
10-29 03:20:32	Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xda8dbe…
10-29 02:47:32	Will Shas win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x4f1860…
10-29 01:36:02	Will there be exactly 8 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xea9392…
10-29 01:35:13	Will there be exactly 8 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x03b424…