Colorful-Lyre — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$167

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

71.8%

Resolved (30d)

435

Trades (30d)

2,105

24,961 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$658

$10.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 11-01 03:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 196 days

Categories

Other

76% 29% +$1,578

Sports

13% 30% +$482

Crypto

6% 28% +$68

Politics

5% 49% +$170

Tech

0% 60% +$9

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Song Yadong be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes		-43	$0	1¢	$-1	$0	06-02 20:06
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	No		-0	$0	8¢	$-0	+$0	05-25 09:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
crictopend ade act 2026 08 28 toss winner	9	$211	362	216	+145	ACT Comets	+$206	08-29 03:07
Dimitar Kuzmanov vs. Buvaysar Gadamauri: Total Sets O/U 2.5	4	$149	372	147	+225	Under 2.5	+$127	04-30 08:18
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies	6	$96	157	100	+57	Yes	+$92	05-03 19:27
crict20blast war wor 2026 06 26 toss winner	5	$86	96	96	+0	Worcestershire	+$85	06-26 19:21
atp berrett arnaldi 2026 06 03 completed match	5	$78	54	80	-25	No	+$51	06-03 20:32
Will Jon Rahm leave LIV Golf by June 30th?	17	$70	106	95	+11	No	+$66	07-02 05:41
T20 Blast: Derbyshire vs Nottinghamshire - Toss Match Double Derbyshire Winner	12	$67	67	67	+0	Yes	+$65	05-29 21:12
ITF Maringa: Victor Alvares De Castro Rocha vs Pavlos Tsitsipas	3	$63	35	105	-70	Pavlos Tsitsipas	-$39	05-14 01:58
wnba min nyl 2026 09 29 2h total 86pt5	4	$62	63	63	+0	Under	+$61	09-30 02:46
will trump say swamp the vote during tele rally	6	$52	58	58	+0	Yes	+$50	06-26 00:03
LoL: All for One Gaming vs VfB eSports - Game 4 Winner	5	$50	53	53	+0	All for One Gaming	+$49	09-15 19:28
cs2 ra1 cw 2026 09 03	5	$47	63	53	+10	Chinggis Warriors	+$44	09-03 11:25
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landers	22	$43	83	99	-16	SSG Landers	+$42	06-09 18:01
will passenger opening weekend box office be between 12pt5m and 14m	6	$42	96	93	+3	resolved	+$38	06-09 21:01
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 shots gavi paez gte1	7	$40	86	40	+46	Yes	+$39	06-16 03:41
atp shevche sachko 2026 06 13 match total 22pt5	9	$40	44	44	+0	Under	+$39	06-13 13:01
cs2 gl1 rustec 2026 10 16 total games 2pt5	5	$39	61	52	+9	Under	+$35	10-16 19:03
Pharos FDV above $50M one day after launch?	39	$37	140	115	+24	Yes	+$34	04-28 13:25
bnb up or down june 20 2026 2am et	14	$36	38	38	+0	Up	+$33	06-20 06:44
Set Handicap: Bencic (-1.5) vs Stearns (+1.5)	5	$33	85	33	+52	Bencic	+$1	05-29 20:03
Will Sam Horsfield leave LIV Golf by June 30th?	5	$33	111	32	+78	No	+$30	07-01 11:11
val flc fsf 2026 09 16 map handicap away 1pt5	5	$33	40	39	+1	Team Falcons VEGA	+$32	09-16 04:16
will vinicius jrpt score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145257762	17	$33	102	61	+41	No	+$28	07-05 21:55
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on May 17?	186	$33	1,875	1,875	+0	Yes	+$13	05-17 15:00
Will Marco Silva be the next manager of Benfica?	54	$29	164	158	+7	Yes	+$15	06-09 21:36
Pakistan Super League: Quetta Gladiators vs Karachi Kings - Team Top Batter Quetta Gladiators Winner	7	$29	139	29	+110	Yes	+$40	04-25 12:56
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	21	$28	124	54	+70	No	+$3	05-03 19:43
will florence pugh appear on hall h stage at sdcc 2026 20260714142553831	8	$28	79	42	+37	No	+$25	07-26 01:50
mlb cin tor 2026 09 26 spread away 2pt5	8	$27	125	125	+0	Cincinnati Reds	+$25	09-26 20:34
Bengaluru 2 (Doubles): Dev/Sinha vs Poonacha/Myneni	5	$27	957	50	+907	Poonacha/Myneni	+$25	05-15 09:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 06:49:25	Will OpenRouter process 205T or more tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0xdbbce4…
11-01 06:47:33	Will Waymo operate in 24-27 cities on December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x2d54f1…
11-01 06:29:54	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut be between 1,000,000 and 1,100,000?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xa9fd96…
11-01 03:09:15	Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.1600 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x9ad491…
11-01 02:47:09	Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xd8c400…
11-01 02:33:09	Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x5713b7…
11-01 02:03:31	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xdd315f…
11-01 02:03:31	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x82eef5…
11-01 01:53:15	Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by October 31?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xc216df…
11-01 01:51:04	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xfe369a…
11-01 01:09:58	Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x81c13b…
10-31 23:44:36	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xdc3686…
10-31 23:44:36	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x440362…
10-31 23:01:31	Brazil declares emergency rule in Brasília by January 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0xd6c6a9…
10-31 22:59:13	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xf43300…
10-31 21:58:55	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.1700 and $4.1799 on November 1?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x2971f5…
10-31 21:57:52	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.1700 and $4.1799 on November 1?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xdfaacc…
10-31 21:12:25	Will the Democratic Party win the LA-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x4585c2…
10-31 20:11:54	itf craciu2 piano1 2026 11 01	Victor Craciun	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0xfd643e…
10-31 19:54:00	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.1700 and $4.1799 on November 1?	No	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xfc989c…
10-31 19:52:57	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.1700 and $4.1799 on November 1?	No	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0xde8958…
10-31 19:23:15	Will Club Almagro win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x3dd971…
10-31 18:58:43	Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x5ee285…
10-31 18:42:01	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.1600 and $4.1699 on November 1?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x11a286…
10-31 18:30:21	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.1800 and $4.1899 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x4d2249…
10-31 17:23:21	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.1800 and $4.1899 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x7c8ac2…
10-31 17:22:18	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.1600 and $4.1699 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xb6c9a4…
10-31 17:22:18	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.1600 and $4.1699 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x81b2a6…
10-31 17:15:19	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.1800 and $4.1899 on November 1?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0xe1d145…
10-31 17:15:10	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.1600 and $4.1699 on November 1?	Yes	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0x437359…
10-31 17:08:06	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.1700 and $4.1799 on November 1?	No	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0x476e93…
10-31 16:45:33	will us gas price be between 4pt16 and 4pt17 on november 1 2026	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x208765…
10-31 16:39:31	Will OpenRouter process 205T or more tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xac2129…
10-31 16:35:03	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.1700 and $4.1799 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8c0720…
10-31 16:34:33	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.1700 and $4.1799 on November 1?	No	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0xd668c8…
10-31 16:26:07	will us gas price be between 4pt18 and 4pt19 on november 1 2026	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xca0604…
10-31 16:26:07	will us gas price be 4pt20 or more on november 1 2026	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb9aff6…
10-31 16:26:07	will us gas price be between 4pt16 and 4pt17 on november 1 2026	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x7d7df7…
10-31 16:26:07	will us gas price be between 4pt18 and 4pt19 on november 1 2026	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x670099…
10-31 16:26:07	will us gas price be between 4pt19 and 4pt20 on november 1 2026	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x509b8f…
10-31 16:26:07	will us gas price be 4pt20 or more on november 1 2026	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x21ad46…
10-31 16:26:06	will us gas price be between 4pt19 and 4pt20 on november 1 2026	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x12125e…
10-31 16:02:04	Will OpenRouter process 205T or more tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x1c3de2…
10-31 15:50:16	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,800,000 and 4,950,000?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xa9f91a…
10-31 15:03:45	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,800,000 and 4,950,000?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xe8cdef…
10-31 14:39:25	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x531762…
10-31 14:39:10	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x0f30b7…
10-31 14:10:13	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Las Palmas in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x9d302d…
10-31 13:24:45	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $296 in November?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x85cc35…
10-31 13:13:27	Will CCa win the most seats in Las Palmas in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xeac0f3…
10-31 13:13:27	Will CCa win the most seats in Las Palmas in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb1dc57…
10-31 13:13:27	Will CCa win the most seats in Las Palmas in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x1eefad…
10-31 13:13:27	Will CCa win the most seats in Las Palmas in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x06e63c…
10-31 12:11:06	Will OpenRouter process 205T or more tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x1e2a91…
10-31 12:09:28	Will China win Group C at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xe0fba7…
10-31 12:09:28	Will Kyrgyzstan win Group C at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xa74280…
10-31 11:12:10	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $296 in November?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x52dcb3…
10-31 11:12:10	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $304 in November?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x4a78a0…
10-31 10:20:46	Will OpenRouter process 205T or more tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xc1aa94…
10-31 10:10:19	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x6e9ab9…
10-31 07:35:48	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NE-02 House election by 25% or more?	Yes	SELL	46	2¢	$1	0x8cad2e…
10-31 07:35:45	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NE-02 House election by 0%-5%?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xf76444…
10-31 06:48:30	Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xeee4ed…
10-31 06:41:37	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on October 31?	No	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x76049e…
10-31 05:23:09	Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x7e010c…
10-31 04:03:09	Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x2cafa1…
10-31 01:53:10	Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by October 31?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x86e59d…
10-31 01:47:13	Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xfd8d9d…
10-31 00:19:58	Will there be exactly 8 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x914e6c…
10-30 22:42:52	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $304 in November?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xeaaf79…
10-30 22:15:30	Iran leadership change by October 31?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0xd564f5…
10-30 22:12:42	Iran leadership change by October 31?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0xb2ebbb…
10-30 22:12:40	Iran leadership change by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x531cc5…
10-30 19:55:03	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.475T by October 31?	Yes	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0x5eda27…
10-30 19:21:25	Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x6a1d80…
10-30 19:20:37	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in La Rioja in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	48	0¢	$0	0x20bbd0…
10-30 18:19:25	Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x5c096e…
10-30 18:17:49	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.475T by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xa924c1…
10-30 18:17:36	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.475T by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2552ef…
10-30 18:17:00	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.725T by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe0860a…
10-30 18:16:33	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.525T by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xea285e…
10-30 18:16:27	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.525T by October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3075bb…
10-30 18:12:07	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-30?	No	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xfaae3e…
10-30 18:01:22	Helmond Sport vs. FC Eindhoven: FC Eindhoven O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0xa46ebc…
10-30 17:29:04	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-30?	No	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x7541cb…
10-30 17:27:37	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-30?	No	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x123206…
10-30 16:43:57	Will Ethena reach $0.36 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x78da65…
10-30 16:37:33	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.725T by October 31?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x82fb5c…
10-30 16:29:12	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x9e22cf…
10-30 16:22:33	Will Meta be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xf2b802…
10-30 14:25:22	Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (LOW) $150 in October?	No	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xb47c0e…
10-30 14:19:22	Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x7c23d1…
10-30 14:05:01	Will Shas win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xa9d37b…
10-30 14:04:55	Will Shas win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xf5b794…
10-30 14:04:01	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xeeb350…
10-30 14:04:01	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x350308…
10-30 13:58:07	Will there be exactly 8 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x920d11…
10-30 11:46:36	Will AbbVie Q3 Global Skyrizi net revenues be above $6.5B?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x078156…
10-30 11:46:33	Will AbbVie Q3 Global Skyrizi net revenues be above $6.5B?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc9d849…
10-30 11:46:33	Will AbbVie Q3 Global Skyrizi net revenues be above $6.5B?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x74f8b9…