Colorful-Lyre — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.32K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

69.2%

Resolved

6,139

Trades

25,146

lifetime

Volume

$10.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 11-03 03:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 198 days

Categories

Other

75% 29% +$1,603

Sports

13% 30% +$475

Crypto

6% 28% +$68

Politics

5% 49% +$170

Tech

0% 60% +$9

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Song Yadong be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes		-43	$0	1¢	$-1	$0	06-02 20:06
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	No		-0	$0	8¢	$-0	+$0	05-25 09:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
crictopend ade act 2026 08 28 toss winner	9	$211	362	216	+145	ACT Comets	+$206	08-29 03:07
Dimitar Kuzmanov vs. Buvaysar Gadamauri: Total Sets O/U 2.5	4	$149	372	147	+225	Under 2.5	+$127	04-30 08:18
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies	6	$96	157	100	+57	Yes	+$92	05-03 19:27
crict20blast war wor 2026 06 26 toss winner	5	$86	96	96	+0	Worcestershire	+$85	06-26 19:21
atp berrett arnaldi 2026 06 03 completed match	5	$78	54	80	-25	No	+$51	06-03 20:32
Will Jon Rahm leave LIV Golf by June 30th?	17	$70	106	95	+11	No	+$66	07-02 05:41
T20 Blast: Derbyshire vs Nottinghamshire - Toss Match Double Derbyshire Winner	12	$67	67	67	+0	Yes	+$65	05-29 21:12
ITF Maringa: Victor Alvares De Castro Rocha vs Pavlos Tsitsipas	3	$63	35	105	-70	Pavlos Tsitsipas	-$39	05-14 01:58
wnba min nyl 2026 09 29 2h total 86pt5	4	$62	63	63	+0	Under	+$61	09-30 02:46
will trump say swamp the vote during tele rally	6	$52	58	58	+0	Yes	+$50	06-26 00:03
LoL: All for One Gaming vs VfB eSports - Game 4 Winner	5	$50	53	53	+0	All for One Gaming	+$49	09-15 19:28
cs2 ra1 cw 2026 09 03	5	$47	63	53	+10	Chinggis Warriors	+$44	09-03 11:25
kbo sam ssg 2026 05 26	22	$43	83	99	-16	SSG Landers	+$42	06-09 18:01
will passenger opening weekend box office be between 12pt5m and 14m	6	$42	96	93	+3	resolved	+$38	06-09 21:01
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 shots gavi paez gte1	7	$40	86	40	+46	Yes	+$39	06-16 03:41
atp shevche sachko 2026 06 13 match total 22pt5	9	$40	44	44	+0	Under	+$39	06-13 13:01
cs2 gl1 rustec 2026 10 16 total games 2pt5	5	$39	61	52	+9	Under	+$35	10-16 19:03
Pharos FDV above $50M one day after launch?	39	$37	140	115	+24	Yes	+$34	04-28 13:25
bnb up or down june 20 2026 2am et	14	$36	38	38	+0	Up	+$33	06-20 06:44
Set Handicap: Bencic (-1.5) vs Stearns (+1.5)	5	$33	85	33	+52	Bencic	+$1	05-29 20:03
Will Sam Horsfield leave LIV Golf by June 30th?	5	$33	111	32	+78	No	+$30	07-01 11:11
val flc fsf 2026 09 16 map handicap away 1pt5	5	$33	40	39	+1	Team Falcons VEGA	+$32	09-16 04:16
will vinicius jrpt score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145257762	17	$33	102	61	+41	No	+$28	07-05 21:55
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on May 17?	186	$33	1,875	1,875	+0	Yes	+$13	05-17 15:00
Will Marco Silva be the next manager of Benfica?	54	$29	164	158	+7	Yes	+$15	06-09 21:36
Pakistan Super League: Quetta Gladiators vs Karachi Kings - Team Top Batter Quetta Gladiators Winner	7	$29	139	29	+110	Yes	+$40	04-25 12:56
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	21	$28	124	54	+70	No	+$3	05-03 19:43
will florence pugh appear on hall h stage at sdcc 2026 20260714142553831	8	$28	79	42	+37	No	+$25	07-26 01:50
mlb cin tor 2026 09 26 spread away 2pt5	8	$27	125	125	+0	Cincinnati Reds	+$25	09-26 20:34
Bengaluru 2 (Doubles): Dev/Sinha vs Poonacha/Myneni	5	$27	957	50	+907	Poonacha/Myneni	+$25	05-15 09:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 03:42:19	Will the KMT win the Taipei and New Taipei mayoral elections?	No	SELL	9	61¢	$5	0xafa1d2…
11-03 03:27:46	will the kmt win the taipei and new taipei mayoral elections	No	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0xa07ccf…
11-03 03:08:33	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $208 in November?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xc9f0f8…
11-03 00:54:49	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.1T by October 31?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xec1b44…
11-03 00:29:00	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $304 in November?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x529910…
11-02 23:47:51	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $208 in November?	Yes	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x857ba2…
11-02 23:46:51	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $208 in November?	Yes	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x10c23f…
11-02 22:40:15	Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0e5362…
11-02 22:38:36	Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xeb4408…
11-02 22:36:54	Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x019a93…
11-02 22:35:51	nba atl ind 2026 11 02 rebounds onyeka okongwu 1pt5	No	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xdcfdf1…
11-02 22:26:54	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $200 in November?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x07df48…
11-02 22:13:49	Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 1.5	Yes	SELL	224	7¢	$16	0xc57dcf…
11-02 22:12:43	Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 1.5	Yes	SELL	122	8¢	$10	0x30f3d9…
11-02 22:11:00	Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 1.5	Yes	SELL	18	9¢	$2	0x620dd8…
11-02 21:59:36	Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5	Yes	BUY	131	0¢	$0	0xc074b8…
11-02 21:57:07	Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xda2244…
11-02 21:56:22	Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0x7656ff…
11-02 21:55:15	Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5	Yes	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0x21a691…
11-02 21:52:09	Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 1.5	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0xe1469d…
11-02 20:57:52	Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2b64c4…
11-02 20:07:30	Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 12.5	Yes	BUY	63	0¢	$0	0xa089da…
11-02 18:47:45	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x72dec4…
11-02 18:42:18	Brazil declares emergency rule in Brasília by January 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x1e6748…
11-02 18:02:00	Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 16.5	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x44f927…
11-02 18:00:39	Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x7b7f9d…
11-02 18:00:07	Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xbd6c39…
11-02 18:00:07	Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 9.5	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x876e50…
11-02 18:00:07	Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 1.5	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x63a31b…
11-02 18:00:07	Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 4.5	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x5b4bea…
11-02 18:00:07	Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x45ef27…
11-02 18:00:07	Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 9.5	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x17c348…
11-02 18:00:06	Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0xf5c48b…
11-02 18:00:06	Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 4.5	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xeb9d2a…
11-02 18:00:06	Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 9.5	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0xe3a56d…
11-02 18:00:06	Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 5.5	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xe2db93…
11-02 18:00:06	Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 19.5	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xd9aa61…
11-02 18:00:06	Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xd96057…
11-02 18:00:06	Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 1.5	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0xc7a66f…
11-02 18:00:06	Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x9f1c30…
11-02 18:00:06	Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x91bc57…
11-02 18:00:06	Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0x8dc328…
11-02 18:00:06	Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x825f20…
11-02 18:00:06	Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x71fd77…
11-02 18:00:06	Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 1.5	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x59112e…
11-02 18:00:06	Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 19.5	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x4c4742…
11-02 18:00:06	Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 16.5	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x4a6db3…
11-02 18:00:06	Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x47a225…
11-02 18:00:06	Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x1c31d8…
11-02 17:59:36	Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xea0634…
11-02 17:53:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-02 House election by 0%-5%?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xae341b…
11-02 17:48:00	Will FK Radnicki Nis win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x677946…
11-02 17:45:10	Will Ethena reach $0.36 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0xeb44ea…
11-02 17:44:40	Will FK Radnicki Nis win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x3b235a…
11-02 17:38:34	Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw?	No	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x6308d4…
11-02 17:38:31	Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x677143…
11-02 16:28:40	Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B?	Yes	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0xf36f94…
11-02 16:28:16	Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x2ae4b3…
11-02 16:18:03	Will the Democratic Party win the LA-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xe7745a…
11-02 15:00:13	Will CCa win the most seats in Las Palmas in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x56ba00…
11-02 14:59:58	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $200 in November?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x108083…
11-02 14:59:57	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $200 in November?	Yes	BUY	14	4¢	$1	0x57f63f…
11-02 14:40:40	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 in November?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x97f717…
11-02 14:36:54	Will Donald Trump visit Wisconsin before the midterms?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x00c82a…
11-02 14:35:52	Will Donald Trump visit Wisconsin before the midterms?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xe69aaf…
11-02 14:28:40	Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xc33987…
11-02 13:27:39	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut be less than 1,000,000?	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0xbfa17a…
11-02 13:08:45	Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0xfca65b…
11-02 13:02:40	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x0b60b2…
11-02 12:56:34	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x1c58b7…
11-02 12:56:34	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x03c620…
11-02 12:55:57	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or higher on November 3?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x8174a2…
11-02 12:55:55	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or higher on November 3?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x38db14…
11-02 12:55:33	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 0°C on November 2?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x44fbf5…
11-02 12:55:25	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x98d215…
11-02 12:55:25	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x5e1da4…
11-02 10:54:42	Will Donald Trump visit New Hampshire before the midterms?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xbf2d98…
11-02 10:13:04	Will Donald Trump visit New Hampshire before the midterms?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xfc573b…
11-02 10:07:58	California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?	Yes	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x6a98f8…
11-02 10:07:07	California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$1	0x917a73…
11-02 09:28:40	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $304 in November?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x57f916…
11-02 07:13:24	Will Ethena reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x30a2ee…
11-02 06:51:22	Will Donald Trump visit New Hampshire before the midterms?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x61cdcf…
11-02 06:43:45	Will Donald Trump visit Oregon before the midterms?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x0bc6cd…
11-02 06:40:24	Will Donald Trump visit Maine before the midterms?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xbbd861…
11-02 06:35:51	Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26?	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x667000…
11-02 06:35:49	Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xec400d…
11-02 06:30:27	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut be between 1,000,000 and 1,100,000?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xa07be4…
11-02 06:13:03	Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26?	No	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x22b0ee…
11-02 06:11:12	Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x87af11…
11-02 05:22:19	nba atl ind 2026 11 02 spread home 25pt5	Pacers	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x87c45c…
11-02 05:21:54	nba atl ind 2026 11 02 spread home 23pt5	Pacers	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x439df3…
11-02 05:21:43	nba atl ind 2026 11 02 spread home 23pt5	Pacers	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x002d5f…
11-02 05:21:42	nba atl ind 2026 11 02 spread home 25pt5	Pacers	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x858590…
11-02 05:21:42	nba atl ind 2026 11 02 spread home 25pt5	Pacers	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x67e6e2…
11-02 05:21:42	nba atl ind 2026 11 02 spread home 23pt5	Pacers	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x16b206…
11-02 02:27:18	Will there be 7+ NFL Scorigamis in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0x2bc29b…
11-02 00:37:28	Will there be 7+ NFL Scorigamis in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xf6e0ec…
11-02 00:37:21	Exact Margin: Other	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x9ddccc…
11-01 22:36:36	Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26?	No	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x733847…