Will Ethena reach $0.36 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$456
Trades
31
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$1,316
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-01-01
First seen
2026-06-20
last 08-01 02:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $6 | $280 | $274 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $28 | $26 | +$2 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $21 | $48 | $27 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $2 | $259 | $257 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $32 | $32 |
| Median | 3 | $18 | — | +$18 |
| Below median | 4 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| unranked | 7 | $29 | $62 | $33 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | +277 | $248 | $248 | 2 | 07-21 03:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x8242…cb6e | Yes | +200 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 07-21 03:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x8c7c…d042 | No | +56 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-22 20:54 |
| Even-Space 0x9aea…b686 | Yes | +42 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 08-01 02:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | +40 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 06-20 17:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | +25 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-26 04:54 |
| Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-26 04:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | +18 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-20 23:04 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +16 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-26 04:54 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-13 11:17 |
| Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | No | +12 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-13 11:17 |
| Clean-Slang 0xd5ff…8450 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-11 19:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-26 04:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-28 11:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | +5 | $0 | $1 | 2 | 07-28 11:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | +4 | $1 | $2 | 2 | 07-11 19:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 02:44:32 | Expensive-Gas 0x3fff…7e0a | Yes | SELL | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x853410… |
| 08-01 02:44:32 | Even-Space 0x9aea…b686 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x853410… |
| 07-28 11:04:46 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x7212d2… |
| 07-28 11:04:46 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x7212d2… |
| 07-26 04:54:49 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x4ef05a… |
| 07-26 04:54:49 | Neighboring-Xylophone 0x0da8…54af | Yes | SELL | 102 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x4ef05a… |
| 07-26 04:54:49 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x4ef05a… |
| 07-26 04:54:49 | Even-Space 0x9aea…b686 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x4ef05a… |
| 07-26 04:54:49 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x4ef05a… |
| 07-26 04:54:49 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x4ef05a… |
| 07-26 04:54:49 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x4ef05a… |
| 07-21 03:18:36 | Neighboring-Xylophone 0x0da8…54af | Yes | BUY | 102 | 16¢ | $16 | 0xf00d7d… |
| 07-21 03:18:36 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | BUY | 77 | 84¢ | $64 | 0xf00d7d… |
| 07-21 03:18:36 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xf00d7d… |
| 07-21 03:18:07 | Palatable-Avalanche 0xb401…df2a | No | BUY | 200 | 92¢ | $184 | 0x1763a4… |
| 07-21 03:18:07 | (anonymous) 0x8242…cb6e | Yes | BUY | 200 | 8¢ | $16 | 0x1763a4… |
| 07-13 11:17:41 | Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | No | BUY | 12 | 89¢ | $11 | 0x2ce9c4… |
| 07-13 11:17:41 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x2ce9c4… |
| 07-11 19:51:59 | Clean-Slang 0xd5ff…8450 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x373d98… |
| 07-11 19:51:59 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x373d98… |
| 07-11 19:51:59 | Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x373d98… |
| 06-22 20:54:10 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 22 | 86¢ | $19 | 0x58df73… |
| 06-22 20:54:10 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 9 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x58df73… |
| 06-22 20:54:10 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x58df73… |
| 06-22 20:54:10 | (anonymous) 0x8c7c…d042 | No | BUY | 56 | 85¢ | $48 | 0x58df73… |
| 06-20 23:04:17 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | BUY | 18 | 82¢ | $15 | 0x7e62a7… |
| 06-20 23:04:17 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 18 | 82¢ | $15 | 0x7e62a7… |
| 06-20 17:49:40 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 30 | 79¢ | $24 | 0x022352… |
| 06-20 17:49:40 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 21¢ | $6 | 0x022352… |
| 06-20 17:36:14 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xd97459… |
| 06-20 17:36:14 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0xd97459… |