Realized P&L
+$829
Unrealized P&L
+$232
Hit rate
68.1%
Resolved
2,679
Trades
20,888
lifetime
Volume
$10.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$92
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 00:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 228 days
Categories
Crypto
64% 31% +$155
Other
30% 52% +$547
Tech
6% 58% +$129
Politics
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +130 -$3 16¢ $20 +$23 09-15 06:35
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +169 -$9 10¢ $16 +$26 11-04 16:53
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +30 $0 30¢ $9 +$9 06-10 15:42
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +25 -$4 23¢ $6 +$10 11-04 16:54
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes +558 -$9 1¢ $4 +$13 10-26 13:49
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? Yes +719 $1 1¢ $4 +$3 09-13 12:37
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +500 -$34 1¢ $4 +$38 11-05 00:01
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? Yes +594 -$57 1¢ $4 +$61 10-30 14:32
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +730 -$8 0¢ $3 +$11 10-24 05:16
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes +285 $1 1¢ $2 +$2 09-13 11:42
Over $200M raised on Coinbase in 2026? Yes +20 $2 12¢ $2 +$1 11-03 16:48
Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -219 -$3 1¢ $-2 +$1 05-04 18:09
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +100 $2 2¢ $2 +$0 11-04 17:26
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? Yes +485 -$12 0¢ $2 +$14 07-28 02:40
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +150 $0 1¢ $1 +$2 10-26 13:49
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +10 $0 14¢ $1 +$2 09-24 00:05
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +861 -$3 0¢ $1 +$4 11-04 17:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +194 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 09-21 10:29
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $1 2¢ $1 $0 11-04 21:07
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +15 -$1 6¢ $1 +$2 11-04 19:20
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -5 -$1 14¢ $-1 $0 05-20 19:30
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? Yes +40 -$5 2¢ $1 +$5 09-26 20:11
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? Yes -100 $0 1¢ $-1 $0 05-11 02:23
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +250 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 10-24 00:24
will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830 Yes +14 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 11-03 14:39
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -20 -$3 1¢ $-0 +$3 10-29 06:17
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? Yes -2 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 08-21 08:12