Flimsy-Lute 0x5849c9…1ca99e
bot 24W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$826
Unrealized P&L
+$221
Hit rate
68.1%
Resolved
2,674
Trades
20,856
lifetime
Volume
$10.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$86
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 05:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 227 days
Categories
Crypto
64% 31% +$155
Other
30% 51% +$544
Tech
6% 58% +$129
Politics
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +130 -$3 11¢ $14 +$17 09-15 06:35
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +219 -$6 4¢ $10 +$15 09-21 15:50
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +50 $1 19¢ $10 +$8 10-04 12:47
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes +558 -$9 1¢ $8 +$16 10-26 13:49
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +30 $0 25¢ $7 +$7 06-10 15:42
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +300 -$35 2¢ $6 +$41 11-01 02:40
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? Yes +594 -$57 1¢ $5 +$62 10-30 14:32
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? Yes +719 $1 1¢ $5 +$4 09-13 12:37
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +730 -$8 0¢ $4 +$11 10-24 05:16
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes +285 $1 1¢ $3 +$2 09-13 11:42
Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -219 -$3 1¢ $-2 +$1 05-04 18:09
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +150 $0 1¢ $2 +$3 10-26 13:49
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? Yes +485 -$12 0¢ $2 +$14 07-28 02:40
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? Yes +40 -$5 4¢ $1 +$6 09-26 20:11
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +10 $0 14¢ $1 +$2 09-24 00:05
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +15 $0 8¢ $1 +$1 10-16 07:59
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +352 -$3 0¢ $1 +$4 10-30 15:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +194 $0 0¢ $1 +$1 09-21 10:29
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? Yes -100 $0 1¢ $-1 -$1 05-11 02:23
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -5 -$1 14¢ $-1 $0 05-20 19:30
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +250 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 10-24 00:24
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +250 $1 0¢ $0 $0 10-28 19:34
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -20 -$3 0¢ $-0 +$3 10-29 06:17
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -23 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 06-30 14:00
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? Yes -2 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 08-21 08:12