Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,531
$20 in 24h
Trades
87
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$2,808
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-01
last 08-16 03:25
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $2 | $627 | $625 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $3 | $160 | $157 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $10 | $23 | $13 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $12 | $28 | $17 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $11 | $16 | $5 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $0 | $55 | $54 |
| Median | 3 | $3 | $17 | $14 |
| Below median | 4 | $2 | $605 | $603 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $1 | $96 | $96 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| unranked | 12 | $9 | $44 | $34 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | +310 | $296 | $915 | 23 | 08-16 03:25 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +208 | $7 | $11 | 9 | 08-14 23:03 |
| Dependent-Objective 0xb7f3…e279 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 07-30 19:27 |
| Pitiful-Laugh 0xaaa7…746a | No | +56 | $55 | $55 | 2 | 07-06 11:16 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +19 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 08-13 00:16 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +16 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-23 23:25 |
| Ironclad-Thermometer 0xba7a…5528 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 02:25 |
| Loving-Hate 0x48c4…19e5 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-02 01:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x1700…7496 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-21 00:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 08-09 01:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 07-21 22:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $5 | 5 | 07-21 22:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e8e…e7a2 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 08-09 01:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x345e…e141 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 08-06 04:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x73c0…308d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-07 02:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xa8da…22ca | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 08-07 05:16 |
| Eminent-Sill 0xe53a…bf72 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 08-06 08:35 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +4 | $-0 | $2 | 5 | 08-09 01:32 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 09:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 03:25:30 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7b2f93… |
| 08-16 03:25:30 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x7b2f93… |
| 08-15 09:43:55 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xe04f7a… |
| 08-15 09:43:55 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe04f7a… |
| 08-14 23:03:39 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x53d188… |
| 08-14 23:03:39 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 37 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x53d188… |
| 08-14 23:03:39 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x53d188… |
| 08-13 00:16:12 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0x58c93c… |
| 08-13 00:16:12 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x58c93c… |
| 08-09 01:32:01 | (anonymous) 0x6e8e…e7a2 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x8f6b33… |
| 08-09 01:32:01 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8f6b33… |
| 08-09 01:32:01 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8f6b33… |
| 08-08 21:21:57 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xcb77b8… |
| 08-08 21:21:57 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xcb77b8… |
| 08-08 20:33:19 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x844bd8… |
| 08-08 20:33:19 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0x844bd8… |
| 08-08 20:01:31 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0xc272ee… |
| 08-08 20:01:31 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xc272ee… |
| 08-07 05:16:22 | (anonymous) 0xa8da…22ca | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xf9af76… |
| 08-07 05:16:22 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xf9af76… |
| 08-07 02:04:07 | (anonymous) 0x73c0…308d | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xeb4331… |
| 08-07 02:04:07 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xeb4331… |
| 08-06 08:35:15 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xe2354b… |
| 08-06 08:35:15 | Eminent-Sill 0xe53a…bf72 | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xe2354b… |
| 08-06 04:53:00 | (anonymous) 0x345e…e141 | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x3ee9bf… |
| 08-06 04:53:00 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x3ee9bf… |
| 08-06 01:05:29 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x7807ed… |
| 08-06 01:05:29 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0x7807ed… |
| 08-06 01:05:26 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0x07696d… |
| 08-06 01:05:26 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x07696d… |
| 08-04 08:22:14 | (anonymous) 0xf23e…fab9 | Yes | SELL | 160 | 4¢ | $6 | 0x3eefc9… |
| 08-04 08:22:14 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 160 | 96¢ | $154 | 0x3eefc9… |
| 07-30 19:27:39 | Dependent-Objective 0xb7f3…e279 | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0xf71351… |
| 07-30 19:27:39 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0xf71351… |
| 07-27 16:33:45 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x6b2502… |
| 07-27 16:33:45 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x6b2502… |
| 07-27 15:17:43 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 160 | 96¢ | $153 | 0x1874c8… |
| 07-27 15:17:43 | (anonymous) 0xf23e…fab9 | Yes | BUY | 160 | 5¢ | $7 | 0x1874c8… |
| 07-27 08:49:37 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0x138d70… |
| 07-27 08:49:37 | (anonymous) 0x0a89…c71b | No | SELL | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0x138d70… |
| 07-25 17:05:28 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x558d7d… |
| 07-25 17:05:28 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 31 | 96¢ | $30 | 0x558d7d… |
| 07-21 22:19:31 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x32874e… |
| 07-21 22:19:31 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x32874e… |
| 07-21 22:19:31 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x32874e… |
| 07-19 20:43:04 | Playful-Badger 0x86ba…3694 | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x89ac8e… |
| 07-19 20:43:04 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x89ac8e… |
| 07-18 13:39:21 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4c6df1… |
| 07-18 13:39:21 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 98 | 96¢ | $95 | 0x4c6df1… |
| 07-18 13:39:21 | Weepy-Sorbet 0x8d02…2753 | No | SELL | 123 | 96¢ | $119 | 0x4c6df1… |
| 07-18 11:20:24 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x16d994… |
| 07-18 11:20:24 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x16d994… |
| 07-18 06:33:12 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1d20a3… |
| 07-18 06:33:12 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1d20a3… |
| 07-18 06:30:04 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 11 | 96¢ | $11 | 0x270a5e… |
| 07-18 06:30:04 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x270a5e… |
| 07-06 11:16:44 | Pitiful-Laugh 0xaaa7…746a | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x857523… |
| 07-06 11:16:44 | (anonymous) 0x70dd…56dc | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x857523… |
| 07-03 15:49:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 2 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x5d0abd… |
| 07-03 15:49:32 | Humongous-Settlement 0x17b7…1ecc | No | SELL | 2 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x5d0abd… |
| 07-03 01:16:28 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x7413ed… |
| 07-03 01:16:28 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x7413ed… |
| 07-03 01:16:28 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x7413ed… |
| 07-03 01:16:28 | Playful-Badger 0x86ba…3694 | No | SELL | 135 | 95¢ | $128 | 0x7413ed… |
| 07-02 01:19:19 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | BUY | 4 | 91¢ | $4 | 0x5cff76… |
| 07-02 01:19:19 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x5cff76… |
| 07-02 01:19:19 | Loving-Hate 0x48c4…19e5 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x5cff76… |
| 06-27 03:38:53 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xde13ca… |
| 06-27 03:38:53 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xde13ca… |
| 06-26 09:45:41 | Playful-Badger 0x86ba…3694 | No | BUY | 25 | 94¢ | $23 | 0x0afd5d… |
| 06-26 09:45:41 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x0afd5d… |
| 06-26 09:45:41 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x0afd5d… |
| 06-23 23:25:38 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 16 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xf01203… |
| 06-23 23:25:38 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xf01203… |
| 06-22 18:01:25 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x4fe7ec… |
| 06-22 18:01:25 | Fussy-Mechanic 0x9b09…71f0 | No | SELL | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0x4fe7ec… |
| 06-21 00:44:19 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x644c4a… |
| 06-21 00:44:19 | (anonymous) 0x1700…7496 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x644c4a… |
| 06-03 02:25:53 | Ironclad-Thermometer 0xba7a…5528 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x1fbf77… |
| 06-03 02:25:53 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x1fbf77… |
| 06-02 00:20:56 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xc5d10e… |
| 06-02 00:20:56 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xc5d10e… |
| 06-02 00:20:56 | 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | No | SELL | 38 | 94¢ | $36 | 0xc5d10e… |
| 06-01 09:31:32 | Pitiful-Laugh 0xaaa7…746a | No | BUY | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0xbd6194… |
| 06-01 09:31:32 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbd6194… |
| 06-01 09:31:32 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbd6194… |
| 06-01 09:31:32 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbd6194… |