Dependent-Objective — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$255

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,113

lifetime

Volume

$116.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$105

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-11 16:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

63% 100% +$12

Crypto

19% 100% +$7

Sports

12% 40% $-274

Politics

5% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mrbeast hit 480 million subscribers by january 31 365 874 454 968	4	$8.2K	4,110	4,110	+0	open	—	01-31 02:57
new stranger things episode released by july 31	17	$7.9K	3,969	3,969	+0	open	—	07-29 20:18
new stranger things episode released by february 28 564 799 718 478 643 635 547	26	$6.7K	3,359	3,359	+0	open	—	02-16 09:58
Will MrBeast hit 485 million subscribers by April 30?	23	$6.6K	4,318	2,318	+2,000	open	—	04-28 15:49
will mrbeast hit 480 million subscribers by march 31 385 949 751 549 325 327 411 863 793	8	$3.9K	2,004	2,004	+0	open	—	03-28 17:32
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	4	$3.9K	500	3,400	-2,900	open	—	06-25 16:12
GTA VI released before June 2026?	53	$3.2K	1,645	1,645	+0	open	—	05-27 16:54
Fabric FDV above $800M one day after launch?	14	$2.1K	1,050	1,050	+0	open	—	02-28 06:43
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	26	$2.0K	1,062	1,062	+0	open	—	04-10 07:49
will mrbeast hit 460 million subscribers by january 31	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	01-09 02:17
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-29 22:20
will binance be accused of insider trading	5	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	02-25 14:37
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	10	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	-0	open	—	07-04 13:50
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	8	$1.7K	900	900	+0	open	—	04-14 15:04
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	8	$1.7K	950	787	+163	open	—	01-27 17:24
will mrbeast hit 470 million subscribers by january 31 634 222 492 335	9	$1.6K	1,350	250	+1,100	open	—	01-27 20:31
Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?	3	$1.5K	502	1,002	-500	open	—	06-29 22:57
Will MrBeast hit 485 million subscribers by June 30?	1	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	Yes	+$12	05-05 11:31
Will Titan launch a token by June 30, 2026?	4	$1.3K	56	1,290	-1,234	open	—	06-27 18:26
will company b be accused of insider trading	14	$1.3K	1,742	450	+1,292	open	—	02-26 13:34
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	4	$1.3K	1,300	0	+1,300	open	—	08-06 12:55
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	2	$1.2K	500	700	-200	open	—	06-18 13:40
will mrbeast hit 475 million subscribers by march 31 387 656 755 785	7	$1.2K	598	598	+0	open	—	03-31 06:36
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?	4	$1.1K	500	1,300	-800	open	—	01-26 14:56
Will MrBeast hit 475 million subscribers by April 30?	4	$1.1K	400	700	-300	open	—	04-03 12:04
will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in march 2026	4	$1.0K	538	538	+0	open	—	03-19 17:05
will mrbeast hit 490 million subscribers by march 31 772 164 857 377 793 556 125 855 849	6	$1.0K	512	512	-0	open	—	03-13 08:22
Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	5	$996	500	500	+0	open	—	05-24 03:54
Will MrBeast hit 490 million subscribers by April 30?	5	$994	500	500	+0	open	—	04-26 04:47
will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	1	$987	0	988	-988	open	—	07-29 20:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 16:55:52	Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x55479c…
08-11 11:43:52	will nous research launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0xf07be8…
08-11 05:10:34	Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x2ce3b6…
08-11 04:52:19	will the philippine senate convict sara duterte	No	BUY	115	65¢	$74	0xfbddfe…
08-11 02:01:37	will any former nba player be drafted 2027 wnba draft	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x4d1a9c…
08-11 01:34:00	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x6dbbd8…
08-10 14:23:27	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 11 20260807213124700	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0xa4097e…
08-10 14:17:13	will enes kanter freedom be drafted 2027 wnba draft	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x986549…
08-10 12:26:09	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	12	88¢	$10	0x623c63…
08-10 03:14:37	will openais astra model be released by october 31 2026 20260801214557733	Yes	BUY	15	91¢	$13	0xa979b8…
08-09 22:01:33	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	300	94¢	$282	0x6e2907…
08-09 17:47:12	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x5a5215…
08-09 17:21:22	wta eala bencic 2026 08 09	Belinda Bencic	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x287c44…
08-09 12:51:13	will the philippine senate convict sara duterte	No	SELL	22	67¢	$14	0x850979…
08-09 06:53:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 10 20260807213124699	No	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0x3d7271…
08-09 05:50:48	will openais astra model be released by october 31 2026 20260801214557733	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x365ffa…
08-09 05:44:00	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x66b862…
08-09 04:50:51	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	112	99¢	$111	0x3fcff8…
08-09 04:10:30	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xcc1c75…
08-09 04:03:00	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x53826c…
08-09 04:02:54	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x37c0a7…
08-09 04:02:52	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8bc5e7…
08-09 03:58:07	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x04cce8…
08-09 03:58:06	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xab8ec2…
08-09 03:58:06	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x2f33d7…
08-09 03:58:06	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x21bd5a…
08-09 03:58:06	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x01e55e…
08-09 03:58:03	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x1256a3…
08-09 03:57:58	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x3bb232…
08-09 03:57:57	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xf5de37…
08-09 03:57:55	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x1c3343…
08-09 01:06:42	OpenAI acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	322	96¢	$309	0x33a8c4…
08-08 23:53:40	will openais astra model be released by october 31 2026 20260801214557733	Yes	BUY	72	91¢	$65	0x561892…
08-08 06:12:31	will the philippine senate convict sara duterte	No	SELL	37	67¢	$25	0x3bee46…
08-08 04:18:16	will openais astra model be released by october 31 2026 20260801214557733	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xe641b1…
08-08 00:47:24	will ansem dip to 0pt08 before 2027	Yes	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xe8310d…
08-07 23:24:06	ufc ama3 ale57 2026 08 08	Alexia Thainara	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xefc6c3…
08-07 23:18:04	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Islam Makhachev	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x444f35…
08-07 23:14:43	bnb updown 5m 1786144200	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xeff2cc…
08-07 13:04:42	will the philippine senate convict sara duterte	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xa85f80…
08-07 13:04:40	will the philippine senate convict sara duterte	No	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x55e0b0…
08-07 01:07:00	will nous research launch a token by september 30 2027	No	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0xe3b3ff…
08-07 01:07:00	will nous research launch a token by september 30 2027	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x7a032a…
08-07 01:02:56	btc updown 5m 1786064400	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x03a050…
08-07 01:00:05	btc updown 5m 1786064100	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf863c4…
08-07 00:04:02	btc updown 5m 1786060800	Up	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x810d7e…
08-07 00:03:33	btc updown 5m 1786060800	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x1762be…
08-06 12:55:39	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0x6f8de1…
08-06 05:58:26	will ansem dip to 0pt08 before 2027	Yes	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xf1a205…
08-05 18:47:44	will nous research launch a token by september 30 2027	No	BUY	34	72¢	$24	0x5794b3…
08-05 09:52:29	will ansem dip to 0pt08 before 2027	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x0c2dc7…
08-05 09:30:50	Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x1d2dc7…
08-05 08:56:20	will nous research launch a token by september 30 2027	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xbf57cb…
08-05 08:56:18	will nous research launch a token by september 30 2027	No	SELL	25	80¢	$20	0xa02f01…
08-05 01:53:39	will the philippine senate convict sara duterte	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x392db5…
08-04 21:44:21	will nous research launch a token by march 31 2027	No	BUY	25	84¢	$21	0xa3e025…
08-04 15:36:14	will ansem dip to 0pt08 before 2027	Yes	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x41de96…
08-03 23:46:33	Solana all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0xd3d9e2…
08-03 15:58:24	will the philippine senate convict sara duterte	No	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x06a7c2…
08-03 15:57:45	will the philippine senate convict sara duterte	No	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0xbe5ac6…
08-03 03:25:48	will donald trump publicly insult someone on august 2 2026 20260724221849633	Yes	BUY	59	30¢	$18	0x508f6e…
08-03 03:08:36	will donald trump publicly insult someone on august 2 2026 20260724221849633	Yes	BUY	41	30¢	$12	0x05c079…
08-02 22:26:00	will the philippine senate convict sara duterte	No	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x535aff…
08-02 20:56:56	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	173	63¢	$109	0x4b5ce0…
08-02 18:23:05	will ansem dip to 0pt08 before 2027	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xb38315…
08-02 17:21:36	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	89	90¢	$80	0xbcbf4f…
08-01 19:36:12	Solana all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0xe9c6a2…
08-01 11:42:36	will onre launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	220	91¢	$200	0xaa84e6…
07-30 19:27:39	Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xf71351…
07-30 08:05:15	will nous research launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	60	71¢	$43	0x957dcc…
07-29 22:20:44	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0xaeddb2…
07-29 20:18:41	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	975	100¢	$974	0xe2ecfe…
07-29 20:16:26	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	988	100¢	$987	0xd8e851…
07-29 20:03:20	Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0xc97427…
07-28 20:42:23	will nous research launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0x784b33…
07-28 20:39:55	will nous research launch a token by september 30 2027	No	SELL	30	76¢	$23	0xbe59dc…
07-28 18:14:52	will nous research launch a token by september 30 2027	No	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0x54472c…
07-27 17:19:46	will total crypto market cap hit 4t in 2026 20260721192934663	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x7ca7b2…
07-27 10:49:15	will nous research launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	415	95¢	$394	0xaf6407…
07-27 10:46:57	Will Betmoar launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$68	0xd0c97e…
07-26 08:23:28	will the philippine senate convict sara duterte	No	BUY	45	65¢	$29	0x89fa25…
07-25 22:10:24	Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2	Pacquiao	BUY	389	46¢	$179	0x357e42…
07-25 22:08:37	Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2	Pacquiao	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xff110c…
07-25 17:05:03	will nous research launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x229631…
07-25 13:54:10	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0xfb59a1…
07-24 15:48:28	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	68	98¢	$67	0xd47faa…
07-24 14:37:37	over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	No	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x94f5f8…
07-24 07:08:07	will the next claude opus model be released by december 31 2026 20260701204710235 479 775 943 522	No	SELL	476	1¢	$5	0xe4c26c…
07-24 05:39:52	will onre launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x51612e…
07-24 05:32:13	will onre launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xa545bb…
07-24 05:32:09	will onre launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x897015…
07-24 05:31:03	will onre launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x8a8c82…
07-24 05:00:42	will onre launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xaebd5f…
07-23 21:06:04	will the next claude opus model be released by december 31 2026 20260701204710235 479 775 943 522	No	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x0f54a8…
07-22 02:10:16	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	BUY	975	100¢	$972	0x44c910…
07-21 05:24:16	tread fdv above 40m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	40	46¢	$18	0xfe449e…
07-20 11:40:54	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x68e55d…
07-19 15:24:18	tread fdv above 40m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0x482e0a…
07-18 20:47:52	ink fdv above 100m one day after launch	No	SELL	155	45¢	$70	0xeae2b4…
07-17 21:48:25	will yeet launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	35	64¢	$23	0xbdaa53…