Realized P&L
-$255
Unrealized P&L
-$84
Hit rate
90.1%
Resolved
8
Trades
1,018
lifetime
Volume
$105.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$104
Open exposure
$2.66K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-21 05:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
64% 100% +$12
Crypto
20% 100% +$7
Sports
13% 40% $-274
Politics
2%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +1,000 $981 98¢ $980 $-0 07-03 18:29
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No -500 $-488 98¢ $-489 $-1 06-10 01:48
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No -400 $-172 60¢ $-240 $-68 07-16 19:59
Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +200 $174 90¢ $180 +$6 07-03 07:52
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -200 $-136 88¢ $-175 $-39 06-15 06:47
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? No -200 $-170 82¢ $-165 +$5 07-17 15:50
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? No -100 $-97 99¢ $-99 $-2 06-16 15:15
Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -127 $-91 73¢ $-93 $-2 06-22 12:40
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +100 $91 92¢ $92 +$0 07-20 11:40
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No +68 $67 98¢ $66 $-0 07-13 09:43
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +63 $44 88¢ $55 +$11 06-14 17:57
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? No +20 $15 60¢ $12 $-3 06-26 07:27
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? No +14 $9 78¢ $11 +$2 06-12 16:10
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -0 $-7 94¢ $-0 +$7 07-04 13:50