Realized P&L
+$8
Unrealized P&L
+$43
Hit rate
94.0%
Resolved
251
Trades
1,134
lifetime
Volume
$39.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$1.54K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-25 09:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 89 days
Categories
Other
66% 88% +$54
Tech
16% 88% -$88
Politics
10% 83% +$15
Crypto
6% 91% +$5
Sports
2% 100% +$18
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
New pandemic in 2026? No +539 $510 96¢ $520 +$10 10-18 07:45
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +291 $273 98¢ $285 +$12 10-25 09:29
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? No +107 $94 95¢ $101 +$7 10-24 09:54
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No +93 $88 97¢ $90 +$2 10-07 21:39
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +94 $85 86¢ $81 -$4 10-18 05:39
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2027? No +75 $48 67¢ $50 +$2 10-06 13:55
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +42 $40 96¢ $40 +$0 10-15 08:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -41 -$34 98¢ $-40 -$5 09-28 19:11
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +42 $34 92¢ $39 +$5 10-18 07:44
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +34 $30 95¢ $32 +$1 10-15 08:24
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +37 $31 84¢ $31 +$0 10-18 05:40
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? No +32 $30 94¢ $30 +$0 07-07 07:27
US recession by end of 2026? No +31 $28 92¢ $29 +$1 07-13 08:31
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +22 $20 96¢ $21 +$1 10-25 06:47
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -25 -$14 84¢ $-21 -$7 09-20 07:17
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +22 $14 89¢ $20 +$5 10-15 08:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? No -12 -$11 99¢ $-11 $0 09-27 08:02
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +14 $10 82¢ $11 +$1 10-06 14:08
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -57 -$18 19¢ $-11 +$7 10-14 07:28
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? Yes -11 -$13 97¢ $-11 +$2 10-23 08:05
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -11 -$11 96¢ $-11 $0 10-14 00:22
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? No +12 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 07-07 07:26
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 $0 10-12 05:59
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? Yes +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 10-19 05:15
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-15 08:36
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -5 -$5 92¢ $-5 $0 10-19 12:13
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -5 -$4 96¢ $-4 $0 09-30 11:32
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No -5 -$4 86¢ $-4 +$0 10-18 05:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -3 -$3 96¢ $-3 +$0 10-04 09:57
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +5 $2 34¢ $2 $0 10-15 08:38