Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31? open
← all wallets
Total volume
$3,912
Trades
106
Unique wallets
49
Liquidity
$2,160
Latest YES mid
11¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-07
last 08-05 09:31
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -8.2¢ (top1%: 23% YES on $217 vs crowd: 31% YES on $483)
By volume tier
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🐋 Whale 6 $51 $5 +$46
🐬 Dolphin 10 $57 $248 $191
🐟 Fish 6 $2 $28 $26
🦐 Shrimp 27 $41 $51 $11
By P&L percentile
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🎯 Top 1% 3 $50 $167 $117
🏆 Top 5% 2 $16 — +$16
✅ Top 10% 1 — $10 $10
Median 13 — $11 $11
Below median 15 $63 — +$63
⚠️ Bottom 10% 3 $7 $18 $11
🔻 Bottom 5% 3 $1 $5 $4
💀 Bottom 1% 4 — — +—
unranked 5 $14 $121 $107
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
Wallet Side Net shares Cost basis Volume Trades Last activity
Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 Yes +500 $50 $50 1 07-22 19:06
CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd No +188 $167 $167 5 07-30 22:27
Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 Yes +150 $16 $16 2 07-22 19:06
(anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 Yes +77 $8 $8 1 08-05 01:07
(anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 No +77 $70 $70 1 08-05 01:07
(anonymous) 0x9e24…7e71 No +57 $51 $51 12 07-26 07:24
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf Yes +20 $2 $2 1 08-05 01:07
Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 Yes +20 $2 $2 1 08-05 01:07
Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 No +19 $18 $18 1 08-05 01:07
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 No +5 $5 $5 1 07-28 21:54