Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31? open
← all wallets
Total volume
$2,842
Trades
84
Unique wallets
42
Liquidity
$2,160
Latest YES mid
11¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-07
last 07-26 07:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -7.8¢ (top1%: 27% YES on $186 vs crowd: 35% YES on $319)
By volume tier
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🐋 Whale 3 $51 — +$51
🐬 Dolphin 9 $19 $147 $128
🐟 Fish 3 — $10 $10
🦐 Shrimp 27 $41 $51 $11
By P&L percentile
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🎯 Top 1% 3 $50 $136 $86
🏆 Top 5% 1 $16 — +$16
✅ Top 10% 1 — $10 $10
Median 13 — $11 $11
Below median 13 $34 — +$34
⚠️ Bottom 10% 1 $3 — +$3
🔻 Bottom 5% 2 $1 — +$1
💀 Bottom 1% 4 — — +—
unranked 4 $6 $51 $45
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
Wallet Side Net shares Cost basis Volume Trades Last activity
Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 Yes +500 $50 $50 1 07-22 19:06
(anonymous) 0xbe11…990b Yes +343 $34 $34 2 07-23 13:12
CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd No +153 $136 $136 4 07-22 19:06
Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 Yes +150 $16 $16 2 07-22 19:06
(anonymous) 0x9e24…7e71 No +57 $51 $51 12 07-26 07:24
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091 Yes +5 $0 $5 4 06-21 10:07