Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

47.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$739

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-10

last 06-24 03:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

53% 0% $-21

Politics

19% 100% +$6

Crypto

19% — —

Other

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	Yes		-27	$-4	11¢	$-3	+$1	06-24 03:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$197	120	120	+0	open	—	01-30 14:36
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$159	150	150	+0	Yes	$-21	02-21 02:10
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	4	$141	161	161	+0	Yes	+$6	03-18 09:00
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$137	149	149	+0	open	—	02-28 13:55
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	1	$64	165	0	+165	open	—	04-12 09:54
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$34	44	44	+0	open	—	01-19 10:30
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	1	$4	0	27	-27	open	—	06-24 03:17
will spy reach 770 in june 2026	1	$3	70	0	+70	open	—	06-24 03:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 03:18:56	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0x57ecc1…
06-24 03:17:53	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	27	13¢	$4	0xa4ab3f…
04-12 09:54:39	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	165	39¢	$64	0x38f4fc…
03-18 09:00:13	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	SELL	32	45¢	$15	0xcada98…
03-18 08:58:11	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	SELL	111	46¢	$51	0x24f517…
03-18 08:58:05	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	SELL	18	46¢	$8	0x2b7f81…
02-28 13:58:07	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	161	42¢	$68	0x94e972…
02-28 13:55:55	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	118	45¢	$53	0xcd030d…
02-28 13:54:39	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	31	46¢	$14	0x0471cd…
02-21 02:19:32	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	149	47¢	$70	0xf08b83…
02-21 02:10:54	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	150	46¢	$69	0x4a642d…
02-13 02:22:17	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	150	60¢	$90	0xd6b6e1…
01-30 14:36:04	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	120	82¢	$98	0x1820dd…
01-26 13:13:53	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	120	82¢	$98	0xe17e1e…
01-19 10:30:20	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	44	39¢	$17	0xa82fda…
01-10 02:59:16	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	44	39¢	$17	0x5a7c93…