Fluid-Commotion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.14K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.1%

Resolved

Trades

977

lifetime

Volume

$119.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$122

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-03 17:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

95% 44% $-1,377

Sports

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Politics

1% 100% +$233

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will marty supreme make 70 million or more domestically by january 31	23	$12.0K	6,069	6,402	-333	open	—	01-17 04:00
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	44	$7.3K	2,606	5,667	-3,061	open	—	06-30 08:38
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	10	$7.0K	5,766	5,766	+0	open	—	01-19 22:44
will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	28	$5.6K	4,869	5,700	-830	open	—	01-30 15:25
will mrbeast hit 480 million subscribers by march 31 385 949 751 549 325 327 411 863 793	20	$4.5K	2,327	3,016	-690	open	—	02-20 14:14
will mrbeast hit 470 million subscribers by march 31 822	13	$4.3K	4,255	4,255	+0	open	—	01-15 07:30
will mrbeast hit 110 billion views by january 31 658	13	$4.2K	2,180	2,180	+0	open	—	01-30 15:28
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101	10	$3.8K	1,960	1,960	+0	open	—	01-25 02:51
will hollow knight silksong win best game you suck at in the 2025 steam awards	13	$3.6K	1,802	1,875	-74	open	—	01-03 18:20
will mrbeast hit 470 million subscribers by january 31 634 222 492 335	6	$2.8K	2,117	867	+1,250	open	—	01-09 15:18
will google gemini 3 score at least 40 on the frontiermath benchmark	13	$2.8K	1,424	1,424	+0	open	—	02-01 05:40
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	6	$2.7K	2,517	258	+2,259	open	—	01-07 02:59
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 400m and 440m by january 31	10	$2.3K	1,848	2,133	-285	open	—	01-06 04:54
will mrbeast hit 475 million subscribers by march 31 387 656 755 785	15	$2.1K	1,786	1,786	+0	open	—	03-22 20:38
will the last of us part ii remastered win outstanding story rich game in the 2025 steam awards	23	$2.0K	0	2,063	-2,063	open	—	01-03 05:56
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	12	$1.9K	138	1,969	-1,831	open	—	06-30 23:41
Will MrBeast hit 478 million subscribers by April 30?	4	$1.9K	976	976	+0	open	—	04-12 13:31
atp alcaraz djokovi 2026 02 01	26	$1.9K	1,202	1,202	+0	open	—	02-01 12:11
will mrbeast hit 474 million subscribers by march 31 977 964	15	$1.9K	1,129	1,129	+0	open	—	03-31 13:03
will mrbeast hit 462 million subscribers by january 31	6	$1.8K	1,005	1,005	+0	open	—	01-14 13:04
Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	8	$1.7K	1,295	1,295	+0	open	—	04-16 02:22
will xqc beat forsens minecraft speedrun record in 2025 543	3	$1.4K	163	1,197	-1,034	open	—	01-01 06:22
will mrbeast hit 464 million subscribers by january 31	6	$1.3K	888	888	+0	open	—	01-22 01:15
will mrbeast hit 116 billion views by march 31	17	$1.3K	1,293	504	+790	open	—	03-30 11:35
will xqc beat forsens minecraft speedrun record by january 31	8	$1.3K	1,534	0	+1,534	open	—	01-26 13:33
another gta vi trailer released by june 30	21	$1.3K	1,722	687	+1,035	open	—	07-01 11:56
Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	9	$1.3K	1,505	6	+1,499	No	+$212	04-13 11:17
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	3	$1.3K	600	799	-199	open	—	01-02 16:19
will hades ii win best game on steam deck at the 2025 steam awards	6	$1.1K	129	1,005	-876	open	—	01-03 18:13
will mrbeast hit 490 million subscribers by march 31 772 164 857 377 793 556 125 855 849	7	$1.1K	486	694	-209	open	—	02-16 11:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 17:26:33	Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?	Yes	SELL	111	94¢	$104	0x9ab2fc…
08-02 07:26:48	Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?	Yes	SELL	55	91¢	$50	0xe3e088…
08-01 17:14:41	Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?	Yes	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xf06f53…
07-31 01:01:30	Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026?	Yes	SELL	94	57¢	$54	0x4f1ce9…
07-29 15:05:50	Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?	Yes	SELL	25	92¢	$23	0x67a363…
07-29 15:04:09	Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?	Yes	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0xce5557…
07-28 12:52:43	Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?	Yes	SELL	83	93¢	$77	0xaa3ae4…
07-26 12:31:07	Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x026fd3…
07-26 12:19:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0xd892bc…
07-22 00:12:40	will the next claude opus model be released by august 31 2026 20260701204710233 223 869 558	Yes	BUY	95	95¢	$90	0xd35f3e…
07-01 11:56:08	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	Yes	SELL	32	6¢	$2	0x0b1fe9…
07-01 10:18:38	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	Yes	SELL	80	6¢	$5	0x0d3b08…
07-01 08:19:59	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xe62d25…
06-30 23:41:49	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	140	97¢	$136	0x5e3adf…
06-30 19:42:38	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	Yes	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x8f3c78…
06-30 13:57:41	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0xdc291e…
06-30 13:56:31	AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	80¢	$20	0x6ce8e8…
06-30 13:56:14	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	No	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x259965…
06-30 13:56:13	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0xa95663…
06-30 10:11:55	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0xf61315…
06-30 10:11:20	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x9b1998…
06-30 08:40:41	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	Yes	SELL	41	6¢	$2	0x992111…
06-30 08:38:08	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	2,021	89¢	$1,799	0x838c86…
06-30 08:00:19	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	27	90¢	$24	0x182972…
06-30 07:59:53	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	Yes	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0x7b65b1…
06-30 07:53:44	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0x6a48c3…
06-30 07:30:40	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	28	90¢	$25	0xf6fd0d…
06-30 07:30:17	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x8a538f…
06-30 07:19:49	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xc87e5f…
06-30 07:19:49	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x88762c…
06-30 05:57:01	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0xb2a7ea…
06-30 04:24:05	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x60ebb2…
06-30 04:23:01	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x96adc9…
06-30 04:12:53	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	Yes	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x038b5c…
06-30 03:32:59	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x2c0252…
06-30 03:32:58	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xeeb4ea…
06-30 02:36:08	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x04b269…
06-30 02:12:35	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	131	90¢	$118	0xd61432…
06-30 01:27:08	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x425221…
06-30 00:14:44	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	745	90¢	$670	0xd8aa4d…
06-29 21:15:49	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0xcd2dc3…
06-29 21:15:46	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	1,496	90¢	$1,346	0x6dbf19…
06-29 19:56:20	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9121a9…
06-29 19:43:56	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	45	92¢	$42	0xc0e93f…
06-29 19:41:16	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	49	92¢	$45	0x28b24a…
06-29 18:07:31	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	22	92¢	$20	0x52c129…
06-29 18:04:17	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0x716275…
06-29 15:25:34	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x5c592b…
06-29 15:08:17	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x2f515d…
06-29 14:41:53	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$4	0x97c0e8…
06-29 12:20:20	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	53	92¢	$49	0x40b56f…
06-29 11:25:40	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	17	92¢	$15	0xc4e7b6…
06-29 11:07:29	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	124	92¢	$114	0x587ca5…
06-29 10:25:52	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x5f5e6a…
06-29 09:51:01	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xa26aa2…
06-29 02:45:05	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0xe03d7e…
06-29 02:40:50	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	249	92¢	$229	0x12e547…
06-28 21:29:37	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	109	94¢	$102	0x530145…
06-26 23:39:04	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	Yes	SELL	360	12¢	$44	0xf6d370…
06-26 11:36:35	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	SELL	27	5¢	$1	0x8999e9…
06-26 11:03:44	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x90b98a…
06-26 09:49:31	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x30cad9…
06-26 09:04:50	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	SELL	211	5¢	$11	0xd255db…
06-26 07:41:41	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xc9f3da…
06-26 06:34:41	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x2e47f0…
06-26 05:21:58	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	SELL	130	5¢	$6	0x534fc9…
06-26 05:16:14	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x97dc32…
06-26 04:51:02	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x92c0e5…
06-26 04:41:37	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xff8502…
06-26 04:38:10	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	SELL	29	5¢	$1	0xd2a433…
06-26 04:20:53	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	SELL	31	5¢	$2	0xe2eab0…
06-26 04:01:25	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	SELL	267	5¢	$13	0xc98e37…
06-26 02:47:46	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0xe10127…
06-26 02:45:25	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	SELL	44	5¢	$2	0x556532…
06-25 18:40:31	Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xeb9acc…
06-25 13:41:44	Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?	Yes	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0xfd90e7…
06-24 16:31:40	Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?	Yes	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x36b7ea…
06-24 09:01:35	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0xe57a44…
06-24 08:45:10	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	BUY	27	67¢	$18	0xa97d2f…
06-24 08:44:56	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	BUY	152	67¢	$102	0x68e5f0…
06-24 08:37:49	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	BUY	8	67¢	$6	0x757275…
06-24 08:11:50	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0x96e7c7…
06-24 07:20:58	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0xbb3256…
06-24 07:18:10	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	BUY	126	66¢	$83	0x7f3890…
06-24 06:44:49	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xf44060…
06-24 06:44:49	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xc7685d…
06-24 06:44:49	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xb9cfdf…
06-24 06:44:49	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x5fd0ee…
06-24 06:44:49	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x50ec64…
06-24 06:44:49	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x502adf…
06-24 06:44:47	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xf8c046…
06-24 06:44:47	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xe008ac…
06-24 06:44:47	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xbd9de6…
06-24 06:44:47	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x50f362…
06-24 06:44:47	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x0cf170…
06-24 06:44:46	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xfef63e…
06-24 06:44:46	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xae4eb6…
06-24 06:44:46	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa00553…
06-24 06:44:46	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x8ed722…
06-24 06:44:46	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x879fcb…