Repulsive-Mailbox — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.2%

Resolved

Trades

960

lifetime

Volume

$76.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$79

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 08-10 12:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

60% 50% $-69

Politics

23% 100% +$40

Sports

11% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	8	$3.6K	2,880	2,680	+200	open	—	07-06 21:08
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 goals nico williams gte1	12	$2.7K	2,795	0	+2,795	open	—	07-02 18:28
atp cigarra taverna 2026 06 24	15	$2.1K	1,716	1,000	+716	open	—	06-25 17:27
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	22	$2.0K	2,757	2,357	+400	open	—	07-28 16:58
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	22	$1.8K	2,517	2,517	+0	open	—	07-28 15:40
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	5	$1.8K	1,335	950	+385	open	—	07-29 11:58
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	7	$1.8K	1,880	660	+1,220	open	—	08-06 23:24
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	2	$1.7K	877	877	+0	open	—	07-15 11:11
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 goals marcus thuram gte1	3	$1.4K	1,394	0	+1,394	open	—	06-30 20:40
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	7	$1.4K	1,610	0	+1,610	open	—	08-05 14:36
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 goals raphinha gte1	1	$1.3K	1,300	0	+1,300	open	—	06-29 09:48
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	2	$1.2K	1,449	0	+1,449	open	—	07-28 17:39
wnba wsh min 2026 06 21	20	$1.2K	927	720	+207	open	—	06-22 00:12
iran successfully targets shipping on july 10	2	$929	495	495	+0	open	—	07-12 22:07
mlb wsh tb 2026 06 21	2	$905	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	06-21 19:56
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	1	$827	870	0	+870	open	—	07-30 11:27
iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	3	$808	445	445	+0	open	—	07-09 23:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	4	$792	450	450	+0	open	—	06-11 11:26
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	5	$786	822	0	+822	open	—	07-15 22:56
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	7	$736	800	0	+800	open	—	08-10 13:08
mlb oak sf 2026 06 25	7	$713	720	720	+0	open	—	06-25 22:28
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	1	$705	835	0	+835	open	—	07-15 07:43
will smith college exclude trans women in 2026 20260626143843566	4	$687	427	427	+0	open	—	07-23 20:01
fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 goals alphonso davies gte1	2	$661	736	0	+736	open	—	06-28 15:23
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	4	$654	335	335	+0	open	—	07-24 14:59
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	1	$651	700	0	+700	open	—	07-07 14:18
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	4	$645	681	0	+681	open	—	07-16 07:33
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	34	$638	688	0	+688	open	—	07-03 07:17
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	6	$590	700	45	+655	open	—	07-30 22:29
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	5	$589	677	0	+677	open	—	07-19 08:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 14:46:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	29	91¢	$26	0x89eb96…
08-10 14:46:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x84a8cc…
08-10 14:12:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	399	91¢	$363	0x503ad7…
08-10 14:12:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	101	91¢	$92	0x082165…
08-10 13:08:27	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	61	92¢	$56	0x0e5508…
08-10 12:36:31	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x6f2c6b…
08-10 12:23:55	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbb433a…
08-10 12:03:34	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	365	92¢	$336	0x3ac45e…
08-10 12:00:13	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	59	92¢	$54	0x43b71b…
08-10 10:01:49	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x374c81…
08-10 09:50:09	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	291	92¢	$268	0xf83bc9…
08-06 23:24:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	220	84¢	$184	0x0f3e9f…
08-06 23:22:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	800	20¢	$160	0xa8e01b…
08-05 14:36:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	480	82¢	$394	0xf6403e…
08-05 14:30:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	643	60¢	$386	0xb01a71…
08-05 14:30:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0xd73c25…
08-04 18:53:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	338	81¢	$274	0xa43d33…
08-04 18:31:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	92	81¢	$74	0x8f8949…
08-04 18:20:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	798	62¢	$494	0xef3e95…
08-04 02:38:26	israel military action against yemen by august 31	No	BUY	600	93¢	$558	0x4e08cd…
08-03 18:34:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	800	41¢	$328	0x808d47…
08-03 15:08:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	557	87¢	$484	0xc5044f…
08-03 14:57:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	62	87¢	$54	0x0a738d…
08-03 14:53:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	38	87¢	$33	0x963568…
08-03 14:52:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	43	87¢	$38	0x9fbc2b…
08-02 16:53:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	64	82¢	$52	0x3765db…
08-02 16:48:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	536	82¢	$439	0xc108f5…
08-02 13:23:32	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	262	79¢	$207	0x7ab9e2…
07-31 08:18:09	will trump say bitcoin or crypto or cryptocurrency during cabinet meeting 20260727172357455	No	BUY	58	95¢	$55	0x2be27a…
07-30 22:36:38	iran successfully targets shipping on august 1 2026 20260729163314521	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xccde2d…
07-30 22:29:59	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0x046649…
07-30 22:27:41	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	No	BUY	163	78¢	$127	0x762a51…
07-30 22:27:24	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	No	SELL	35	89¢	$31	0x940e9b…
07-30 22:26:50	Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	60	93¢	$56	0xce6d14…
07-30 22:26:14	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xf6296f…
07-30 11:27:11	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	870	95¢	$827	0xa7619e…
07-29 11:58:20	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	385	65¢	$250	0x1c9a40…
07-28 17:39:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	800	84¢	$672	0x63bf3a…
07-28 17:33:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	649	85¢	$552	0xb23052…
07-28 16:58:10	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	37	69¢	$25	0x974c22…
07-28 15:40:40	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	35¢	$22	0xbcc5e3…
07-28 15:18:26	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	35¢	$21	0xcbaaa7…
07-28 15:09:28	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xd14bda…
07-28 15:09:14	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	35¢	$5	0x6fac5e…
07-28 15:05:31	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	35¢	$10	0xde6813…
07-28 15:04:56	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x2070b6…
07-28 14:58:32	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x7598d2…
07-28 14:37:01	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	35¢	$8	0x3074ee…
07-28 14:36:31	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	35¢	$8	0xcd69db…
07-28 14:31:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x4e315f…
07-28 14:23:28	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	35¢	$10	0xbdd63c…
07-28 14:20:53	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,407	35¢	$493	0x2c9f14…
07-28 14:09:25	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	11	69¢	$7	0x015d8b…
07-28 13:43:13	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	18	69¢	$13	0xcd7d26…
07-28 13:42:40	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0xfe983c…
07-28 13:32:50	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	600	84¢	$504	0xb964fe…
07-28 12:20:28	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x20d0fa…
07-28 12:12:40	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	45	83¢	$37	0xee3ec5…
07-28 11:56:59	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	35	69¢	$24	0x611f66…
07-28 04:54:46	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	186	32¢	$59	0xf04716…
07-28 04:54:46	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0xf04716…
07-28 04:13:16	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	564	31¢	$175	0x30e177…
07-28 03:35:52	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0x0a6512…
07-28 03:35:07	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	550	30¢	$165	0xa17b7d…
07-28 03:35:07	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	236	70¢	$165	0xa17b7d…
07-28 02:45:18	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,662	37¢	$615	0x11941e…
07-28 01:47:58	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	611	30¢	$183	0x2730fb…
07-28 01:47:58	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	236	70¢	$165	0x2730fb…
07-27 17:59:18	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	611	27¢	$165	0x0c5776…
07-27 16:23:12	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	410	28¢	$115	0x77f9f7…
07-26 22:44:07	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x77bd80…
07-26 11:43:55	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	38¢	$6	0x9404a6…
07-26 11:43:55	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x531471…
07-26 11:27:25	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	38¢	$10	0xf0b083…
07-26 11:14:12	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	38¢	$6	0x799166…
07-26 11:07:27	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	38¢	$9	0x2e6384…
07-26 10:52:06	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xcf7fb4…
07-26 10:38:16	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	526	38¢	$200	0x8758b7…
07-26 10:37:49	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	242	38¢	$92	0x622f62…
07-26 09:01:13	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	855	38¢	$325	0x8e7b55…
07-26 04:24:13	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	151	38¢	$57	0xd9afc8…
07-26 03:33:07	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0x79bae3…
07-26 03:33:01	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xfb1201…
07-26 03:33:01	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	139	39¢	$54	0xa36258…
07-26 03:33:01	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0x5be9f7…
07-26 00:13:33	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	402	41¢	$165	0xc105dc…
07-25 19:14:51	la velada del ano 6 marta diaz vspt tatiana kaer 20260708192649506	Käer	SELL	140	38¢	$53	0xf1dd7e…
07-25 19:05:42	la velada del ano 6 marta diaz vspt tatiana kaer 20260708192649506	Käer	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x5709da…
07-25 18:59:16	la velada del ano 6 marta diaz vspt tatiana kaer 20260708192649506	Käer	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x76f3da…
07-25 18:57:07	la velada del ano 6 marta diaz vspt tatiana kaer 20260708192649506	Käer	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x3f993e…
07-25 18:42:51	la velada del ano 6 clersss vs natalia mx 20260708164745323	Natalia MX	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x986ef4…
07-25 18:41:37	la velada del ano 6 clersss vs natalia mx 20260708164745323	Natalia MX	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x9b58a2…
07-25 18:41:18	la velada del ano 6 clersss vs natalia mx 20260708164745323	Natalia MX	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x8d63f7…
07-25 18:41:15	la velada del ano 6 clersss vs natalia mx 20260708164745323	Natalia MX	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x56bcae…
07-25 18:40:48	la velada del ano 6 clersss vs natalia mx 20260708164745323	Natalia MX	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xf407f6…
07-25 18:40:33	la velada del ano 6 clersss vs natalia mx 20260708164745323	Natalia MX	BUY	11	87¢	$9	0x52900b…
07-25 18:27:07	la velada del ano 6 la parce vs fabiana sevillano 20260708164135042	Parce	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x31ba3a…
07-25 18:27:01	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	950	79¢	$754	0xc1e0d2…
07-25 18:10:36	la velada del ano 6 la parce vs fabiana sevillano 20260708164135042	Parce	BUY	88	76¢	$67	0x500679…
07-24 14:59:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	Yes	SELL	255	100¢	$254	0x08788e…