Warlike-Noun-Haircut 0x0d2635…7d50b5
2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
15.3%
Resolved
4
Trades
18
lifetime
Volume
$154
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$104
6 positions
First seen
2026-05-03
last 06-12 16:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
86% 33% $-5
Crypto
13% 0% $-0
Politics
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31? No -50 $-45 90¢ $-45 $-0 06-12 16:00
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes -202 $-29 12¢ $-25 +$4 06-12 16:00
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? Yes -86 $-16 20¢ $-17 $-2 06-12 15:59
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31? Yes -86 $-8 11¢ $-9 $-2 06-12 15:59
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes -147 $-1 3¢ $-4 $-3 06-12 16:00
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes -150 $-2 2¢ $-3 $-1 06-12 16:00