Guilty-Spring 0x04dcbd…902387
whale hot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$9.86K
Unrealized P&L
+$556
Hit rate
73.3%
Resolved
1,131
Trades
4,555
lifetime
Volume
$290.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$64
Open exposure
$6.22K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 13:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 202 days
Categories
Other
78% 50% +$3,993
Politics
10% 56% +$92
Tech
8% 54% +$3,698
Pop-Culture
3% 56% +$2,893
Sports
1% 48% -$883
Crypto
0% 29% +$71
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,009 $629 70¢ $701 +$73 09-25 11:01
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No +513 $436 98¢ $502 +$66 08-25 10:16
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +592 $244 80¢ $477 +$233 07-18 23:12
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +1,600 $336 26¢ $424 +$88 09-22 15:37
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +845 $419 46¢ $384 -$34 10-17 00:38
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +526 $342 72¢ $382 +$39 09-12 23:48
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +504 $414 72¢ $366 -$48 10-23 00:05
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +503 $328 72¢ $360 +$32 09-25 07:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +285 $173 100¢ $285 +$112 07-18 23:36
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +302 $181 86¢ $261 +$79 09-05 23:27
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? No +220 $191 92¢ $203 +$12 09-03 05:32
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +180 $158 92¢ $166 +$8 08-11 22:01
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? Yes -180 -$162 92¢ $-166 -$5 08-11 22:00
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +842 $123 18¢ $147 +$24 10-21 07:12
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? No +144 $30 99¢ $142 +$112 09-01 14:51
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +400 $192 34¢ $134 -$58 09-08 12:44
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? No +302 $275 43¢ $129 -$146 09-29 07:40
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +300 $111 33¢ $98 -$13 10-28 11:24
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No +101 $10 96¢ $97 +$87 05-11 15:06
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +301 $36 28¢ $83 +$47 10-03 04:32
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +243 $39 32¢ $79 +$40 09-20 23:48
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +108 $178 73¢ $79 -$99 09-10 06:38
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,020 $112 8¢ $76 -$36 09-03 05:32
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +75 $73 100¢ $75 +$2 09-17 06:21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +75 $45 100¢ $75 +$29 10-18 13:43
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +75 $64 99¢ $74 +$10 09-17 06:21
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +211 $87 31¢ $65 -$21 10-19 14:06
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +120 $81 54¢ $64 -$16 08-29 07:56
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? Yes +510 $119 12¢ $64 -$55 05-05 14:57
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +265 $66 22¢ $60 -$7 08-18 02:18