Guilty-Spring 0x04dcbd…902387
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.59K
Unrealized P&L
-$244
Hit rate
72.1%
Resolved
57
Trades
2,533
lifetime
Volume
$164.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$382
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 05:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
80% 61% $-2,419
Politics
7% 71% $-162
Tech
6% — —
Pop-Culture
4% 0% $-8
Sports
2% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes +211 $103 56¢ $119 +$16 06-04 22:29
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +400 $60 15¢ $58 $-2 06-06 15:43
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +154 $44 36¢ $56 +$12 06-01 15:02
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes +248 $30 16¢ $40 +$10 05-29 06:26
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? Yes +144 $36 22¢ $32 $-4 06-07 00:10
Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes -97 $-28 32¢ $-31 $-3 06-05 15:06
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +31 $20 76¢ $23 +$3 05-30 06:21
Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026? No +49 $13 28¢ $14 +$0 06-08 07:39
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +16 $9 48¢ $8 $-1 06-01 11:36
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +1,155 $277 0¢ $1 $-276 06-01 11:32
Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +0 $0 64¢ $0 +$0 05-29 06:31
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +1 $0 40¢ $0 +$0 06-08 15:32