Will Luke Combs have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
open
Total volume
$326
Trades
30
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$434
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-17
last 08-16 16:08
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $25 | $4 | +$22 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $22 | — | +$22 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $21 | $81 | $60 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $7 | $165 | $159 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $30 | — | +$30 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 2 | $8 | $58 | $50 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| unranked | 9 | $17 | $188 | $171 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xe5f5…9c9c | No | +107 | $81 | $81 | 1 | 08-02 16:25 |
| Pesky-Cranberry 0xe004…7849 | No | +77 | $58 | $58 | 2 | 07-19 00:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x7ba3…8d5f | No | +69 | $57 | $57 | 1 | 08-16 14:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +68 | $8 | $8 | 5 | 08-16 16:08 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +63 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 08-02 16:25 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +48 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 08-02 16:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x08ef…e466 | No | +42 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 08-16 16:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | +40 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 08-16 14:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +39 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 08-16 14:42 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +38 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 08-16 07:34 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +31 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 06-17 03:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xa637…dae9 | No | +17 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 08-16 07:34 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-19 00:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-02 16:25 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-17 02:35 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 16:08:12 | (anonymous) 0x08ef…e466 | No | BUY | 42 | 88¢ | $37 | 0xc9a85d… |
| 08-16 16:08:12 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xc9a85d… |
| 08-16 15:03:57 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x1beaf0… |
| 08-16 15:03:57 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x1beaf0… |
| 08-16 15:03:27 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xd7057c… |
| 08-16 15:03:27 | (anonymous) 0x5907…a780 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xd7057c… |
| 08-16 14:42:55 | (anonymous) 0x5907…a780 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x85e2f5… |
| 08-16 14:42:55 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x85e2f5… |
| 08-16 14:42:55 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 18¢ | $7 | 0x85e2f5… |
| 08-16 14:42:55 | (anonymous) 0x7ba3…8d5f | No | BUY | 69 | 82¢ | $57 | 0x85e2f5… |
| 08-16 14:42:55 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 4 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x85e2f5… |
| 08-16 07:34:43 | (anonymous) 0xa637…dae9 | No | BUY | 17 | 81¢ | $13 | 0xbe0770… |
| 08-16 07:34:43 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 17 | 19¢ | $3 | 0xbe0770… |
| 08-02 16:25:05 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 21¢ | $3 | 0xfe3c79… |
| 08-02 16:25:05 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 26¢ | $10 | 0xfe3c79… |
| 08-02 16:25:05 | (anonymous) 0xe5f5…9c9c | No | BUY | 107 | 75¢ | $81 | 0xfe3c79… |
| 08-02 16:25:05 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 25¢ | $12 | 0xfe3c79… |
| 08-02 16:25:05 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xfe3c79… |
| 08-02 01:38:14 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xe847ce… |
| 08-02 01:38:14 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 23 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xe847ce… |
| 07-19 00:00:36 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x7fbe7d… |
| 07-19 00:00:36 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 22 | 22¢ | $5 | 0x7fbe7d… |
| 07-19 00:00:36 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x7fbe7d… |
| 07-19 00:00:36 | Pesky-Cranberry 0xe004…7849 | No | BUY | 51 | 78¢ | $39 | 0x7fbe7d… |
| 07-15 02:28:38 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 2 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x97647e… |
| 07-15 02:28:38 | Grimy-Breastplate 0x13ad…65fd | Yes | SELL | 2 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x97647e… |
| 06-17 03:15:09 | Pesky-Cranberry 0xe004…7849 | No | BUY | 26 | 72¢ | $19 | 0xf52a9c… |
| 06-17 03:15:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 28¢ | $4 | 0xf52a9c… |
| 06-17 02:35:06 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x402bbe… |
| 06-17 02:35:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x402bbe… |