Pesky-Cranberry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.6%

Resolved

Trades

347

lifetime

Volume

$5.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-07 16:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

37% 0% $-19

Politics

36% 75% +$4

Pop-Culture

13% — —

Tech

9% — —

Crypto

5% 75% +$19

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will plc win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	11	$1.1K	1,292	701	+591	open	—	02-02 15:57
will trump say russia during speech to the nation 20260713200621434	3	$246	454	0	+454	open	—	07-16 21:50
Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	12	$245	369	60	+309	open	—	05-15 03:01
will kliff kingsbury be the next cleveland browns head coach	1	$240	320	0	+320	open	—	01-07 03:00
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	5	$236	303	0	+303	open	—	06-23 23:24
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	4	$219	317	0	+317	open	—	07-26 19:11
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	1	$190	380	0	+380	open	—	01-29 01:48
Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?	3	$161	246	0	+246	open	—	07-15 22:34
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?	1	$130	150	0	+150	open	—	06-28 04:55
Will Trump talk to Maria Corina Machado in April?	5	$122	174	0	+174	open	—	04-01 21:09
will amazon say tariff during earnings call 20260728011934949	1	$111	166	0	+166	open	—	07-28 22:07
cs2 baks gs3 2026 07 26	2	$110	118	100	+18	open	—	07-26 18:45
will the pitt win best ensemble in a drama series at the 2026 sag awards	1	$108	0	120	-120	open	—	01-13 03:19
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?	2	$98	118	0	+118	open	—	06-28 04:57
will trinity tatum be eliminated from love island usa this week 20260626220759034	1	$95	104	0	+104	open	—	06-28 22:38
will stellan skarsgrd win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	3	$86	73	100	-27	open	—	01-12 02:34
Will Sabrina Carpenter have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	2	$86	132	0	+132	open	—	07-21 22:45
Will Drake feature EsDeeKid on ICEMAN?	6	$83	139	0	+139	open	—	05-15 03:09
will mrbeast say subscriber during his next youtube video 20260702154826883	2	$80	106	50	+56	open	—	07-16 21:46
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	1	$76	0	106	-106	open	—	06-16 23:44
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?	4	$75	190	0	+190	open	—	04-01 18:42
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?	5	$71	214	0	+214	open	—	04-01 21:07
Will Drake feature PARTYNEXTDOOR on ICEMAN?	5	$63	65	0	+65	open	—	05-15 04:29
will amazon say supply chain during earnings call 20260728011934951	5	$60	170	0	+170	open	—	07-28 22:09
Will Luke Combs have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	2	$58	77	0	+77	open	—	07-19 00:00
will oregon be ranked 1 during the 2026 27 cfb season 20260803152822085	1	$54	102	0	+102	open	—	08-07 16:12
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?	1	$53	58	0	+58	open	—	06-16 23:38
will the united states have an ebola case in 2026	4	$51	72	0	+72	open	—	06-28 05:02
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$50	147	0	+147	open	—	07-19 00:02
will kristen bell win best actress in a comedy series at the 2026 sag awards	1	$49	0	50	-50	open	—	01-16 18:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 16:24:16	will notre dame be ranked 1 during the 2026 27 cfb season 20260803152822083	Yes	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x471f38…
08-07 16:23:36	will notre dame be ranked 1 during the 2026 27 cfb season 20260803152822083	Yes	BUY	104	23¢	$24	0xfe6eb2…
08-07 16:16:18	atp poullai miyoshi 2026 08 07	Lucas Poullain	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x740ad6…
08-07 16:16:09	atp poullai miyoshi 2026 08 07	Lucas Poullain	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x781161…
08-07 16:13:37	will texas be ranked 1 during the 2026 27 cfb season 20260803152822084	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x73da9c…
08-07 16:12:48	will oregon be ranked 1 during the 2026 27 cfb season 20260803152822085	No	BUY	102	53¢	$54	0x568741…
08-07 00:55:59	Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	56	64¢	$36	0xadf847…
08-07 00:51:57	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf86f1d…
07-28 22:09:58	will amazon say supply chain during earnings call 20260728011934951	No	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x68107e…
07-28 22:09:43	will amazon say supply chain during earnings call 20260728011934951	No	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x30ba81…
07-28 22:09:26	will amazon say supply chain during earnings call 20260728011934951	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xdd24be…
07-28 22:09:04	will amazon say supply chain during earnings call 20260728011934951	No	BUY	31	35¢	$11	0xd8aca1…
07-28 22:08:32	will amazon say supply chain during earnings call 20260728011934951	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x6511b5…
07-28 22:07:04	will amazon say tariff during earnings call 20260728011934949	Yes	BUY	166	67¢	$111	0x38c51e…
07-28 20:58:37	will trump say maga or make america great again during tele rally 20260728181046361	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x7509b7…
07-28 20:58:05	will trump say radical left during tele rally 20260728181046362	No	BUY	26	24¢	$6	0x4eae11…
07-26 19:11:36	Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	No	BUY	76	70¢	$53	0x0c62e4…
07-26 19:10:58	Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	No	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x63fd1c…
07-26 19:10:31	Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xc86c22…
07-26 19:10:01	Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	No	BUY	76	68¢	$52	0x9f8e56…
07-26 18:55:25	Will Frank Ocean have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	BUY	35	83¢	$29	0x6237dd…
07-26 18:45:55	cs2 baks gs3 2026 07 26	BakS eSports	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0xb04cbc…
07-26 18:42:19	cs2 baks gs3 2026 07 26	BakS eSports	BUY	118	51¢	$60	0xae8599…
07-21 23:00:09	Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0x1ffd69…
07-21 22:45:27	Will Sabrina Carpenter have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	BUY	101	65¢	$66	0x075223…
07-21 22:44:39	Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	13¢	$4	0x11e564…
07-21 22:42:22	Will Sabrina Carpenter have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x4512d5…
07-19 00:02:22	Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x99c0a9…
07-19 00:00:36	Will Luke Combs have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	BUY	51	78¢	$39	0x7fbe7d…
07-16 21:52:38	Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	21	31¢	$6	0xf40ee1…
07-16 21:50:26	will trump say russia during speech to the nation 20260713200621434	No	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xa337d1…
07-16 21:49:28	will trump say russia during speech to the nation 20260713200621434	No	BUY	183	55¢	$100	0x25c8b6…
07-16 21:48:52	will trump say russia during speech to the nation 20260713200621434	No	BUY	259	54¢	$140	0xda2e6c…
07-16 21:46:31	will mrbeast say subscriber during his next youtube video 20260702154826883	Yes	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0xb48cee…
07-16 21:44:55	will mrbeast say survivor during his next youtube video 20260702154826886	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x465360…
07-16 21:44:47	will mrbeast say red line during his next youtube video 20260702154826879	Yes	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xf661f7…
07-16 21:39:40	will mrbeast say subscriber during his next youtube video 20260702154826883	Yes	BUY	106	54¢	$57	0x0479f2…
07-16 21:38:16	Will Post Malone have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	BUY	43	42¢	$18	0x6def55…
07-15 23:19:29	Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?	Yes	BUY	61	54¢	$33	0x8e6710…
07-15 22:38:34	Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?	Yes	BUY	12	54¢	$7	0x35ccd3…
07-15 22:35:29	Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez?	Yes	BUY	39	46¢	$18	0x6016f3…
07-15 22:34:52	Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?	No	BUY	31	67¢	$20	0x123053…
07-15 22:33:59	Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?	No	BUY	46	66¢	$30	0xd686d5…
07-15 22:33:10	Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?	No	BUY	169	65¢	$110	0x89fee1…
07-08 22:14:56	Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xc8dc59…
06-28 22:38:29	will trinity tatum be eliminated from love island usa this week 20260626220759034	No	BUY	104	91¢	$95	0xdd91a1…
06-28 19:04:40	Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	BUY	32	73¢	$23	0xc331cc…
06-28 18:55:26	Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?	Yes	BUY	22	53¢	$11	0x4d1149…
06-28 17:40:19	Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xd2bad0…
06-28 17:39:53	Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x0b9190…
06-28 17:37:35	Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	101	11¢	$11	0x8522b0…
06-28 05:02:14	will the united states have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	38	75¢	$29	0xafb1eb…
06-28 05:00:32	will china have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	31	78¢	$24	0x4dbb9e…
06-28 04:59:02	Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$43	0x53ff94…
06-28 04:57:17	Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?	No	BUY	63	83¢	$52	0x743d20…
06-28 04:55:47	Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?	No	BUY	150	87¢	$130	0x805c01…
06-23 23:27:32	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	217	4¢	$9	0x7e6a7a…
06-23 23:24:35	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	36	80¢	$29	0x2314e5…
06-23 23:21:16	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf6e9ce…
06-23 23:17:40	Will Lady Gaga perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x247a43…
06-23 23:15:37	Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?	No	BUY	55	83¢	$46	0x827a00…
06-17 03:15:09	Will Luke Combs have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	BUY	26	72¢	$19	0xf52a9c…
06-16 23:50:43	will the united states have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x8c5474…
06-16 23:50:08	will rwanda have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0x481f8f…
06-16 23:44:55	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	106	72¢	$76	0xdf6e87…
06-16 23:42:49	will the united states have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xabbb24…
06-16 23:42:13	will the united states have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xc6c1ca…
06-16 23:38:17	Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?	Yes	BUY	58	91¢	$53	0x16afe6…
06-16 23:35:52	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x8f0d47…
06-14 18:53:40	Will Brittany Mahomes be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	No	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xa68b73…
06-14 17:53:15	will christina koch be time person of the year 2026	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x48590c…
06-14 15:01:30	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x0bae0c…
06-14 14:58:06	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	165	79¢	$130	0x1daf18…
06-14 00:55:21	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5e71e6…
06-10 01:28:34	Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xfad067…
06-09 23:17:52	Will BLACKPINK perform at Coachella 2027?	No	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x2db79f…
06-09 23:17:22	Will BLACKPINK perform at Coachella 2027?	No	BUY	29	76¢	$22	0x4ca07c…
06-09 23:11:28	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	57	75¢	$43	0xe39a82…
05-30 12:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x93c1a3…
05-30 09:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x872a22…
05-30 08:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x28166d…
05-30 06:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x3846ad…
05-30 06:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xf6ec84…
05-30 04:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbe72f4…
05-28 00:43:07	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xc93293…
05-24 15:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa6da16…
05-24 15:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4c3456…
05-24 15:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xba0d83…
05-24 15:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xfba47d…
05-24 15:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3ef43a…
05-24 15:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x4052dc…
05-24 15:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2fa222…
05-24 14:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x126e60…
05-24 03:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x309389…
05-24 01:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x0ad910…
05-24 01:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x957dde…
05-24 01:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x810635…
05-24 01:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x17e88d…
05-24 01:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc1891e…
05-24 01:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1a4a2f…