Realized P&L
+$4
Unrealized P&L
+$17
Hit rate
75.6%
Resolved
21
Trades
320
lifetime
Volume
$4.66K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$1.16K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-19 00:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
40% 75% +$4
Other
34% 0% $-19
Pop-Culture
14%
Tech
6%
Crypto
5% 75% +$19
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp? No +246 $161 81¢ $199 +$38 07-15 22:34
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +303 $236 48¢ $144 $-92 06-23 23:24
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? No +150 $130 92¢ $137 +$7 06-28 04:55
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? No +118 $98 92¢ $108 +$10 06-28 04:57
Will Sabrina Carpenter have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No +132 $86 79¢ $104 +$18 07-21 22:45
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No -106 $-76 66¢ $-70 +$6 06-16 23:44
Will Luke Combs have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No +77 $58 90¢ $70 +$11 07-19 00:00
Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No +66 $48 85¢ $56 +$8 06-28 19:04
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +147 $50 34¢ $51 +$1 07-19 00:02
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026? No +50 $43 99¢ $50 +$7 06-28 04:59
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? Yes +74 $40 56¢ $42 +$2 07-15 23:19
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No +36 $28 84¢ $31 +$2 06-14 15:01
Will Post Malone have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No +43 $18 53¢ $23 +$5 07-16 21:38
Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez? Yes +39 $18 52¢ $20 +$2 07-15 22:35
Will BLACKPINK perform at Coachella 2027? No +37 $28 50¢ $19 $-10 06-09 23:17
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +101 $11 $9 $-2 06-28 17:37
Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? Yes +32 $4 28¢ $9 +$5 07-21 22:44
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -217 $-9 $-7 +$2 06-23 23:27
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +21 $6 31¢ $6 $-0 07-16 21:52
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan? Yes +22 $11 29¢ $6 $-5 06-28 18:55
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No +12 $3 32¢ $4 +$1 07-08 22:14