Realized P&L
+$4
Unrealized P&L
+$17
Hit rate
75.6%
Resolved
21
Trades
302
lifetime
Volume
$3.99K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$801
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-28 22:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
40% 75% +$4
Other
33% 0% $-19
Pop-Culture
14%
Tech
7%
Crypto
6% 75% +$19
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +303 $236 80¢ $244 +$8 06-23 23:24
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? No +150 $130 88¢ $132 +$2 06-28 04:55
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? No +118 $98 82¢ $97 $-1 06-28 04:57
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No -106 $-76 65¢ $-69 +$7 06-16 23:44
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year? Yes +58 $53 99¢ $58 +$5 06-16 23:38
Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No +66 $48 83¢ $54 +$6 06-28 19:04
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026? No +50 $43 84¢ $43 $-0 06-28 04:59
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No +36 $28 86¢ $32 +$3 06-14 15:01
Will BLACKPINK perform at Coachella 2027? No +37 $28 50¢ $19 $-10 06-09 23:17
Will Luke Combs have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No +26 $19 59¢ $16 $-3 06-17 03:15
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +101 $11 11¢ $11 +$0 06-28 17:37
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan? Yes +22 $11 44¢ $10 $-2 06-28 18:55
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -217 $-9 $-9 +$0 06-23 23:27
Will Brittany Mahomes be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids? No +8 $6 98¢ $8 +$2 06-14 18:53
Will Lady Gaga perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +14 $1 $0 $-1 06-23 23:17