Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$60
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
10,992
lifetime
Volume
$131.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$297
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-20
last 07-20 18:54
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
45%
Sports
22%
Politics
19%
Crypto
10%
Tech
5%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 703 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? No +50 $47 99¢ $49 +$2 06-14 16:10
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No -50 $-30 76¢ $-38 $-8 07-13 23:04
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +40 $30 84¢ $34 +$3 07-03 17:26
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +31 $25 52¢ $16 $-9 07-19 19:31
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +20 $17 78¢ $16 $-1 07-20 19:15
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? Yes +20 $16 72¢ $14 $-2 06-21 18:02
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes -20 $-3 70¢ $-14 $-10 07-09 09:43
Tuyo FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +20 $17 69¢ $14 $-3 06-03 03:24
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +13 $11 92¢ $12 +$1 07-03 08:29
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +12 $7 80¢ $10 +$3 06-03 22:31
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? Yes +50 $10 15¢ $8 $-3 06-25 20:43
City Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +20 $18 34¢ $7 $-12 06-04 07:48
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? Yes +40 $10 16¢ $6 $-4 07-20 11:26
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? No +20 $4 29¢ $6 +$1 05-31 21:36
Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +20 $9 27¢ $5 $-3 06-30 13:43
Arc FDV above $7B one day after launch? Yes -20 $-2 26¢ $-5 $-3 06-15 18:21
Tuyo FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +7 $5 74¢ $5 $-0 06-05 15:02
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? No +5 $3 92¢ $5 +$1 05-31 14:21
Neutrl FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +20 $7 23¢ $5 $-2 06-26 13:14
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +20 $6 22¢ $4 $-1 07-09 11:55
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? Yes +20 $4 22¢ $4 +$1 06-30 06:16
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +20 $5 21¢ $4 $-1 06-23 22:21
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes +5 $4 80¢ $4 $-0 07-10 11:54
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +5 $4 69¢ $4 $-0 07-13 02:40
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $5 20¢ $2 $-3 06-05 11:46
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? No +9 $2 20¢ $2 $-0 07-17 20:56
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? Yes -20 $-1 $-2 $-0 07-13 03:10
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +5 $5 31¢ $2 $-3 07-20 19:09
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +13 $3 $1 $-2 06-28 07:51
Will Slingshot launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +1 $3 95¢ $1 $-2 06-13 14:17