Will Kendrick Lamar have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
open
Total volume
$498
Trades
52
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$41
Latest YES mid
60¢
Latest NO mid
40¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-06 16:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $37 | $21 | +$17 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $25 | $13 | +$12 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $95 | $115 | $20 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $23 | $80 | $56 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $33 | $73 | $40 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $0 | $0 |
| Median | 3 | $11 | $9 | +$2 |
| Below median | 1 | $20 | $53 | $32 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $18 | $8 | +$10 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $26 | $8 | +$18 |
| unranked | 6 | $72 | $78 | $5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xe5f5…9c9c | No | +103 | $71 | $74 | 2 | 08-06 16:26 |
| Poor-Scene 0x5960…d692 | No | +100 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 05-28 01:58 |
| Forsaken-Meridian 0x91d7…0dfc | Yes | +89 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 07-16 20:28 |
| Adventurous-Safari 0xcb14…5358 | Yes | +62 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-28 15:37 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +45 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 08-05 20:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | Yes | +43 | $20 | $20 | 4 | 07-17 11:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | No | +43 | $51 | $54 | 4 | 07-18 10:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | Yes | +34 | $10 | $12 | 2 | 08-06 16:26 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +24 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 08-05 20:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x120b…1be6 | Yes | +23 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-28 07:38 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +23 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-28 07:38 |
| Vivacious-Fondue 0x51b1…7865 | No | +18 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-17 19:00 |
| Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-17 11:50 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | +14 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 07-20 09:09 |
| Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | No | +3 | $4 | $14 | 4 | 07-17 19:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x783e…5a19 | No | +1 | $1 | $9 | 2 | 07-16 21:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 16:26:30 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 45¢ | $1 | 0x98facc… |
| 08-06 16:26:30 | (anonymous) 0xe5f5…9c9c | No | SELL | 3 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x98facc… |
| 08-05 20:19:11 | (anonymous) 0xe5f5…9c9c | No | BUY | 105 | 69¢ | $73 | 0x769feb… |
| 08-05 20:19:11 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 30¢ | $11 | 0x769feb… |
| 08-05 20:19:11 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x769feb… |
| 08-05 20:19:11 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 24 | 28¢ | $7 | 0x769feb… |
| 08-05 20:19:11 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 31¢ | $12 | 0x769feb… |
| 07-20 09:09:54 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x640668… |
| 07-20 09:09:54 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x640668… |
| 07-18 10:52:03 | (anonymous) 0x8d0c…e1ce | No | BUY | 0 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xc010f7… |
| 07-18 10:52:03 | (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | No | SELL | 0 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xc010f7… |
| 07-17 19:00:24 | Vivacious-Fondue 0x51b1…7865 | No | BUY | 18 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x386230… |
| 07-17 19:00:24 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | SELL | 14 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x386230… |
| 07-17 19:00:24 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | No | SELL | 4 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x386230… |
| 07-17 11:50:52 | Grimy-Breastplate 0x13ad…65fd | No | SELL | 6 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xc5d8ff… |
| 07-17 11:50:52 | Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | BUY | 15 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xc5d8ff… |
| 07-17 11:50:52 | (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0xc5d8ff… |
| 07-17 11:49:52 | (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | No | SELL | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xec4677… |
| 07-17 11:49:52 | Grimy-Breastplate 0x13ad…65fd | No | BUY | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xec4677… |
| 07-17 11:49:52 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xec4677… |
| 07-17 11:49:52 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xec4677… |
| 07-17 07:09:52 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 9 | 55¢ | $5 | 0x97e105… |
| 07-17 07:09:52 | (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 45¢ | $4 | 0x97e105… |
| 07-16 21:31:40 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | No | BUY | 7 | 71¢ | $5 | 0xd0571b… |
| 07-16 21:31:40 | (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 29¢ | $2 | 0xd0571b… |
| 07-16 21:19:31 | (anonymous) 0x783e…5a19 | No | SELL | 6 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x8afb83… |
| 07-16 21:19:31 | Angry-Disparity 0x847c…9ff8 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x8afb83… |
| 07-16 20:28:17 | Forsaken-Meridian 0x91d7…0dfc | Yes | BUY | 39 | 26¢ | $10 | 0x18f21d… |
| 07-16 20:28:17 | (anonymous) 0x783e…5a19 | No | BUY | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0x18f21d… |
| 07-16 20:28:17 | Angry-Disparity 0x847c…9ff8 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 27¢ | $4 | 0x18f21d… |
| 07-16 20:28:17 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 18 | 25¢ | $4 | 0x18f21d… |
| 07-16 20:28:13 | (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | No | BUY | 50 | 81¢ | $40 | 0x457764… |
| 07-16 20:28:13 | Forsaken-Meridian 0x91d7…0dfc | Yes | BUY | 50 | 19¢ | $10 | 0x457764… |
| 07-15 05:30:22 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 18 | 33¢ | $6 | 0x6be468… |
| 07-15 05:30:22 | Angry-Disparity 0x847c…9ff8 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 33¢ | $1 | 0x6be468… |
| 07-15 05:30:22 | (anonymous) 0xdba1…d0e5 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 33¢ | $7 | 0x6be468… |
| 07-15 05:20:10 | (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 34¢ | $6 | 0x7e5b7c… |
| 07-15 05:20:10 | (anonymous) 0xdba1…d0e5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 34¢ | $7 | 0x7e5b7c… |
| 07-15 05:20:10 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 34¢ | $13 | 0x7e5b7c… |
| 07-15 05:20:08 | (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | No | BUY | 18 | 67¢ | $12 | 0x87870e… |
| 07-15 05:20:08 | Angry-Disparity 0x847c…9ff8 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 33¢ | $6 | 0x87870e… |
| 05-28 15:37:57 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 31¢ | $12 | 0x7d882c… |
| 05-28 15:37:57 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | No | SELL | 6 | 67¢ | $4 | 0x7d882c… |
| 05-28 15:37:57 | Frightening-Territory 0xaed4…4cc9 | Yes | SELL | 116 | 31¢ | $36 | 0x7d882c… |
| 05-28 15:37:57 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 10 | 68¢ | $7 | 0x7d882c… |
| 05-28 15:37:57 | Adventurous-Safari 0xcb14…5358 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 30¢ | $19 | 0x7d882c… |
| 05-28 07:38:32 | (anonymous) 0x120b…1be6 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 44¢ | $10 | 0xe56125… |
| 05-28 07:38:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 23 | 56¢ | $13 | 0xe56125… |
| 05-28 01:58:44 | Frightening-Territory 0xaed4…4cc9 | Yes | BUY | 116 | 42¢ | $49 | 0x4ef8cd… |
| 05-28 01:58:44 | Poor-Scene 0x5960…d692 | No | BUY | 100 | 59¢ | $59 | 0x4ef8cd… |
| 05-28 01:58:44 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 10 | 46¢ | $4 | 0x4ef8cd… |
| 05-28 01:58:44 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | No | BUY | 7 | 60¢ | $4 | 0x4ef8cd… |