Vivacious-Fondue 0x51b11a…727865
whale hot 6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$10.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.56K
Hit rate
78.2%
Resolved
489
Trades
6,020
lifetime
Volume
$151.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$5.08K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 03:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 152 days
Categories
Other
68% 41% +$3,133
Politics
15% 41% +$386
Sports
9% 56% +$5,696
Pop-Culture
6% 48% +$820
Tech
2% 33% +$69
Crypto
0% 0% -$100
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 312 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -822 -$555 80¢ $-653 -$98 06-24 14:55
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +1,000 $596 60¢ $605 +$9 10-25 20:35
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat? Yes +844 $543 68¢ $578 +$36 10-27 02:07
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -600 -$498 89¢ $-534 -$36 07-12 02:18
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +8,234 $1,868 6¢ $453 -$1,415 09-04 06:23
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes -383 -$165 90¢ $-342 -$177 07-27 17:35
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +1,100 $583 30¢ $336 -$248 06-11 16:56
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? No +356 $273 68¢ $244 -$30 10-25 18:29
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +354 $224 66¢ $235 +$11 10-28 16:34
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +347 $161 61¢ $212 +$51 10-25 20:35
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +902 $722 15¢ $139 -$583 07-09 01:24
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +192 $53 46¢ $88 +$35 10-27 19:42
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? Yes +58,382 $58 0¢ $88 +$30 10-12 15:28
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? Yes +54,393 $32 0¢ $82 +$49 10-06 15:17
Deel IPO before 2027? No -75 -$71 100¢ $-75 -$4 06-09 20:49
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes +628 $234 12¢ $72 -$161 05-21 09:00
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? No +63 $48 97¢ $61 +$13 06-29 18:27
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +60 $35 67¢ $40 +$5 06-26 14:11
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes +63 $29 48¢ $30 +$1 10-29 19:52
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +200 $26 14¢ $27 +$1 10-25 23:14
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +200 $26 14¢ $27 +$1 10-25 23:57
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +67 $15 34¢ $22 +$8 05-12 14:47
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +120 $20 18¢ $21 +$1 05-07 15:55
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? Yes +1,350 $28 2¢ $20 -$8 05-07 17:37
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $18 10¢ $19 +$1 10-26 12:50
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? No +200 $17 8¢ $17 +$0 10-26 15:09
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No +40 $18 38¢ $15 -$3 05-28 13:30
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? Yes +5,900 $12 0¢ $15 +$3 10-12 15:28
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +225 $42 6¢ $15 -$28 06-03 17:34
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +214 $39 6¢ $14 -$25 06-17 11:51