Vivacious-Fondue 0x51b11a…727865
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$421
Unrealized P&L
-$1.01K
Hit rate
59.0%
Resolved
7
Trades
1,656
lifetime
Volume
$83.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$50
Open exposure
$4.03K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 22:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
74% 20% $-11
Politics
13% 0% $-411
Pop-Culture
7% — —
Tech
3% — —
Sports
3% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +6,734 $1,733 12¢ $774 $-959 07-17 16:57
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +902 $722 58¢ $524 $-199 07-09 01:24
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? Yes -2,000 $-555 26¢ $-510 +$45 07-17 12:03
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -600 $-498 84¢ $-507 $-9 07-12 02:18
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -822 $-555 58¢ $-481 +$74 06-24 14:55
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +559 $270 42¢ $232 $-38 06-24 16:58
Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026? No -183 $-165 92¢ $-169 $-5 07-14 22:17
US congress stock trading ban before 2027? No -162 $-149 90¢ $-147 +$2 07-09 10:26
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +150 $105 70¢ $104 $-1 07-05 11:59
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win more than 99.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? O 99.5 +150 $90 64¢ $97 +$7 07-14 07:21
Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution? No +118 $68 81¢ $96 +$28 06-25 12:26
Deel IPO before 2027? No -75 $-71 96¢ $-72 $-0 06-09 20:49
Will the Miami Marlins win more than 74.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? O 74.5 +70 $54 92¢ $65 +$11 07-06 13:35
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? No +63 $48 85¢ $53 +$5 06-29 18:27
Will the Miami Dolphins make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? No +39 $28 95¢ $37 +$9 06-10 12:30
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.? No +126 $15 28¢ $35 +$20 06-17 11:48
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +96 $46 30¢ $29 $-17 06-22 18:02
Will the Boston Red Sox clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +30 $6 65¢ $20 +$13 06-30 13:47
Will Future have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No +24 $16 81¢ $19 +$4 07-10 15:29
Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +51 $8 22¢ $11 +$4 07-09 13:00
Will Kendrick Lamar have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No +18 $2 49¢ $9 +$7 07-17 19:00
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes -130 $-13 6¢ $-8 +$5 07-10 00:05
Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No +9 $7 85¢ $8 +$1 06-28 22:02
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027? Yes +59 $5 12¢ $7 +$2 07-08 16:37
Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop? No +23 $-3 26¢ $6 +$9 06-16 17:58
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No -7 $-10 84¢ $-6 +$4 07-10 22:26
Will The Weeknd have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No +8 $4 50¢ $4 $-0 07-18 16:47
Will NewJeans release a song in 2026? No +11 $1 19¢ $2 +$1 07-21 20:19
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes -8 $37 23¢ $-2 $-38 07-16 11:42
Will Ariana Grande feature Olivia Rodrigo on Petal? Yes +3 $0 15¢ $0 +$0 06-26 18:44