Realized P&L
-$421
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
59.0%
Resolved
7
Trades
1,535
lifetime
Volume
$76.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$50
Open exposure
$4.37K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 00:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
76% 20% $-11
Politics
11% 0% $-411
Pop-Culture
8%
Sports
3%
Tech
2%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -3,000 $-2,820 99¢ $-2977 $-157 06-11 03:51
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -822 $-555 54¢ $-440 +$115 06-24 14:55
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +559 $270 46¢ $260 $-10 06-24 16:58
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +594 $153 27¢ $160 +$7 07-01 00:20
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? Yes -359 $-104 28¢ $-99 +$6 06-19 13:24
Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution? No +118 $68 77¢ $91 +$23 06-25 12:26
Deel IPO before 2027? No -75 $-71 96¢ $-72 $-0 06-09 20:49
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? No +63 $48 80¢ $51 +$3 06-29 18:27
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.? No +126 $15 40¢ $50 +$35 06-17 11:48
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +96 $46 44¢ $42 $-4 06-22 18:02
US congress stock trading ban before 2027? No -44 $-41 87¢ $-38 +$2 06-23 02:41
Will the Miami Dolphins make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? No +39 $28 91¢ $35 +$7 06-10 12:30
Will the Chicago Cubs clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +30 $17 64¢ $19 +$2 05-28 22:14
Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop? No +23 $-3 48¢ $11 +$14 06-16 17:58
Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No +9 $7 83¢ $7 +$1 06-28 22:02
Will the Boston Red Sox clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +30 $6 18¢ $6 $-1 06-30 13:47
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +27 $45 20¢ $5 $-39 06-25 14:18
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +4 $-1 68¢ $2 +$3 06-15 18:23
Will Ariana Grande feature Olivia Rodrigo on Petal? Yes +3 $0 44¢ $1 +$1 06-26 18:44
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? Yes +17 $3 $0 $-3 05-28 20:37