Vivacious-Fondue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$421

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,701

lifetime

Volume

$84.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 11:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

74% 20% $-11

Politics

13% 0% $-411

Pop-Culture

7% — —

Sports

3% — —

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	124	$19.0K	66,002	16,002	+50,000	open	—	02-03 21:44
will stateside zara larsson pinkpantheress zara larsson be the 1 song on us spotify this week 112	88	$8.0K	7,515	4,303	+3,212	open	—	03-13 22:53
will xai have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	42	$4.7K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	03-30 11:50
cbb grmbst alaam 2026 03 03	16	$4.5K	3,479	3,466	+13	open	—	03-03 19:49
will trump issue a gold card by march 31	30	$3.6K	3,896	3,384	+512	open	—	02-23 18:59
will tiger woods play in the 2026 masters tournament	23	$3.4K	6,890	1,987	+4,904	open	—	04-09 06:33
will kanye release bully by march 20	23	$2.8K	2,870	1,975	+895	open	—	03-20 15:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	5	$2.8K	0	3,000	-3,000	open	—	06-11 03:51
will bad bunny have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	25	$2.3K	4,688	433	+4,255	open	—	02-16 14:53
will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	20	$1.9K	4,115	12	+4,103	open	—	02-16 21:52
will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	16	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-31 14:37
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	10	$1.8K	1,733	1,996	-263	open	—	06-24 16:58
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	22	$1.7K	6,802	0	+6,802	open	—	08-05 09:29
will kanye release bully by march 27	20	$1.6K	1,283	1,283	+0	open	—	03-27 14:33
will teyana taylor win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	20	$1.2K	1,132	1,132	+0	open	—	03-01 05:10
next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	18	$1.1K	1,476	445	+1,031	open	—	08-08 21:23
Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?	30	$1.1K	1,050	952	+98	open	—	03-19 23:55
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	6	$987	650	650	+0	open	—	04-16 20:05
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	17	$971	973	973	+0	Yes	+$241	04-24 14:14
will all of trumps children attend the state of the union	27	$751	2,414	221	+2,194	open	—	02-24 21:19
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	6	$722	902	0	+902	open	—	07-09 01:24
will president trump sign 5 pieces of legislation into law in march	2	$673	380	380	+0	open	—	03-31 21:02
will a contestant numbered 151 175 win beast games season 2	11	$620	417	258	+159	open	—	02-25 00:32
will player 167 win beast games season 2 763	35	$590	3,070	1,273	+1,797	open	—	02-25 03:56
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	7	$573	600	600	+0	open	—	03-24 07:48
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	14	$568	0	2,100	-2,100	open	—	07-17 12:03
next mythos class model released by september 30 2026	12	$562	987	987	+0	open	—	07-12 00:15
starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	10	$522	1,129	1,129	+0	open	—	06-21 17:47
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	1	$498	0	600	-600	open	—	07-12 02:18
israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	9	$466	1,014	132	+882	open	—	07-03 13:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 11:55:34	Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x5f26d2…
08-09 19:14:37	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x73ce44…
08-08 21:23:12	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	No	SELL	108	79¢	$85	0xe81833…
08-07 16:17:45	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x520e3f…
08-07 13:27:28	Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?	No	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xf6c95f…
08-06 15:54:38	Will Doja Cat have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x9194fc…
08-06 15:21:29	james comey charges dropped by december 31 20260729183700711	Yes	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0x7a8dfa…
08-06 14:41:27	Will Doja Cat have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	BUY	19	82¢	$16	0x36ae39…
08-05 17:25:44	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	No	SELL	137	74¢	$101	0x63115f…
08-05 09:29:32	Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	19	9¢	$2	0x27941f…
08-05 08:37:27	Will Zach Bryan have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x84d296…
08-04 20:51:02	Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	36	9¢	$3	0xf943b5…
08-03 19:03:27	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	No	SELL	200	68¢	$136	0x5ce07f…
08-02 00:14:44	will drake perform at the 2027 big game halftime show 253	No	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0xe97308…
07-31 22:12:32	Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x90af53…
07-28 23:00:58	mlb phi mia 2026 07 28	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x913e72…
07-28 23:00:58	mlb phi mia 2026 07 28	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x6fa1f9…
07-28 23:00:58	mlb phi mia 2026 07 28	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x20f405…
07-28 22:53:56	mlb phi mia 2026 07 28	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x5eb8b2…
07-28 22:48:56	mlb phi mia 2026 07 28	Miami Marlins	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xe4d45a…
07-28 22:48:50	mlb phi mia 2026 07 28	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x6ee1ac…
07-28 22:43:34	mlb ari pit 2026 07 28	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x94cc1d…
07-28 22:43:25	mlb ari pit 2026 07 28	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9a9b5c…
07-28 02:00:28	mlb bos oak 2026 07 27	Boston Red Sox	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0xe04a4a…
07-28 01:50:00	mlb bos oak 2026 07 27	Boston Red Sox	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xd284b9…
07-28 01:50:00	mlb bos oak 2026 07 27	Boston Red Sox	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xaca4d1…
07-28 01:47:24	mlb bos oak 2026 07 27	Boston Red Sox	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x94ad74…
07-26 23:41:19	mlb nyy phi 2026 07 26	New York Yankees	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x391e60…
07-26 23:30:25	mlb nyy phi 2026 07 26	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x0c84a8…
07-26 23:30:07	mlb nyy phi 2026 07 26	New York Yankees	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x96a458…
07-26 23:30:07	mlb nyy phi 2026 07 26	New York Yankees	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x45e003…
07-25 20:13:12	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	No	BUY	626	55¢	$344	0x0040a8…
07-24 16:59:15	will trump say bibi or netanyahu this week 20260719005322457	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xec4054…
07-24 16:49:51	will trump say uranium this week 20260719005322450	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x7b4e12…
07-24 16:48:07	Will the Miami Marlins win more than 74.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	U 74.5	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0xe580e7…
07-23 20:17:45	mlb tb tor 2026 07 23	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xc139ce…
07-23 20:17:37	mlb tb tor 2026 07 23	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xf144ed…
07-23 20:17:37	mlb tb tor 2026 07 23	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0x6b06f6…
07-23 20:17:13	mlb tb tor 2026 07 23	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x1326f8…
07-23 20:16:57	mlb tb tor 2026 07 23	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xb9407b…
07-23 20:16:57	mlb tb tor 2026 07 23	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x29335c…
07-23 19:55:40	mlb tb tor 2026 07 23	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x42a013…
07-23 18:05:45	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by october 31 20260608213258432	Yes	BUY	24	72¢	$17	0x913856…
07-23 16:20:40	Will The Weeknd have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	BUY	150	56¢	$84	0x49fa36…
07-22 23:55:49	mlb lad phi 2026 07 22	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x1f6ea9…
07-21 22:14:43	mlb bal bos 2026 07 21 k ranger suarez 5pt5	Over	SELL	78	44¢	$34	0x875cdc…
07-21 22:14:15	mlb bal bos 2026 07 21 k ranger suarez 5pt5	Over	SELL	78	44¢	$34	0xa58edb…
07-21 21:48:40	mlb bal bos 2026 07 21 k ranger suarez 5pt5	Over	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0xea82d0…
07-21 21:48:30	mlb bal bos 2026 07 21 k ranger suarez 5pt5	Over	SELL	78	44¢	$34	0xb6ad79…
07-21 21:48:19	mlb bal bos 2026 07 21 k ranger suarez 5pt5	Over	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0xfbfd0c…
07-21 20:31:15	mlb bal bos 2026 07 21 k ranger suarez 5pt5	Over	BUY	910	0¢	$1	0xe0093a…
07-21 20:19:24	Will NewJeans release a song in 2026?	No	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xdbc258…
07-21 20:00:52	mlb bal bos 2026 07 21 k ranger suarez 5pt5	Over	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xfc8429…
07-21 19:59:07	mlb bal bos 2026 07 21 k ranger suarez 5pt5	Over	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0x72bfc0…
07-21 19:59:06	mlb bal bos 2026 07 21 k ranger suarez 5pt5	Over	SELL	23	50¢	$12	0x6b9ae1…
07-21 19:58:46	mlb bal bos 2026 07 21 k ranger suarez 5pt5	Over	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0x568f32…
07-21 17:00:12	mlb bal bos 2026 07 21 k ranger suarez 5pt5	Over	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0xb4696b…
07-18 16:47:30	Will The Weeknd have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x1e6a3b…
07-17 23:24:31	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 corners team home 5pt5	Over	SELL	389	42¢	$163	0x7899c8…
07-17 23:22:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners team away 3pt5	Over	SELL	276	49¢	$135	0x9f9e8d…
07-17 23:08:39	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners team away 3pt5	Over	BUY	618	50¢	$309	0x04f6fe…
07-17 23:06:04	will mitch mcconnell vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821977	No	BUY	76	57¢	$43	0x9d64d0…
07-17 23:03:06	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 assists desire doue gte1	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x5cc641…
07-17 19:00:24	Will Kendrick Lamar have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x386230…
07-17 18:56:27	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 corners team home 5pt5	Over	BUY	389	43¢	$167	0xc22f01…
07-17 16:57:48	Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	303	15¢	$45	0xa36eff…
07-17 12:36:43	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	No	BUY	86	49¢	$42	0x0f8603…
07-17 12:03:55	Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0xd616e1…
07-17 12:03:13	Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	26¢	$10	0xed1872…
07-17 12:02:33	Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	27¢	$5	0xc55ee6…
07-17 11:55:43	will the brooklyn nets make the 2027 nba play in tournament 20260708212312768	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x51f365…
07-17 03:52:36	Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	31	15¢	$5	0xff52c5…
07-17 02:04:34	will leonardo dicaprio attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357133	Yes	BUY	120	31¢	$37	0xee3415…
07-16 21:28:08	Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	23¢	$11	0x36ce54…
07-16 11:42:10	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	Yes	SELL	110	23¢	$25	0x4d1704…
07-15 21:29:02	Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	Yes	SELL	916	26¢	$239	0x4ff17a…
07-15 21:27:43	Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0xce67ea…
07-15 00:10:02	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	No	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x45b4d9…
07-14 23:26:49	next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	No	SELL	132	90¢	$119	0xcf648b…
07-14 22:17:38	Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?	No	SELL	183	90¢	$165	0xd0a998…
07-14 22:10:19	Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	Yes	SELL	415	31¢	$128	0x89804a…
07-14 22:03:13	Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0x12920b…
07-14 17:41:01	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	No	BUY	82	50¢	$41	0x2807d3…
07-14 07:21:37	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win more than 99.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	O 99.5	BUY	150	60¢	$90	0xb2882e…
07-13 22:44:40	Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	921	16¢	$147	0x8a0a42…
07-13 22:44:05	Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	288	16¢	$46	0x14edf4…
07-13 19:06:14	Will the Chicago Cubs clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	SELL	18	72¢	$13	0xadb9ff…
07-12 03:52:25	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb7cece…
07-12 02:18:16	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	SELL	600	83¢	$498	0xb229bf…
07-12 02:11:56	Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	31¢	$31	0x2a57ff…
07-12 02:08:19	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	Yes	SELL	35	32¢	$11	0x1c1671…
07-12 01:24:40	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4b7444…
07-12 01:21:10	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xaa09ea…
07-12 00:15:23	next mythos class model released by september 30 2026	No	SELL	537	12¢	$64	0x520f9d…
07-12 00:11:50	next mythos class model released by september 30 2026	No	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0x777c08…
07-11 12:59:20	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	No	BUY	179	53¢	$95	0x874745…
07-11 04:05:25	next mythos class model released by september 30 2026	No	SELL	200	20¢	$40	0x18e3db…
07-11 02:34:34	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	No	BUY	150	52¢	$78	0xb73613…
07-10 22:26:35	U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xe18795…
07-10 20:54:35	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2027	No	BUY	385	17¢	$65	0xe0adee…