Realized P&L
+$25
Unrealized P&L
+$62
Hit rate
73.4%
Resolved
37
Trades
3,403
lifetime
Volume
$4.43K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$94
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 07-21 17:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
67% 41% +$17
Sports
14% 75% +$8
Politics
11% 75% +$6
Crypto
5% 0% $-6
Pop-Culture
2%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Printr FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -20 $-16 85¢ $-17 $-1 05-27 21:54
Project Helix release by May 31, 2027? Yes +17 $1 47¢ $8 +$7 06-01 01:51
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $-14 49¢ $7 +$21 07-19 19:38
Will Slingshot launch a token by September 30, 2027? No -28 $-8 21¢ $-6 +$2 05-29 14:28
Will UNI reach $9.50 by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-5 88¢ $-5 $-0 06-01 08:05
Will edgeX reach $1.60 before 2027? Yes +10 $1 45¢ $5 +$3 07-08 04:03
Will Trump Airport become law this year? Yes +41 $1 10¢ $4 +$3 06-10 04:35
Will edgeX reach $1.80 before 2027? Yes +14 $1 24¢ $3 +$2 06-28 22:57
Will Puffpaw launch a token by March 31, 2027? No -6 $-2 52¢ $-3 $-1 06-06 13:05
Tabi FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +25 $1 12¢ $3 +$2 07-13 14:23
Will Justin Bieber release an album in 2026? No +5 $1 60¢ $3 +$2 07-01 09:19
Will thiccy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? Yes +18 $1 16¢ $3 +$2 06-14 01:36
Will Sabrina Carpenter have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No +4 $0 64¢ $3 +$2 06-19 02:46
Will Perplexity AI announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes -14 $-3 15¢ $-2 +$1 05-28 17:59
Will Big Tobacco buy Fre nicotine pouches? Yes +5 $1 40¢ $2 +$1 06-04 05:47
Claudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026? No +4 $-4 54¢ $2 +$6 06-10 15:57
Will Lucid announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes -7 $-1 31¢ $-2 $-1 07-14 17:30
Will Ariana Grande feature Olivia Rodrigo on Petal? Yes +13 $-4 14¢ $2 +$6 07-04 10:26
Mike Locksley out as Maryland HC in 2026? Yes -3 $-2 56¢ $-2 $-0 06-08 10:03
Will edgeX reach $2.00 before 2027? Yes +11 $1 14¢ $2 +$0 06-28 22:55
Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027? Yes +5 $0 30¢ $2 +$1 06-22 06:16
Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year? Yes +14 $1 11¢ $2 +$0 07-02 18:54
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange? No -5 $-2 26¢ $-1 +$0 07-11 21:06
Perena FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes +16 $1 $1 $-0 07-08 21:37
Will JetBlue Airways announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes -14 $-2 $-1 +$1 07-08 23:03
Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? Yes +8 $1 15¢ $1 +$0 06-02 15:05
Printr FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +16 $1 $1 $-0 06-15 09:27
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.75% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026? No -3 $-1 24¢ $-1 +$0 07-16 11:50
Will Ariana Grande officially release Petal by July 31, 2026? No -3 $-3 24¢ $-1 +$3 07-20 08:38
Will UNI reach $9.50 by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 06-01 08:05