Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

67.0%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

4,777 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$45

$7.06K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-04 19:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 279 days

Categories

Other

69% 32% +$882

Politics

12% 37% +$117

Sports

9% 48% +$283

Crypto

7% 35% +$78

Tech

2% 31% +$6

Pop-Culture

2% 31% +$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	Yes		-2	-$1	10¢	$-0	+$1	10-27 18:06
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No		+11	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	04-28 13:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will michigan state be a number 1 seed in the 2026 ncaa mens basketball march madness tournament	46	$182	220	189	+31	No	+$136	02-18 23:49
open above 7 on february 27 2026	23	$38	51	51	+0	No	+$28	02-02 01:27
will hilary benn be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533218	3	$38	47	47	+0	No	+$32	07-20 16:48
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?	14	$37	50	46	+4	open	—	10-17 09:52
ppa tour 2026 carvana mesa cup mens doubles pro main draw winner ben johns gabriel tardio win	6	$34	40	40	+0	Yes	+$30	02-23 04:53
Will "Space" be in the headlines this week?	2	$29	28	28	+0	Yes	+$26	09-13 02:32
Will Trump say "Easter" this week?	4	$27	27	27	+0	No	+$21	10-31 16:46
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 23?	8	$26	30	30	+0	No	+$20	09-23 22:59
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $11B by August 31?	6	$26	34	26	+8	No	+$17	08-25 07:39
will chainlink reach 10 in august	3	$26	42	25	+17	Yes	+$20	08-19 15:28
will ethena reach 0pt12 in august	3	$26	40	25	+15	Yes	+$20	08-21 01:02
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of October 26 2026?	2	$24	25	25	+0	No	+$21	10-29 17:50
Next Kimi K model released by September 15, 2026?	5	$23	22	22	+0	Yes	+$18	09-11 12:43
will hormuz be in the headlines this week 20260703145631095	4	$23	22	22	+0	No	+$20	07-12 08:57
Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive Price Up/Down on August 31?	4	$21	58	18	+40	Under	+$12	08-30 16:00
Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 250m?	4	$20	30	30	+0	No	+$17	04-13 09:28
will crude oil cl hit high 68 by end of february	6	$20	27	24	+3	No	+$17	02-24 11:22
will charles myers visit venezuela by march 31 2026	8	$20	23	23	+0	Yes	+$13	03-28 04:39
Will AVAX dip to $5 by December 31, 2026?	5	$19	26	26	+0	open	—	09-27 04:32
Will Netflix reach $455 in April?	4	$19	20	20	+0	No	+$17	03-26 12:01
will justin biebers monthly listeners figure hit 130m by august 31 20260710220109218 712	9	$19	29	29	+0	No	+$12	08-03 19:13
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	3	$19	18	18	+0	Yes	+$13	07-20 11:49
Will Sabrina Carpenter arrest Madonna during Juno?	5	$18	43	31	+13	No	+$10	04-18 05:28
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on August 25?	5	$18	33	33	+0	Yes	+$12	08-24 22:39
Will Celta Vigo finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?	9	$18	97	61	+36	No	+$14	04-13 21:52
Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 14 million views this week?	4	$18	25	25	+0	No	+$15	09-07 19:21
Will Peacock TV: Stream TV & Movies be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?	4	$18	16	16	+0	No	+$13	06-19 13:24
Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?	4	$18	21	21	+0	open	—	09-14 06:38
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 11, 2026?	6	$17	21	21	+0	No	+$13	05-12 00:39
will the 5 year treasury yield hit 5pt05 in september	8	$17	60	30	+30	Yes	+$11	09-28 19:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 19:41:30	Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on November 7?	No	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x2666a6…
11-04 19:06:27	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 in November?	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xd9181b…
11-04 15:09:42	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by November 30?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x4ad869…
11-04 13:38:15	Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in November be at least 125 mph?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$2	0x51bf42…
11-04 12:51:37	Will Donald Trump visit Louisiana in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0xccf33f…
11-04 12:41:36	Harris's Democratic nomination odds dip to 4% by December 31?	No	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0x03444a…
11-04 12:04:31	Over $20M committed to the over.computer public sale?	Yes	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0xccf380…
11-04 12:04:09	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 14?	No	SELL	12	82¢	$9	0x151953…
11-04 11:10:54	Will Ethena reach $0.36 in November?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x81c064…
11-04 10:37:52	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by November 30?	No	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xd169a0…
11-04 10:34:21	Harris's Democratic nomination odds dip to 4% by December 31?	No	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xc9d7fd…
11-04 08:29:42	NATO downs another Russian drone by November 15?	No	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0x906968…
11-04 05:51:01	Will the loser of the Maine Senate election concede by November 4?	No	BUY	9	17¢	$1	0xb293a8…
11-04 05:06:33	Will the loser of the Florida Governor election concede by November 4?	No	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x96eec7…
11-04 05:04:22	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 14?	No	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x186508…
11-04 05:04:19	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 14?	No	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0xab6787…
11-04 02:22:33	Will the loser of the Georgia Governor election concede by November 4?	No	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0xf3f933…
11-03 23:02:31	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x7f3a7a…
11-03 18:28:25	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hasan Piker by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x64e421…
11-03 18:24:37	Will Ethena reach $0.24 in November?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x810204…
11-03 17:18:18	Will US gas hit $4.20 (High) the week of November 2?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xbc85b5…
11-03 17:18:07	Will US gas hit $4.24 (High) the week of November 2?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x911006…
11-03 16:51:25	Will Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?	Yes	BUY	23	6¢	$2	0x16b7f3…
11-03 16:41:57	Muse Charm released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x0e717f…
11-03 13:57:01	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of November 2 2026?	No	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x79527d…
11-03 13:57:01	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 in November?	No	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x57fd6e…
11-03 13:30:03	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $171 Week of November 2 2026?	No	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0xe66699…
11-03 13:15:27	Will USD/CAD hit 1.33 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x965a36…
11-03 10:53:00	Putin meets with Iranian officials by November 30?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x1a7b7f…
11-03 07:59:21	Will Chainlink reach $22 in November?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x1da46e…
11-03 07:29:28	Will Ethena reach $0.32 in November?	Yes	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0xae304b…
11-03 05:11:34	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $7.00 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	12¢	$1	0xb903bf…
11-03 03:27:45	Will Ethena reach $0.28 in November?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$2	0x9704f7…
11-02 23:45:48	Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 3.5T in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x1c05cb…
11-02 23:19:10	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $10,000 on the final trading day of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0xd5e6c7…
11-02 22:28:57	Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $500B and $750B at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0xbcf94e…
11-02 19:24:30	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in November?	Yes	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0xc0b0b9…
11-02 17:41:58	Will Trump say "God" this week?	No	BUY	17	9¢	$2	0x404041…
11-02 05:37:45	Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xecb19d…
11-01 21:36:04	Will Philadelphia 76ers advance to the Eastern Conference Semifinals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	9	28¢	$2	0xd5b96d…
11-01 18:37:24	NATO downs another Russian drone by November 15?	No	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xeee6a2…
11-01 16:49:48	Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$2	0xbbfae5…
11-01 16:18:28	Talarico Texas Senate odds hit 80% by November 2?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x3b5c7b…
11-01 13:44:27	First Round Outright Winner in the GA-02 House Election?	No	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x0bce69…
11-01 12:46:16	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 27-November 2?	No	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xfb77cc…
11-01 02:08:19	Will there be 4 or more Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 26?	No	BUY	8	19¢	$1	0x456a99…
10-31 23:58:12	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of November 2 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0x174ef1…
10-31 21:40:28	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-22 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0xbe6b24…
10-31 21:40:28	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-22 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$1	0x613436…
10-31 18:10:33	Will the DEFIANCE Act become law this year?	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x4e013d…
10-31 16:46:25	Will Trump say "Easter" this week?	No	SELL	17	91¢	$15	0x41a3b8…
10-31 14:59:57	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in November?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x54bbdb…
10-31 13:39:57	Will Trump say "Easter" this week?	No	BUY	17	9¢	$2	0xf23d6a…
10-31 13:39:57	Will Trump say "Easter" this week?	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xf23d6a…
10-31 12:54:33	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 in November?	No	BUY	21	7¢	$2	0x682328…
10-31 12:50:40	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in November?	No	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x5d60a3…
10-31 12:02:27	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $520 in November?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$2	0xa3d9fe…
10-31 11:06:51	Will November 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	No	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x9ba5b8…
10-31 10:36:27	Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Services revenue be above $33B?	Yes	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x0920e5…
10-31 10:04:30	First Round Outright Winner in the GA-02 House Election?	No	BUY	10	15¢	$1	0x09dfd3…
10-31 08:07:04	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,260 in November?	Yes	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0x17538a…
10-31 08:06:57	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,200 in November?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0x66ea7e…
10-31 07:55:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in November?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x61ede7…
10-31 07:55:33	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in November?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$2	0xb37fe6…
10-31 07:55:16	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $820 in November?	Yes	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0xd6e88f…
10-31 05:19:01	OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?	Yes	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0xb91891…
10-31 04:44:37	Over $20M committed to the over.computer public sale?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0xfe15e5…
10-31 04:14:54	Will Trump say "Easter" this week?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x19abad…
10-31 01:09:48	Will Trump say "Muscle" or "Muscular" this week?	No	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0xcc2b36…
10-30 23:40:12	Will Snowflake Q3 Product revenue be above $1.7B?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x36cab7…
10-30 23:32:40	Will Serbia call its presidential election by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x7b05b4…
10-30 20:56:03	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $230 in November?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$2	0x1b7e93…
10-30 20:52:04	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $380 in November?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$2	0x00d830…
10-30 20:52:04	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $380 in November?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x00d830…
10-30 20:16:12	Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?	No	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0x75ece4…
10-30 19:57:22	Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Services revenue be above $33B?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$2	0x6a170c…
10-30 19:31:54	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.75% in October?	No	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0xfbcede…
10-30 18:27:04	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x669fbc…
10-30 17:47:13	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $140 in November?	Yes	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0x049bec…
10-30 17:00:04	Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $7B by October 31?	No	BUY	12	12¢	$2	0x03957d…
10-30 16:47:37	Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 1?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x97eb30…
10-30 13:54:13	Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 1?	No	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x3c3727…
10-30 12:49:58	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in November?	No	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0x6e3e3d…
10-30 12:44:21	Will Travis Scott perform at Coachella 2027?	No	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x47553f…
10-30 12:16:33	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $155 in October?	No	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xee4400…
10-30 11:06:25	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in November?	No	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x42739d…
10-30 10:38:06	Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$1	0xded1cb…
10-30 10:23:18	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	Yes	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0xb8747b…
10-30 10:05:33	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 in November?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x08b0fa…
10-30 08:34:40	AWS service disrupted by October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$1	0x1051db…
10-30 08:22:10	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x2ef4b5…
10-30 07:33:28	Will US gas hit $4.30 (High) the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xcf5246…
10-30 07:26:01	Will US gas hit $4.30 (High) the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x2a8c70…
10-30 07:01:45	Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $95B by October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x1d5a4f…
10-30 07:01:04	Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $20.5B by October 31?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x2f54a0…
10-30 05:16:57	Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?	No	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0x6623a5…
10-30 05:16:54	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $95 in November?	Yes	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0xdc5ddd…
10-30 03:30:43	Will USD/BRL hit 4.25 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	19¢	$6	0xe7cec7…
10-30 00:23:01	Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above $16.0B?	No	BUY	9	17¢	$1	0xb3892e…
10-29 23:01:31	Talarico Texas Senate odds hit 70% by November 2?	No	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0x1e2dcf…