Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$258

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

69.9%

Resolved (90d)

457

Trades (90d)

832

4,706 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.70K

$6.91K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-30 23:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 274 days

Categories

Other

69% 32% +$881

Politics

12% 38% +$110

Sports

9% 48% +$283

Crypto

7% 36% +$81

Tech

2% 33% +$9

Pop-Culture

1% 31% +$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	+22	$2	4¢	$1	-$1	10-18 09:38
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	Yes	-2	-$1	16¢	$-0	+$1	10-27 18:06
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	+11	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	04-28 13:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will michigan state be a number 1 seed in the 2026 ncaa mens basketball march madness tournament	46	$182	220	189	+31	No	+$136	02-18 23:49
open above 7 on february 27 2026	23	$38	51	51	+0	No	+$28	02-02 01:27
will hilary benn be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533218	3	$38	47	47	+0	No	+$32	07-20 16:48
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?	14	$37	50	46	+4	open	—	10-17 09:52
ppa tour 2026 carvana mesa cup mens doubles pro main draw winner ben johns gabriel tardio win	6	$34	40	40	+0	Yes	+$30	02-23 04:53
Will "Space" be in the headlines this week?	2	$29	28	28	+0	Yes	+$26	09-13 02:32
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 23?	8	$26	30	30	+0	No	+$20	09-23 22:59
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $11B by August 31?	6	$26	34	26	+8	No	+$17	08-25 07:39
will chainlink reach 10 in august	3	$26	42	25	+17	Yes	+$20	08-19 15:28
will ethena reach 0pt12 in august	3	$26	40	25	+15	Yes	+$20	08-21 01:02
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of October 26 2026?	2	$24	25	25	+0	open	—	10-29 17:50
Next Kimi K model released by September 15, 2026?	5	$23	22	22	+0	Yes	+$18	09-11 12:43
will hormuz be in the headlines this week 20260703145631095	4	$23	22	22	+0	No	+$20	07-12 08:57
Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive Price Up/Down on August 31?	4	$21	58	18	+40	Under	+$12	08-30 16:00
Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 250m?	4	$20	30	30	+0	No	+$17	04-13 09:28
will crude oil cl hit high 68 by end of february	6	$20	27	24	+3	No	+$17	02-24 11:22
will charles myers visit venezuela by march 31 2026	8	$20	23	23	+0	Yes	+$13	03-28 04:39
Will AVAX dip to $5 by December 31, 2026?	5	$19	26	26	+0	open	—	09-27 04:32
Will Netflix reach $455 in April?	4	$19	20	20	+0	No	+$17	03-26 12:01
will justin biebers monthly listeners figure hit 130m by august 31 20260710220109218 712	9	$19	29	29	+0	No	+$12	08-03 19:13
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	3	$19	18	18	+0	Yes	+$13	07-20 11:49
Will Sabrina Carpenter arrest Madonna during Juno?	5	$18	43	31	+13	No	+$10	04-18 05:28
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on August 25?	5	$18	33	33	+0	Yes	+$12	08-24 22:39
Will Celta Vigo finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?	9	$18	97	61	+36	No	+$14	04-13 21:52
Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 14 million views this week?	4	$18	25	25	+0	No	+$15	09-07 19:21
Will Peacock TV: Stream TV & Movies be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?	4	$18	16	16	+0	No	+$13	06-19 13:24
Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?	4	$18	21	21	+0	open	—	09-14 06:38
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 11, 2026?	6	$17	21	21	+0	No	+$13	05-12 00:39
will the 5 year treasury yield hit 5pt05 in september	8	$17	60	30	+30	Yes	+$11	09-28 19:18
will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on july 20 20260717153521445	2	$17	17	17	+0	Yes	+$14	07-20 22:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 23:40:12	Will Snowflake Q3 Product revenue be above $1.7B?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x36cab7…
10-30 23:32:40	Will Serbia call its presidential election by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x7b05b4…
10-30 20:56:03	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $230 in November?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$2	0x1b7e93…
10-30 20:52:04	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $380 in November?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$2	0x00d830…
10-30 20:52:04	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $380 in November?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x00d830…
10-30 20:16:12	Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?	No	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0x75ece4…
10-30 19:57:22	Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Services revenue be above $33B?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$2	0x6a170c…
10-30 19:31:54	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.75% in October?	No	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0xfbcede…
10-30 18:27:04	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x669fbc…
10-30 17:47:13	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $140 in November?	Yes	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0x049bec…
10-30 17:00:04	Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $7B by October 31?	No	BUY	12	12¢	$2	0x03957d…
10-30 16:47:37	Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 1?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x97eb30…
10-30 13:54:13	Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 1?	No	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x3c3727…
10-30 12:49:58	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in November?	No	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0x6e3e3d…
10-30 12:44:21	Will Travis Scott perform at Coachella 2027?	No	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x47553f…
10-30 12:16:33	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $155 in October?	No	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xee4400…
10-30 11:06:25	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in November?	No	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x42739d…
10-30 10:38:06	Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$1	0xded1cb…
10-30 10:23:18	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	Yes	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0xb8747b…
10-30 10:05:33	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 in November?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x08b0fa…
10-30 08:34:40	AWS service disrupted by October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$1	0x1051db…
10-30 08:22:10	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x2ef4b5…
10-30 07:33:28	Will US gas hit $4.30 (High) the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xcf5246…
10-30 07:26:01	Will US gas hit $4.30 (High) the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x2a8c70…
10-30 07:01:45	Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $95B by October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x1d5a4f…
10-30 07:01:04	Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $20.5B by October 31?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x2f54a0…
10-30 05:16:57	Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?	No	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0x6623a5…
10-30 05:16:54	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $95 in November?	Yes	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0xdc5ddd…
10-30 03:30:43	Will USD/BRL hit 4.25 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	19¢	$6	0xe7cec7…
10-30 00:23:01	Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above $16.0B?	No	BUY	9	17¢	$1	0xb3892e…
10-29 23:01:31	Talarico Texas Senate odds hit 70% by November 2?	No	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0x1e2dcf…
10-29 22:44:57	Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by October 31?	Yes	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0x103c3a…
10-29 21:25:21	Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $168 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0xfc22fa…
10-29 19:55:30	Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$2	0x614d1d…
10-29 19:34:48	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0xe06b4c…
10-29 19:34:48	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x5d59c8…
10-29 19:02:07	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $95 in November?	No	SELL	23	18¢	$4	0xbf297d…
10-29 17:50:23	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	90¢	$23	0x8c29ad…
10-29 17:35:08	Will Miami Heat advance to the Eastern Conference Semifinals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0xecf67b…
10-29 17:20:55	Will Trump say "Radical Left Lunatic" this week?	No	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x56ad66…
10-29 15:47:31	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $315 in November?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xd7420d…
10-29 01:53:08	Will Trump say "Neurotic" in October?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$2	0x774ad1…
10-29 01:50:01	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x1a194d…
10-29 01:35:29	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $380 in November?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4be16e…
10-28 20:42:22	Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x6a15b7…
10-28 20:05:31	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xdea98d…
10-28 19:42:05	Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by October 31?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$2	0x0f2431…
10-28 19:00:25	Will "Elon" or "Musk" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 26?	No	BUY	9	16¢	$2	0x25dfab…
10-28 13:29:04	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $198 in October?	No	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x653c8e…
10-28 10:03:52	Will Dolly Parton rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026?	No	BUY	9	17¢	$1	0xd54b69…
10-28 09:46:35	Will Philadelphia 76ers advance to the Eastern Conference Semifinals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x236126…
10-28 07:08:55	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 in November?	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$2	0x37d08d…
10-28 07:08:46	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $0.50 in November?	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$2	0x3cd946…
10-28 00:15:03	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$1	0x7d0d88…
10-27 22:54:42	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $97.50 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x0cd90f…
10-27 20:00:56	Will Trump say "Illness" in October?	No	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xb8250d…
10-27 18:06:20	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	Yes	SELL	8	33¢	$2	0xaa16ab…
10-27 13:50:30	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $168 in October?	No	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x97f5d5…
10-27 13:38:44	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $56 in October?	No	BUY	12	13¢	$1	0x5981ed…
10-27 07:24:56	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in November?	No	BUY	12	12¢	$2	0x047b36…
10-27 02:09:35	Will Israel annex any territory by March 31?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x36da7d…
10-26 23:46:45	Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Uranium" this week?	No	BUY	21	7¢	$2	0xfc62df…
10-26 19:24:44	Will Ronaldo Nazário attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0x600206…
10-26 17:36:57	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in October?	No	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0x51dded…
10-26 16:01:32	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $95 in November?	No	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0x435de7…
10-26 15:09:41	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $140 in November?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x2edb46…
10-26 13:32:51	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 in October?	No	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x7e5929…
10-26 12:59:15	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $155 in November?	No	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0xfe66ec…
10-26 11:32:53	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in November?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$2	0x44c8e3…
10-26 10:27:09	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $400 in November?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xc27934…
10-26 09:25:17	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in November?	Yes	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0x7d37aa…
10-26 07:41:56	Will USD/BRL hit 4.25 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x3064b2…
10-26 07:39:03	Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x638e1c…
10-26 05:31:26	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in November?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x010dc3…
10-26 04:03:20	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $350 in October?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x3ba59f…
10-26 02:54:59	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,300 in November?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x69dbb9…
10-26 01:35:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in November?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xca16e4…
10-25 22:38:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November?	No	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x954c6e…
10-25 16:35:48	Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.25B by October 31?	Yes	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x619412…
10-25 06:31:15	Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-43 House election?	Yes	BUY	28	5¢	$2	0x1cecb6…
10-24 04:53:11	Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.25B by October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$2	0xada051…
10-23 22:33:26	Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7B by October 31?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x4f5618…
10-23 09:31:30	Will Hyperliquid reach $92 in October?	Yes	SELL	16	86¢	$14	0xceb17e…
10-22 19:34:41	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $720 in October?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xc0aef5…
10-22 17:41:27	Will USD/BRL hit 6.5 (High) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xbaf891…
10-22 17:25:30	Will Hyperliquid reach $92 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x100898…
10-22 17:13:57	Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $12.25B by October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$2	0x5733b7…
10-22 14:20:38	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $178 Week of October 19 2026?	No	SELL	14	47¢	$6	0x52f9bc…
10-22 14:07:35	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $145 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0x562b07…
10-22 13:38:32	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $650 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x65ec78…
10-22 13:38:30	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $650 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x7edd5c…
10-21 23:33:14	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $145 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$1	0x684246…
10-21 13:41:57	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $178 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0x988646…
10-20 20:44:03	Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0xe8d835…
10-20 18:36:06	Alcatraz reopened in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x6b2d30…
10-20 17:22:54	Will Nigeria have an Ebola case in 2026?	No	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x036de9…
10-20 17:00:05	Will "Preposterous" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 19?	No	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0xff6b4d…
10-20 17:00:05	Will "DMT" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x346be7…
10-20 07:50:34	Will Ethena reach $0.32 in October?	Yes	SELL	8	19¢	$2	0x441d73…
10-20 02:36:03	Will Hyperliquid reach $92 in October?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$2	0xfee125…