Will Lucid announce bankruptcy before 2027?
open
Total volume
$397
Trades
32
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$148
Latest YES mid
31¢
Latest NO mid
69¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-07-14
last 08-04 14:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+67.6¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $17
vs crowd: 32% YES on $339)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $39 | — | +$39 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $14 | $1 | +$13 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $34 | $72 | $38 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $22 | $155 | $133 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $17 | — | +$17 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $0 | $0 |
| Median | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| Below median | 4 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $16 | $1 | +$14 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| unranked | 8 | $37 | $221 | $183 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xb99b…b581 | No | +167 | $120 | $120 | 2 | 08-04 14:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x5002…9eef | Yes | +55 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 08-04 14:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +52 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 08-04 14:16 |
| Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | +50 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 07-25 16:09 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | +50 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 08-04 14:16 |
| Capital-Contributor 0x21fe…da90 | No | +50 | $31 | $31 | 3 | 07-26 06:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd58…879a | No | +50 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 07-25 16:22 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +46 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-14 18:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xc32e…367f | Yes | +37 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-26 06:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-14 17:30 |
| Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 07-28 18:31 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +4 | $-0 | $2 | 2 | 07-15 07:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x537c…1c5b | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-15 21:45 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-15 21:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xb275…6cb2 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-15 07:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:16:59 | (anonymous) 0x5002…9eef | Yes | BUY | 55 | 29¢ | $16 | 0xd0c2d1… |
| 08-04 14:16:59 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 29¢ | $14 | 0xd0c2d1… |
| 08-04 14:16:59 | (anonymous) 0xb99b…b581 | No | BUY | 157 | 71¢ | $111 | 0xd0c2d1… |
| 08-04 14:16:59 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 29¢ | $15 | 0xd0c2d1… |
| 07-28 18:31:58 | Charming-Collar 0x90b8…8665 | No | SELL | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xad994a… |
| 07-28 18:31:58 | (anonymous) 0xb99b…b581 | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xad994a… |
| 07-28 18:31:58 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xad994a… |
| 07-26 06:29:28 | Capital-Contributor 0x21fe…da90 | No | BUY | 19 | 54¢ | $10 | 0x2698eb… |
| 07-26 06:29:28 | (anonymous) 0xc32e…367f | Yes | BUY | 37 | 55¢ | $20 | 0x2698eb… |
| 07-26 06:29:28 | Charming-Collar 0x90b8…8665 | No | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2698eb… |
| 07-26 06:29:28 | Sweet-Wasp 0x13b6…c633 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 46¢ | $5 | 0x2698eb… |
| 07-25 16:22:16 | (anonymous) 0xfb6b…9c50 | No | SELL | 50 | 68¢ | $34 | 0xc33940… |
| 07-25 16:22:16 | (anonymous) 0xbd58…879a | No | BUY | 50 | 68¢ | $34 | 0xc33940… |
| 07-25 16:09:48 | (anonymous) 0xfb6b…9c50 | No | BUY | 50 | 69¢ | $34 | 0x9b4bec… |
| 07-25 16:09:48 | Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | BUY | 50 | 31¢ | $16 | 0x9b4bec… |
| 07-20 17:45:33 | (anonymous) 0x4a74…7a5c | No | SELL | 1 | 54¢ | $1 | 0xb74eb0… |
| 07-20 17:45:33 | Capital-Contributor 0x21fe…da90 | No | BUY | 1 | 54¢ | $1 | 0xb74eb0… |
| 07-15 21:45:35 | (anonymous) 0x537c…1c5b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 46¢ | $1 | 0x36eb32… |
| 07-15 21:45:35 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 2 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x36eb32… |
| 07-15 19:44:44 | (anonymous) 0x4a74…7a5c | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xdadc1f… |
| 07-15 19:44:44 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0xdadc1f… |
| 07-15 07:19:11 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 46¢ | $1 | 0xde49ef… |
| 07-15 07:19:11 | (anonymous) 0xb275…6cb2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 46¢ | $1 | 0xde49ef… |
| 07-14 18:16:34 | Organic-Test 0x853c…bd03 | Yes | SELL | 57 | 15¢ | $9 | 0xef1209… |
| 07-14 18:16:34 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xef1209… |
| 07-14 18:16:34 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xef1209… |
| 07-14 18:16:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 15¢ | $7 | 0xef1209… |
| 07-14 17:30:59 | (anonymous) 0x8d0c…e1ce | Yes | SELL | 7 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x8d5cd3… |
| 07-14 17:30:59 | Capital-Contributor 0x21fe…da90 | No | BUY | 30 | 68¢ | $20 | 0x8d5cd3… |
| 07-14 17:30:59 | Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x8d5cd3… |
| 07-14 17:30:59 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | No | BUY | 10 | 68¢ | $7 | 0x8d5cd3… |
| 07-14 17:30:59 | Organic-Test 0x853c…bd03 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 30¢ | $17 | 0x8d5cd3… |