Charming-Collar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.16K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

69.7%

Resolved

10,254

Trades

48,633

lifetime

Volume

$17.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 10-28 03:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 253 days

Categories

Other

76% 27% +$3,196

Crypto

11% 29% +$226

Sports

9% 22% +$426

Politics

4% 50% +$256

Tech

1% 45% +$48

Pop-Culture

0% 52% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 169 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will wti dip to 70 in october 2026	No	+2	$0	100¢	$2	+$2	09-25 04:06
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?	No	+1	$0	97¢	$1	+$1	04-28 14:51
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	-1	$0	10¢	$-0	$0	08-15 16:22
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	3¢	$0	-$1	05-25 09:36
will wti dip to 70 in october 2026	Yes	+2	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	09-27 16:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cricipl luc guj 2026 04 12 most sixes luc	21	$162	730	166	+563	Yes	+$147	04-12 13:47
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Italy vs Nepal - Team Top Batter Italy Winner	16	$109	406	105	+301	Yes	+$117	05-01 14:20
rus ore akr 2026 02 28 btts	6	$98	90	100	-10	No	+$86	02-28 11:01
cs2 3dmax gg5 2026 03 03 total games 2pt5	20	$88	160	171	-11	Under	+$67	03-03 17:24
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?	7	$81	85	85	+0	No	+$80	04-28 13:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	5	$77	30	78	-48	No	+$29	05-29 22:06
cs2 js1 8s 2026 04 01 game1 odd even total kills	2	$70	70	70	+0	Odd	+$69	04-01 17:50
dota2 1win ty 2026 07 12 game2 first blood	2	$56	56	56	+0	1win	+$55	07-12 14:20
chi wsz ton 2026 07 25 corners first half total 4pt5	4	$55	55	55	+0	Under	+$54	08-02 19:37
fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 shots tani oluwaseyi gte3	7	$55	268	56	+212	No	+$53	07-05 07:23
sea cag cre 2026 04 11 halftime result away	2	$55	46	61	-15	No	+$39	04-11 13:35
rou1 fua aog 2026 07 25 team total away 0pt5	32	$52	1,120	284	+836	Over	+$49	07-24 16:58
will trump say london during healthcare affordability announcement	5	$52	69	53	+16	Yes	+$50	08-31 19:54
wta yuan krueger 2026 02 27 match total 21pt5	4	$50	80	50	+30	Over	+$72	02-28 04:42
val ele 2game 2026 03 28 game4	11	$48	473	52	+420	2GAME Esports	+$63	03-29 01:06
wta riera zolota 2026 02 24 first set total 10pt5	11	$46	294	63	+231	Over	+$74	02-24 08:31
Naef vs. Inglis: Match O/U 22.5	6	$46	21	146	-125	Under	+$46	06-01 18:34
fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 corners total 12pt5	14	$46	109	109	+0	Under	+$42	06-23 21:59
dota2 pr1 re 2026 03 17 game1 kill over 90pt5	9	$43	58	43	+14	Under	+$8	03-18 05:31
fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 shots ismael saibari gte1	4	$42	69	56	+13	No	+$40	07-04 17:24
cbb mtnst jaxst 2026 01 24	30	$42	443	70	+372	Jacksonville State Gamecocks	+$40	04-20 05:31
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	320	$40	2,629	2,654	-25	Yes	+$8	02-28 17:04
will benicio del toro win best supporting actor in a motion picture at the 2026 sag awards	6	$40	22	53	-30	No	+$9	03-02 02:23
will bennett stirtz be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155517294	5	$39	98	98	+0	No	+$37	06-23 19:38
will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	93	$38	414	636	-221	Yes	+$14	03-09 13:39
bra2 ath ber 2026 07 23 first half team total home 1pt5	6	$37	36	36	+0	Under	+$35	07-23 23:21
Will Matsumoto Yamaga FC win on 2026-04-29?	12	$36	47	40	+7	No	+$39	04-29 10:59
fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 shots richard rios gte3	13	$36	598	38	+560	Yes	+$33	07-04 13:13
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Hyderabad Kingsmen - Toss Match Double Hyderabad Kingsmen Winner	9	$35	53	37	+16	open	—	05-01 13:53
atp matsuok samrej 2026 03 29 match total 22pt5	4	$35	127	35	+92	Under	+$34	03-31 05:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 05:22:59	nik up or down on october 28 2026	Down	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xcc118b…
10-28 03:32:13	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $70 end of October?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x2794f5…
10-28 02:38:38	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Gianni Infantino by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x5fc8c9…
10-28 01:51:24	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $70 end of October?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x224ff7…
10-28 01:38:53	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma Senate election by 45% or more?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xceff69…
10-28 01:04:09	Will parties below the electoral threshold receive less than 4% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x7cd06e…
10-28 01:00:36	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x86be11…
10-28 00:45:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma Senate election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xa84fd6…
10-28 00:45:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma Senate election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa6afb4…
10-27 23:43:08	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x8c1d46…
10-27 22:44:20	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x0b1d03…
10-27 22:36:21	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xd05009…
10-27 22:36:15	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0x7c9283…
10-27 22:15:44	Will Podemos win the most seats in Navarre in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xd69a42…
10-27 21:56:59	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xbdc898…
10-27 21:56:57	Will Amcha Yisrael be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0x728650…
10-27 21:32:11	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xd7d090…
10-27 21:24:30	Will Amcha Yisrael be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x0cee37…
10-27 21:14:23	Will Podemos win the most seats in Navarre in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0xc03e6b…
10-27 21:04:41	Will Podemos win the most seats in Navarre in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x24190e…
10-27 20:34:27	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x828bbb…
10-27 20:31:53	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x846c32…
10-27 20:31:36	Will RZP-Zehut win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x70a328…
10-27 20:25:45	Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x4d595e…
10-27 20:25:36	Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x14f2b5…
10-27 20:17:47	Will parties below the electoral threshold receive less than 4% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x44f1ed…
10-27 20:16:38	Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x225e99…
10-27 20:05:06	Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xda9b7b…
10-27 19:22:47	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-02 House election by 0%-5%?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xa21f46…
10-27 19:15:18	Will RZP-Zehut win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xfe594d…
10-27 18:43:32	Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Michigan Wolverines	Oakland Golden Grizzlies	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xb69649…
10-27 18:27:23	Will EH Bildu win the most seats in Navarre in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0xafc45c…
10-27 18:27:11	Will EH Bildu win the most seats in Navarre in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x008b3c…
10-27 18:20:06	Will Podemos win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x41a025…
10-27 18:18:59	Will EH Bildu win the most seats in Navarre in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xf86dc9…
10-27 18:17:06	Will EH Bildu win the most seats in Navarre in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x36d314…
10-27 18:17:03	Will EH Bildu win the most seats in Navarre in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xd95da2…
10-27 15:07:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	258	0¢	$0	0x200d75…
10-27 14:18:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-05 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xabd405…
10-27 13:44:20	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-05 House election?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x57ebda…
10-27 13:44:20	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-05 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x05fd78…
10-27 13:30:05	Will Podemos win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xf7e171…
10-27 13:29:54	Will Broad Front (FA) win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x14a077…
10-27 13:22:21	Will Vox win the most seats in Navarre in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xbbb90d…
10-27 13:22:06	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Navarre in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0c3c8f…
10-27 13:21:56	Will Podemos win the most seats in Navarre in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x239fa5…
10-27 10:51:50	Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Michigan Wolverines	Oakland Golden Grizzlies	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x96c747…
10-27 09:49:05	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-14 House election by 25% or more?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xc8c5e6…
10-27 09:49:05	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-14 House election by 25% or more?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x65ade6…
10-27 09:31:51	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-05 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xe29231…
10-27 08:51:56	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $144 in November?	Yes	BUY	22	2¢	$0	0x80f26e…
10-27 08:36:41	Will Podemos win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x50887a…
10-27 06:34:17	will xauusd dip to 4000 by october 26 2026	No	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x333513…
10-27 06:27:05	Will Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 90% and 92.5%?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x50164e…
10-27 06:27:05	Will Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin be above 92.5%?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x46aee3…
10-27 06:27:05	Will Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin be below 82.5%?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x3042e8…
10-27 03:46:12	Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7B by October 31?	Yes	SELL	9	62¢	$5	0xdd9df5…
10-27 03:36:29	Will Podemos win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x7b0444…
10-27 03:36:29	Will Podemos win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x6ce820…
10-27 03:30:44	Will Susan Stevenson win the 2026 London mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	58	0¢	$0	0xfa99ce…
10-27 03:15:56	Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7B by October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xa53136…
10-27 03:01:45	Will Susan Stevenson win the 2026 London mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x208e01…
10-27 01:55:41	Will Susan Stevenson win the 2026 London mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x71942d…
10-27 01:55:39	Will Susan Stevenson win the 2026 London mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xacb972…
10-27 01:54:00	Will Josh Morgan win the 2026 London mayoral election?	No	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xec67ab…
10-27 01:54:00	Will Susan Stevenson win the 2026 London mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x05faa2…
10-27 00:38:29	Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Michigan Wolverines	Oakland Golden Grizzlies	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0xd7ff5f…
10-27 00:37:59	Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Michigan Wolverines	Oakland Golden Grizzlies	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x0cec09…
10-27 00:27:56	Will Josh Morgan win the 2026 London mayoral election?	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xa3fa21…
10-27 00:27:33	Will Josh Morgan win the 2026 London mayoral election?	No	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xe5f818…
10-26 23:03:29	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-04 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x9e4ec9…
10-26 22:02:02	Real Madrid vs. Burgos	Burgos	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x5ed84a…
10-26 22:01:56	Real Madrid vs. Burgos	Burgos	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x81bca9…
10-26 21:48:21	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-09 House seat?	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xca7132…
10-26 21:41:32	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Navarre in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x09e5f8…
10-26 21:16:15	Will Podemos win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x63b329…
10-26 21:16:14	Will Podemos win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe4bf20…
10-26 21:08:05	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 15%-25%?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x4f3c1a…
10-26 20:51:42	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-09 House seat?	No	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0xdda79f…
10-26 19:49:11	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xd26149…
10-26 19:43:03	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x4310ac…
10-26 19:09:11	Will Péricles Tavares win the Cape Verde presidential election?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x785134…
10-26 18:37:36	Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $8.75B by October 31?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x9aef19…
10-26 18:37:06	Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $8.75B by October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x0fc589…
10-26 18:35:57	Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $9.75B by October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xf400eb…
10-26 17:20:08	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $164 in November?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x9613be…
10-26 16:32:11	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6bd49f…
10-26 16:29:57	Will Meta have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc6e3de…
10-26 16:29:57	Will Z.ai have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x46793b…
10-26 16:29:57	Will Qwen have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x14c949…
10-26 16:07:39	Will Z.ai have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xd53211…
10-26 16:07:39	Will Qwen have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x9cad09…
10-26 16:07:39	Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x4b9863…
10-26 16:07:39	Will Meta have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x24b3ec…
10-26 15:45:39	Will Xiaomi have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x135336…
10-26 15:43:30	Will Z.ai have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x948190…
10-26 15:42:29	Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdc0491…
10-26 15:42:29	Will Meta have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x9d7fc1…
10-26 15:42:29	Will Qwen have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x8f0aed…
10-26 15:42:23	Will Qwen have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x5c4a2e…